SE England may reach 26C today in the sunshine across many eastern areas. Heavy rain in the west, this will reach the east this evening. More heavy rain, perhaps thundery, later on Wednesday and again Friday, but dry and sunny in between.
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Low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east will pull in warm, muggy but unstable southerly flow during first half of the week, with risk of thundery downpours. A little cooler and more settled later in the week.
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No work tomorrow, so playing some Mario kart 8 on the switch, and thought I'd check the 21Z UKV out..
Didn't get cooler towards the end of May 2020, in fact it was very warm with sunshine countrywide leading us into a warm first 2 days to June. The breakdown to cooler weather occurred on June 3rd! The northerly really showed its hand by June 5th with thunderstorms for some on the 6th in the east.
_11zon.thumb.jpeg.830ffbc37c36e9c8ddeadf0e0cd8c81e.jpeg "BruenSryan")
It's an easy win for me. I wasn't alive for 1992 but even so statistically, 2020 beats the band by far. May 2020 was Dublin's sunniest month since July 1955 with 295.0 hours. May 1992 sun wasn't anything special with 204.0 hours whilst May 2018 was relatively sunny but not exceptionally so with 224.0 hours and comparable to May 2017 - which out of the two I prefer 2017. The first 10 days of May 2017 (minus the 6th) were great with clear easterly winds giving plenty of sunshine here, low humidity and non-hazy skies whilst I believe southeastern England had to content with cloud a lot.
Lockdown rubbish doesn't influence my opinion of how epic May 2020 was.
In terms of mean maximum temps, 2020 also beats the other 2. A mean max of 17.3C in 2020 as compared to 16.2C in 1992 and 16.9C in 2018.
Oh yeah and to round it off, only 9.3mm of rain in 2020 whilst 2018 had 19.1mm (also very dry) and 1992 had 39.5mm.
It's a full house for May 2020 here statistically.
Have to say it, the ingredients for this look pretty impressive apart from fairly modest CAPE values. Directional shear looks to be pretty impressive with Easterlies at the surface, very warm 850 temps on a SE’ly being overlapped by strong SW’lies above. Should make for some impressive hodographs.
23:00 shows a very decent mix!
A mild night with steady light rain and a light to moderate south westerly wind
Temp 14.0c
Ashdown forest is a good shout for sure,possibly Newlands corner just south of Guildford too as visuals there will be good too. Will be going to devil's dyke just north of Hove first to see how it pans out as visuals there are good for miles.
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