The next few days will see more hefty showers, some thunderstorms mixed with bright or sunny spells. The air isn't very warm but any sunshine is strong. Cool by night but more settled for next week.
There will be a slow change through next week as high pressure builds in from the southwest. It takes its time but this will result in more settled conditions across the UK. It looks drier than average next week. And as July progresses, warmer than average, starting across southern Britain but spreading north.
Schools in Northern Ireland and Scotland are finishing term so an end to these downpours will be well received by families hoping to head off for the start of the summer break, or even just to get the kids outside. Further south and east a lack of rain might be viewed differently. Showers bring localised downpours but the ground and rivers are missing regular frontal rains.
Will Wimbledon manage to stay in between the rain today. Showers developing to the west with a shield of cloud and rain further east. SW19 in the middle
This week we have seen low pressures trying to work in from the west bringing heavy showers to mix with the bright or sunny weather. It has felt warm enough in the sunshine but there has been a coolness when the skies cloud over or a shower arrives.
Looking at the forecast rainfall totals for the next few days, you can’t take these literally as the shower distribution will be slightly different. Yet it gives hints of drier areas (show by dark circles) NW Scotland fairing a bit better today, southeast Britain, southern England looking drier tomorrow.
The showers hang around into the weekend but Sunday looks drier for many, away from northern Scotland.
"Greatest instability will be across Wales, Midlands, NW, SW and central S England this afternoon, where also there will be breeze convergence zones creating enhanced lift locally – so here will likely see the greatest probability of seeing thunderstorms – though here vertical shear will be rather weak. So storms will be generally short-lived but may pose a risk of localised flooding – as they will be slow-moving." Convective forecast today
Today
Heavier showers break out this morning. By lunchtime over Wales, Cumbria and SW England and then a spread inland through the day with something drier for NW England through the afternoon. With the heavy downpours, there will be thunderstorms today. These will bring the risk of localised flooding and sudden gusty winds with poor visibility and spray on the roads. A frontal band is bringing rain to NE Scotland this morning. That pulls away northwards and fragments.
Tonight, most of the showers fade away as it turns cooler with clear spells. The East Midlands to The Wash, the Humber and then later up to North Yorkshire could see showers continuing into the morning.
On Friday the showers get going away, a real peppering across Britain. By Friday afternoon, the focus for the downpours over eastern Britain and northern Scotland before a new frontal system arrives over Northern Ireland and Gwynedd for Friday evening.
Temperatures for the next few days will be 16 to 22C by day and around 10C by night.
The frontal bands look more like a collection of hefty showers which move up through Scotland by Saturday morning with the cold front line over NW England, Wales and SW England to start the weekend. Ahead of the cold front will be sunshine but a brisk SW wind for England. Showers follow behind as the wind begins to veer to the northwest. Southeast England could see 21 to 24C at the weekend in the sunshine but elsewhere it will feel cool by night with Sunday being the drier day.
