By Nick Finnis
Issued: 19th October 2020 07:57
Updated: 19th October 2020 08:23
Turning increasingly unsettled and windy next few days, but also milder
After a quiet spell of weather over recent days, weather warnings are back in force to start the new week. The Met Office warnings are for heavy rain affecting Northern Ireland and parts of Scotland, which could bring a risk of flooding and travel disruption. Rain will affect Scotland and the far west today, drier and brighter elsewhere, while milder than recently too. Rain or showers become more widespread on Tuesday, and it will be a windier day too. A spell of heavy rain looks to spread northeast across England on Wednesday with showers elsewhere. Perhaps a drier respite on Thursday, as a brief ridge of high pressure moves through, but rain could return from the west on Friday.
For now, rain moved in from the southwest across much of Scotland, N. Ireland and the far north of England overnight. A wet morning commute for much of Scotland, but the rain has stopped for N. Ireland for now and will ease north for a time from southern Scotland during the morning, bringing a brief drier interlude, before outbreaks of heavy rain return from the southwest across N. Ireland then the rest of Scotland through the morinng.
Rain continuing to pile in through the afternoon and evening here – hence the yellow rain warnings in force from the Met Office. These warnings in force across N. Ireland until 3am tomorrow, across parts of Scotland until 9am tomorrow.
Elsewhere, it will be often cloudy today, with occasional rain flirting with NW England and north Wales, with some patchy light rain or drizzle elsewhere in the west. But for central, southern and eastern England it will be mostly dry, with some hazy sunny spells developing across southern England, Midlands and East Anglia.
Milder than recent days though, thanks to a breeze from the south, windy up through the Irish Sea, temperatures reaching 11-14C in the north, 14-16C in the south.
Heavy rain affecting much of Scotland, N. Ireland and NW England during this evening will gradually clear north overnight and becoming confined to northern Scotland. While a cold front will sweep northeast across England and Wales tonight, bringing some patchy rain across many areas, followed by showers in the west. Turning windy everywhere overnight too.
A windy day on Tuesday, with gales developing over western coasts and hills. Any early rain clearing the east, then scattered showers will spread north across western areas, but with occasional sunny spells too, mostly dry and bright in the east bar the odd light shower. A spell of more prolonged rain spreading northeast across N. Ireland from late morning, then across Scotland and Cumbria through the afternoon and evening. But despite the strength, with the wind from the southwest, it will be quite mild, temperatures widely reaching 13-16C in the north, 16-18C in the south.
An area of heavy rain looks to spread northeast across southern England, Midlands, Lincolnshire, East Anglia during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, before clearing the east coast in the afternoon. This followed by brighter conditions and a few showers. Elsewhere will see showers at times throughut the day and some sunny spells. Perhaps quite windy with gales through the eastern English Channel for a time. Still mild in the south, reaching 15-17C, turning a little cooler in the north, with 10-14C.
Thursday & Friday
Thursday looking a drier day, as a transitory ridge of high pressure builds in. So any early showers will soon clear to a mostly dry day with sunny spells. Some uncertainty by Friday, but it looks like a band of rain will move in across the north and west in the morning before continuing east while turning showery, before clearing into the North Sea in the evening, some bright or sunny conditions and a few showers either side of the rain, turning windy in the west.