High pressure over Scandinavia will feed a cold easterly flow across the UK, most dry and sunny , frosty overnight. Rain in the west early next week, but turning warmer towards Easter Weekend.
High pressure over Scandinavia this weekend will keep Atlantic weather systems at bay to the west, but keeping us in a chilly easterly wind, which will get strong through the weekend, so feeling colder as a result – with temperatures below average for the time of year. But for most it will remain dry and settled, bar the odd shower in the east, with sunny days and cold frosty nights. High pressure to the northeast will continue to influence our weather as head through next week, though it will retreat more to allow some rain to threaten the west through Monday and Tuesday and also allow less cold air in, as winds turn southeasterly. High pressure over Scandinavia will re-exert itself from mid-week, with any rain in the west and southwest dying with most dry, settled and sunny by day for the rest of the week. But with the flow from the southeast, it will warm up, with temperatures later in the week and possibly through the weekend reaching the mid-to-high teens.
For now, clear skies overnight have led to another widespread frost inland for many, though coastal counties have held up above freezing. The coldest spots first thing have been down through the central spine of Britain across southern Scotland, northern England, Midlands and towards SE England. Temperatures falling as low as -4C across the northern end of this area.
Most places will remain dry with plenty of sunshine throughout today, but it will be cool in the fresh easterly wind, noticeable across eastern England, while a strong southeasterly wind will blow across the far west, perhaps gusting to 40mph. Although most will be dry, a few showers are likely to develop this afternoon across SE England and East Anglia, perhaps bringing a little sleet or soft hail. Highs this afternoon struggling to 7-9C along eastern coasts, 9-12C elsewhere – though with shelter from the wind across western Scotland we could see 13-15C in the sunshine.
Largely clear tonight, allowing another widespread frost to develop inland, away from eastern coasts where we have an onshore breeze and also across the far west, including N. Ireland and far SW of England - where we will see more in the way of cloud.
After a cold and frosty start for many, Sunday will be another dry day, plenty of sunshine, though broken cloud will build through the day, perhaps giving the odd shower across the southeast in the afternoon. Thicker cloud for Ireland, N. Ireland, SW Wales and Cornwall will bring a risk of some patchy rain here. A chilly day, temperatures reaching 7-10C generally.
Perhaps more in the way of cloud and windier on Monday, as a deep area of low pressure brushes the west of Ireland, bringing heavy rain and gales across Ireland and Northern Ireland, with some rain arriving across SW England and Wales in the afternoon and perhaps the northwest later in the evening. Many dry though, some sunny spells in the east.
Some rain looks likely across the west on Tuesday and generally cloudy elsewhere. Less cold with the wind from the southeast – where we see some brightness or sunshine towards SE England – we could reach 14-15C.
Cloud and a little rain clearing the south Wednesday morning, otherwise mid-week onwards to the end of the week mostly dry and increasingly sunny by day, as high pressure over Scandinavia begins to re-assert itself. But because the flow will be from the southeast off the near continent rather than from NE Europe, like this weekend, it will turn increasingly warmer, with temperatures across England and Wales at least reaching the mid-to-high teens. So warming up for the Easter Weekend, though some uncertainty over details of the weather, some models show showers increasing from the south, others keep the weekend mostly dry, sunny and warm.
