Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    2 hours ago, Phildb2 said:

    Metcheck.com are forecasting THUNDER SNOW !! for Warwickshire Saturday lunchtime 🥵🥶

    Lol what, pmsl.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    4 hours ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

    Did you get anything from Tuesday's action?

    I did. I chased a storm around Stamford/Corby area with intense winds and marble sized hail. I'm putting the video together right now.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    @Zak M Awesome pictures. I will watch the video later, looking forward to it. And thats not picture spam, it's picture porn 👍

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    Posted (edited)
    4 hours ago, Arnie Pie said:

    Looks like its maintaining a southerly direction...We should be able to see the structure from here if it makes it down to the Burton area

    I did get some storm action from it but it did seem to die somewhat as I reached it near to Ashbourne. Still, I got some more video to edit (after I finish Tuesdays). It was a nice little bonus as I hadn't planned to chase today.

    Edited by Supacell
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    Did a smol chase, got on the Bakewell storm as it approached Matlock then redeveloped near Ashbourne, gave up as it redeveloped again toward Stoke performing a sort of 270 degree turn in total 😂 also chased the ones near derby and Nottingham for a time. Did manage to see a few cgs and as others have said very frequent thunder from hidden IC strikes. Not a drop in Belper as usual @Supacell 🤣

    IMG_20210722_162902462.jpg

    IMG_20210722_154909958.jpg

    • Like 5
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Ellesmere Port
  • Location: Ellesmere Port

    Thought I'd share these pics from my of that Manchester cell developing taken from the Wirral between 7:15 - 8pm

    20210722_201043.jpg

    • Like 9
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
    6 minutes ago, Stormhog said:

    Estofex have put the South coast under a Level 1 for severe weather tomorrow night:

     

    2021072406_202107221721_2_stormforecast.xml.png

    That will be the plume that's not really a plume then🤣

    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    26 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

    Did a smol chase, got on the Bakewell storm as it approached Matlock then redeveloped near Ashbourne, gave up as it redeveloped again toward Stoke performing a sort of 270 degree turn in total 😂 also chased the ones near derby and Nottingham for a time. Did manage to see a few cgs and as others have said very frequent thunder from hidden IC strikes. Not a drop in Belper as usual @Supacell 🤣

    IMG_20210722_162902462.jpg

    IMG_20210722_154909958.jpg

    😂 Belper misses all the storms. It's a good job I chase!!

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
    8 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

    That will be the plume that's not really a plume then🤣

    Miaow! 🤣

    50% and lvl 1 hatching more than welcomed 😊👍

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire
  • Location: Andover, Hampshire

    What do we reckon tomorrow then guys. I’m leaning towards just very heavy rain. 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Thelwall, warrington
  • Location: Thelwall, warrington

    This is one of the Manchester storms taken from Warrington. Think I can hear the odd rumble but this one might pass us by like yesterday’s. 

    BC646276-0C2E-465A-B009-6DAA54E37AEA.jpeg

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
    1 minute ago, Azazel said:

    What do we reckon tomorrow then guys. I’m leaning towards just very heavy rain. 

    I think there’s a reasonably good chance of thunderstorms across southern England (not the same as saying all of southern England will see storms). 

    Estofex comment that;

    “Additional storms may form over N France, the Channel and S England, but their severe weather risk should mainly be confined to heavy rain, while their elevated nature keeps the other hazards on the low side.”

    Most models indicate heavy rain and the existent of half decent CAPE suggests potential for lightning. As ever with these things though it’ll be nowcasting and seeing if anything can develop.

    Further chances Saturday night, more especially for the SE, as residual unstable air threatens to move back in, but in these setups I’d suggest we are too far out for Saturday night.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Work: Wallingford Home: Keynsham, Bristol
    20 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

    That will be the plume that's not really a plume then🤣

    "An elevated mixed layer from NW Africa and the Spanish Plateau shifts NE-ward and is advected over rich low-level moisture over the W Mediterranean Sea and the French lowlands" has Spanish Plume written all over it😉

    Edited by Ben Sainsbury
    • Like 5
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunder
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire

     

    7 minutes ago, Azazel said:

    What do we reckon tomorrow then guys. I’m leaning towards just very heavy rain. 

    i would say elevated lightning shows for South Coast, Somerset midnight onwards. 

    Heavy rain Sat morning for elsewhere.

     

    Unless it's going to be 1990s standards huge MCS 

     

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
    6 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

    "An elevated mixed layer from NW Africa and the Spanish Plateau shifts NE-ward and is advected over rich low-level moisture over the W Mediterranean Sea and the French lowlands" has Spanish Plume written all over it😉

    To old and wise to start poking the plume nest😏

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    11 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

    "An elevated mixed layer from NW Africa and the Spanish Plateau shifts NE-ward and is advected over rich low-level moisture over the W Mediterranean Sea and the French lowlands" has Spanish Plume written all over it😉

    Except, not for us.

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    Just now, viking_smb said:

    agreed, I dont think we will get anything tomorrow night 

    It's not a particularly good set up. I would say the best chance of lightning would be IoW & East, but that depends on the arrival of the trough.

    There's been several of these synoptics over the past couple of months - lightning showing in the channel, everyone gets excited, and then it ends up just being rain. Whilst there's still a risk, I think the better chances will be from showers on Sunday.

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: CARDIFF
  • Location: CARDIFF
    Just now, Mapantz said:

    It's not a particularly good set up. I would say the best chance of lightning would be IoW & East, but that depends on the arrival of the trough.

    There's been several of these synoptics over the past couple of months - lightning showing in the channel, everyone gets excited, and then it ends up just being rain. Whilst there's still a risk, I think the better chances will be from showers on Sunday.

    i'm of that thinking as well we will just get heavy rain, I dont want thunderstorms sat as i got to take the sea cadet rib out of the water to work on it, as we restart boating soon, 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    That's quite a nice looking chart for Sunday, to be honest..

    1106003740_Screenshot2021-07-22212643.thumb.png.cb533b776470a9e21e6671e06cd281b6.png

    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...