The generally quiet and uneventful weather is set to continue for now. Still, there are some colder periods in the outlook, with a northerly outbreak this Sunday looking set to bring below-average temperatures and widespread frost.
The generally quiet and uneventful weather is set to continue for now. But, there are some colder periods in the outlook, with a northerly outbreak this Sunday looking set to bring below-average temperatures and widespread frost. This has the potential to bring wildlife closer to where it would typically be at this time of year, as the leaves have been unusually late falling off the trees for much of the UK this season.
Today has started cloudy and damp for most of the UK, with mist and fog in places, though we do have a slot of clear skies over parts of East Anglia, the southeast and central southern England. This clear slot will move slowly south-eastwards through the day, giving much of East Anglia and southeast England a predominantly sunny day, but it will cloud over from the northwest by evening. There will be persistent rain for much of the day in western Scotland, with some light and patchy rain for other parts of Scotland and northern England, and some light drizzle will spread eastwards through Wales and central and western parts of England. As the frontal system clears, it will brighten up across much of Scotland and Northern Ireland towards dusk, with some showers following behind into western and especially north-western Scotland.
In the sunnier parts of East Anglia and southeast England, highs of 13 or 14C will be typical, with highs of 10 to 12C over most other parts of England and Wales. Over most of Scotland and Northern Ireland, highs of 8 to 10C will be typical on low ground.
Overnight, cloudy skies will keep it mild in the south of England, with lows of 7 or 8C near the south coast. Still, some clearer colder weather will spread to other parts of the UK, giving a colder night, with some frost in inland parts of central and northern Scotland and lows of between 2 and 5C in most other parts of the country.
With polar maritime air covering the British Isles in the morning, temperatures will be down to around average for the time of year, reaching between 7 and 9C in Scotland, between 8 and 10C in Northern Ireland and 10 to 12C over most parts of England, perhaps reaching 13C in parts of the south. There will also generally be more sunshine, though it will tend to cloud over from the west late in the day, especially in the west. Showers over western Scotland will fade away but will be replaced by persistent rain after dusk. As warmer air heads in from the west, the following night will be mild.
Thursday and Friday will see the return of very mild weather for the time of year, with many parts of England reaching 14 or 15C on Thursday and 16C in places on Friday. It will be generally cloudy on Thursday, with some outbreaks of rain in central and western Scotland but mostly dry elsewhere. There will be more sunshine on Friday, especially to the east of high ground, though northern Scotland will be overcast with further rain.
Saturday will be generally cloudier over England, Wales and southern Scotland, and consequently a little cooler, though still reaching around 13 or 14C in the south. However, a front will bring a band of rain southwards through Scotland. This will tend to fizzle out as it moves southwards through Northern Ireland, England and Wales overnight, but Sunday looks somewhat colder with a northerly airflow and temperatures in the north reaching 5 to 7C, though it may still hit 10C in parts of the south. There will then be quite a widespread frost on Sunday night.
For the longer term, there is potential for rather more potent northerly outbreaks, but considerable uncertainty over whether these northerlies will directly hit the UK or will primarily head just to the west or east.
