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Storm Ellen - Wednesday and Thursday


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Storm Ellen has been named by Met Eireann with some severe wind gusts expected.

image.thumb.png.c7c014e20306353e61eb44790ad0d5d9.pngimage.thumb.png.6148779db787bf68df3e61d93b20186c.png 

Unprecedented in summer with some models showing a stingjet feature on it.

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@Mr Frost Yes they all can over do wind speeds but its certainly unusual for it to stick with it this close to the event. We'll see later 110mph is certainly very hard to believe though.  Met Éir

Jump scare    

Blog https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/10426-storm-ellen-the-next-instalment-in-august-2020s-bizarre-weather-story  

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Storm Ellen has been named by Met Eireann 

The Met office have a yellow warning in place from 8pm tomorrow to 23:59 Thursday in parts of the west

Strong winds are expected to cause some disruption to travel and power supplies on Thursday.

What to expect

  • Some delays to road, rail, air and ferry transport are likely
  • Probably some bus and train services affected, with some journeys taking longer
  • Delays for high-sided vehicles on exposed routes and bridges likely
  • Some short term loss of power and other services is possible
  • It’s likely that some coastal routes, sea fronts and coastal communities affected by spray and/or large waves
  • Some damage to trees with debris on roads are possible given the time of year

A spell of strong southerly winds are expected to develop on Wednesday night across southwest England and move north across western parts of Wales, southwest Scotland and all of Northern Ireland during the early hours of Thursday. Although there is some uncertainty in the track of the low, gusts of 65 mph are possible inland, with 70 mph or more possible around coasts and hills. Whilst winds may temporarily ease during Thursday morning, a band of heavy rain is likely to move east during Thursday afternoon and evening accompanied by some locally squally winds.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1455667200&date=2020-08-19&id=a1b9d673-d3a1-4556-8ec5-542b0634a008&details&date=2020-08-19&id=a1b9d673-d3a1-4556-8ec5-542b0634a008&details

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Surprised this thread isnt more busy tbh, looks like a serious storm considering its August 

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3 minutes ago, Dbarb said:

Surprised this thread isnt more busy tbh, looks like a serious storm considering its August 

same, when i woke up I thought it was just another boring overcast day until my mum told me it was raining in maidstone quite a bit. So I went on the radar expecting isolated shower but was not expecting what I actually saw 

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50 minutes ago, Dbarb said:

Surprised this thread isnt more busy tbh, looks like a serious storm considering its August 

Yep the trees are still in leaf, may not be very pleasant. 

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1 minute ago, Thunder Snow said:

Could I ask a question, if this is the remains of tropical storm kyle why has it been given another name

I think it's because it's not the same system just the energy from the tropical storm has aided the development of this storm. 

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1 minute ago, matt111 said:

I think it's because it's not the same system just the energy from the tropical storm has aided the development of this storm. 

The low/cyclone that was once ex Tropical Storm Kyle is no longer identifable but there is some tropical energy lingering. It often is quite wooly, the whole tropical transistion/ naming situation. there is a bit in here.https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9102-tropical-cyclones---plain-sub-post-or-extra-a-guide-to-low-pressure-naming-with-ernesto 

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4 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Could I ask a question, if this is the remains of tropical storm kyle why has it been given another name

It's not quite the remains. it's the remains linking up with a standard Atlantic low over the next few hours, creating a new low pressure, since that formed in the north Atlantic is gets our naming as an Atlantic Storm. Still a lot to resolve as to it's exact track and intensity, won't really know what it's going to be like until it hits. But as others have said, with Trees in leaf and  Spring Tides all sorts of problems might arise. Remember south Coast of Ireland is full of caravans and camper vans at this time also.

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40 minutes ago, Thebeastfromtheeast said:

A red warning for wind, in summer! incredible. A sign of things to come this autumn and winter maybe? 

Unfortunately, you might be right. The seas are warm. Hopefully any stronger storms won’t hit until the trees have dropped their leaves. 

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1 hour ago, Jo Farrow said:

Incredible. https://www.met.ie/warnings  9pm til midnight Weds

aug19meteireaanRED.png

Interestingly they haven't mentioned projected wind gusts,they always do. I suspect more counties will be added to red later. The met office warning for NI has gusts of 65mph inland,75mph around coasts. There will be a lot of power outages if that happens with trees in full leaf. I'm in the extreme NW of the island so will escape the worst of it unfortunately. 

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When you look at Sat, some people are tempted to think, that swirl out west is the storm, it's not. That is another low

Ireland's Storm is going to develop in the flow. So we'll have a rapidly strengthening storm, with the chance of a sting jet.

Developing storms, more dangerous, than mature weakening storms 

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1 hour ago, Thebeastfromtheeast said:

A red warning for wind, in summer! incredible. A sign of things to come this autumn and winter maybe? 

I couldn't think of anything worse that a wet and windy Autumn/Winter. But would imagine, that type of weather will be the form horse for 2020/21 Autumn/Winter 🤢🤮

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Latest ECM has wind gusts of over 110mph crashing in to the south of Ireland and pushing North. Gusts of 85mph+ in the dead centre of the island which is unusual for there even during a Winter storm. Damage could well be Historical, certainly for summer if this comes to pass.

Edited by Donegal
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