Torrential South

[Guest]

Updated: Wednesday 08:26
Southern England is in for a soaking today with some heavy, and even torrential rain moving up from the south during the day. 50mm plus of rain is possible, with localised flooding therefore a possibility.
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[Tommyboy2007]

Metcheck, Netweather and finally UKWW have issued their warnings associated with this event, which was first flagged up by GFS over 7 days ago.

Why, at the time of writing this post, are the MET Office refusing to acknowledge this event with any form of warning, with only hours to go ? It baffles me. Is it because the Meto model doesn't agree ? So what ? All other models are, and have been, in agreement for days.

They will probably wait until it's happening, and then... out come the warnings, way too late, as is often the case.

[Paul]

To be fair the GFS hasn't really had this nailed over the last 7 days at all, it's shown the heavy rain but there's been huge disagreement between runs (plus ensembles and other models) with the rain moving from the midlands, to northern england, to southern england and at times even south of the UK, so it's not really been possible to get an alert out well in advance.