An unsettled week for the start of June although there will be warm sunshine at times. Showers and bands of rain with blustery winds keep the overall picture rather mixed.
We are now into meteorological summer although Sunday saw a rash of showers which made it feel cooler at times. SE England escaped these downpours and London Heathrow saw the highest temperature at 23.3C on the 1st June.
Monday has started with a lot of fine weather and warm sunshine. A pocket of showers around the Humber has been creeping towards north Norfolk as a scattering appears over north and west Scotland. For most, it will be a decent day but the weather will deteriorate tonight.
An unseasonably deep low pressure will bring heavy rain from the west this evening. There will be strengthening southerly winds, with gales for exposed Scottish coasts as a spell of wet and windy weather passes over the UK tonight. It will be a blustery day on Tuesday with plenty of showers following as the main frontal rain takes its time to move over England by day. Wednesday will be a mixed day with sunshine and showers and later in the week, frontal waves from the southwest could bring significant rain to Wales and England. This week remains unsettled but this is welcome rain after the driest spring on record.
Monday
Much of England and Wales will have a sunny afternoon with light winds and it will feel warm as temperatures rise, around 18 to 22C, maybe 23C in London again. For Northern Ireland and Scotland, there will be a veil of high cloud turning the sunshine hazy but it will be the wind that will become noticeable. Temperatures will be 14 to 17C but the S/SW wind will strengthen during the afternoon.
The Inshore Waters forecast mentions “Wind: W or NW 3 or 4 backing S or SW 6 to gale 8, veering W or SW 5 or 6 later. Sea state: Slight, becoming moderate or rough” for the Irish Sea. For NW Scotland, closer to the low pressure, ‘severe gale 9 and rough seas’ for the Outer Hebrides with ferry operators mentioning the risk of disruption or cancellation later on Monday.
The wet and very windy weather will reach Northern Ireland, the Irish Sea, and the west coast of Scotland this evening, and England will enjoy a fine end to the day. If Tuesday is bin day it might be worth waiting to put your recycling out as it might shift overnight. You might heard the rain during the night and conditions on the roads will be tricky early on Tuesday for Wales, northern England into Yorkshire and perhaps the Midlands with poor visibility and plenty of surface water and spray. It will be windy too.
The frontal band will fragment during Tuesday but will head southeastwards towards London and the Home Counties for lunchtime and the afternoon with a few sharp downpours. It will feel cooler behind the frontal rain as the airflow comes from the northwest and it will remain very windy, especially for northern Scotland, closer to the low.
As the frontal band clears the Midlands and East Anglia temperatures will rise in the sunshine, into the high teens. We then settle into a cooler westerly flow with clear skies. Blustery showers will continue for northern Scotland with gales and very rough seas for Shetland.
Midweek
By Wednesday, there will be a scattering of showers moving through on the breeze. In any sunny spells, it will still feel warm if you are in a sheltered spot but cooler if you are caught in a downpour.
Some areas will miss the showers midweek but there is a signal for an area of rain to reach Wales early on Thursday and then move over England, followed by plenty of showers. The same low centre remains away to the north of Scotland and these frontal waves and showery flow look to sweep across the southern half of the UK in the second half of this week.
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