High pressure in charge for the rest of the week but the airmass will be chilly, so feeling nippy out of the sun. Not entirely dry either, with scattered showers around the next few days, especially in the west.
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As England takes another step in lockdown easing next week the cold flow also eases. Not back to the warmth of late March but not as cold and high pressure should bring fair weather.
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Showers didn't stay away infact really coming down at the moment
That's very similar to the April 1986 CET (5.8C). It's a very tall order - we're currently running at 5.6C, 1.2C below the 1961-90 average for the first 12 days of April. If that anomaly was maintained in the second half of April we'd end up on 6.7C, which would make it easily the coldest April since 1989, but not up there with April 1986.
Also, the model outputs are increasingly agreeing on a warm up around Sunday/Monday - OK, not as warm as many on here would like, but allowing for the GFS's typical underestimations of daytime maximum temperatures there's strong support for daytime highs creeping a little above the seasonal norm, peaking at 13-16C and possibly nudging 18C in the south-east. For comparison 18C is London's long-term average maximum for May, using the more recent averages (for 1961-1990 it was 17C).
What's the chances this month could be the coldest April on record? Needs to come in below 5.7°C here, which was 1986. I reckon it's possible especially with the dire outlook.
-5.7C here was the low. A bit of an easterly influence in the next few days but it's April now. If it was January we'd be looking at max's close to zero. The sun is just too strong now and overpowers the cold continental air.
Thundersnow in fact Zak, direct hit in St Neots, was quite a surprise!
They do occur (2006 was the closest to this year) but they've never been quite this big in early April before. Agreed though, winds are shifting at the moment so it's likely to close up again.
Something else interesting, is that the Central Arctic hasn't yet fully frozen over this year. This has happened only twice before up to this point, in 2018 and 2016.
Anywho, on a separate note, different things going on around the Arctic.
On the Pacific side, ice melt in the Sea of Okhotsk is slower than normal, with the current the rank rising from 16th to 21st lowest in the last 7 days. The Bering Sea has even increased ice cover, going from 8th to 12th lowest.
Meanwhile, on the Atlantic side, sea ice cover in the Barents sea is plummeting, going from 10th to 4th lowest in 7 days. Melt in the Kara Sea has started early too, going from fully frozen to 4th lowest extent.
Finally, extent in the Central Arctic continues to drop, remaining lowest on record for the time of year & the lowest ever recorded in the first half of April. Overall were 5th lowest on the 5 day average too, and essentially joint 2nd lowest (with 2020 and 2018) in the single day extent values.
From the community gallery
Dark based cumulus develop over Chasewater, in Norton Canes, West Midlands today as April showers again develop in optimum conditions.
Ominous skies in the heart of the Black Country today. This taken over the M5 looking North-West.
Impressive development of springtime April showers today over the West Midlands.
Another picture of an impressive shower cloud that developed over the West Midlands today. Not a funnel, just skud unfortunately.
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