High pressure in charge this week close to the west, cooler than recently, but temperatures close to average. Dry with sunny spells for most, but some rain at times in the far north.
Last week started wet and windy for all, then the rain became confined to the northwest, whilst most areas became dry and rather warm for early October, as high pressure built and the remnants of Hurricane Sam over the Atlantic combined to draw in tropical air from way to the southwest. This week, high pressure will still be in charge, so largely dry with sunny spells, any rain confined to the far north. But it will be cooler than last week – as high pressure will be centred close to the west, allowing a cooler and fresher northwesterly flow over the UK. Though temperatures will be around average this week, compared to well-above-average last week.
High pressure in charge close to the west much of this week - meaning most dry and settled, weather fronts moving south on the eastern side of the high will bring cloud and a little rain to the north at times though:
Rainfall this week mostly across the far north:
Source: Wxcharts / Metdesk.
It’s a chillier start this morning across England and Wales compared to mornings we saw last week, temperatures widely falling into mid-single figures overnight. The temperature at dawn as low as 3C across parts of south Wales, southwest and central southern England. A few mist and fog patches here and there, but generally widespread sunshine. It’s a milder and breezier start across Scotland, cloudier too, with some patchy rain in places, particularly the north and northwest.
Staying dry with prolonged sunny spells across England and Wales today, away from coasts of north Wales and the far north of England – which will be cloudier at times. Cloudier skies and breezy for much of the day across Scotland, outbreaks of rain affecting northern and western Scotland, patchy rain extending erratically to parts of eastern Scotland and perhaps NE England at times. Temperatures reaching 13-15C across the north, 15-17C across the south.
Cloudy across northern areas tonight, with spells of rain spreading southeast across Scotland and the far north of England. Elsewhere, patchy cloud and some clear spells here and there, not as chilly as last night, though temperatures falling into single figures in the south where we see clearer spells.
A slow-moving but weakening frontal boundary will be draped across Scotland and eastern England on Tuesday, bringing a cloudy day with some patchy light rain or drizzle for northern, central and eastern areas of Britain. Mostly dry with variable cloud and some sunny spells across southern England and Wales. Temperatures reaching 12-15C under the cloudier skies, chilly across eastern Scotland, but where the sun pops out in the southwest - we could see 16-18C.
That front moves away east over the North Sea on Wednesday, with more of a westerly flow, so more in the way of sunshine across Britain. Most staying dry, but thicker cloud could bring some patchy rain to northwest Scotland.
Changes across the north later in the week, as a deep low pressure system moves east into Scandinavia, pulling a cold front down across Britain on Thursday and Friday. The front will bring outbreaks of rain south across northern areas on Thursday, followed by colder and clearer conditions from the north. However, the front, at the moment, looks to weaken as it moves across the south on Friday, as high pressure builds in from the northwest. So Friday may end up dry for many, with increasing sunshine spreading down from the northwest, after a cloud start in the south.
Looking further ahead into the weekend and early next week and the models are generally agreeing, for now, it turning increasingly unsettled from the west off the Atlantic, with spells of rain and turning windier across most parts.
