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Weekend Weather: More rain to come

There's more rain on the way this weekend and into next week as the unsettled weather keeps on coming.


Issued: 5th October 2019 09:25

The rain keeps coming, with more expected over this weekend, prompting more warnings of flooding. At least most of the country is dry at the moment, in a placid start but with a lot of cloud. There's some sunshine though towards North Sea coasts and over East Scotland where temperatures over Aberdeenshire and Angus have fallen close to freezing. The Northern Isles will stay fine and sunny, but any sunshine elsewhere won't last as frontal systems approach from the West.

We already have patchy rain over Northern Ireland and western Scotland, with heavier bursts of rain soon moving in here. Through the day the rain will spread to most of Scotland, although much of the day in the East will be dry. The rain then also spreading to North West England and many more western areas, ending Saturday on a wet note. A light mostly Easterly wind will freshen from the South East or South. This'll make it feel chilly, with temperatures getting no higher than 11 to 13C over much of Scotland and 14 to 16C, locally 17C further South.

Northern Ireland should see a clearance moving in from the West before dusk, leading to a mixture of clear intervals and scattered showers after dark. Meanwhile, as that front moves further into England and Wales, most parts will turn wet. The rain will be heavy in places, perhaps leading to further local flooding problems. With the South West and the South and West of Wales maybe seeing a clearance coming along towards morning. Much of Scotland should also turn wet, but towards Aberdeen, Moray, Caithness and the Northern Isles, you may see nothing more than a few showers.

A moderate or fresh South or South Easterly wind will blow across most of the country but will be from the West across Northern Ireland. It'll veer Westerly across much of Wales and the South West later in the night. This'll continue to feel chilly, but the cloud and rain will prevent temperatures from falling below 5 to 7C across Northern Ireland and North East Scotland and 8 to 12C elsewhere.

With a now almost stationary front straddling the country, much of England, in particular, will start Sunday dull, misty and wet. There'll be some heavy rain, with flood warnings for some parts already in place. Later in the day, the rain should become lighter and more patchy as the front begins to weaken. Either side of the front apart from a few showers it'll be drier and brighter, with the far North East of Scotland, the South West, much of Wales, Dyfed in particular and also Northern Ireland seeing some sunshine.

Winds will be light over a large slice of the country, but an East wind across the North and East of Scotland will feel quite cold. Eastern parts of England may see a chilly North East wind developing later. And even the Westerly wind over Northern Ireland and the South West will be quite chilly. As a result, temperatures will struggle again to reach 11 to 13C again over much of Scotland and in the rain, with 14 to 16C in the South and South West.

Central parts keep a lot of cloud after dark, with remaining pockets of rain and drizzle eventually petering-out. Elsewhere skies will break in places to give a few clear intervals, with some rural parts of East Scotland perhaps turning cold enough again for a touch of ground frost overnight. Winds generally will be light, before winds freshen from the South in the West overnight, with more cloud and rain moving into Northern Ireland before morning.

It remains unsettled and windy at times into next week with further occasional rain or showers, heaviest in the North and West. The East and South will generally see the best of the sunny intervals between times, with temperatures mostly close to the average for early October.

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