Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards

[LightningLover]

It's only 19:43 anyway, the juicer stuff was never supposed to present itself until around 22:00 right?

[Electricmumma]

1 minute ago, Azazel said:

Does anyone know why the channel often does this? Elevated convection in theory shouldn’t be affected by cold water, but I’ve seen elevated storms die a death as soon as they dip their toes in.

storms seem to have zero issue exploding to life in the North Sea so what is the issue with that thin strip of water?

It’s the triple E csb - energy eating English Channel storm barrier

[Electricmumma]

Just now, LightningLover said:

It's only 19:43 anyway, the juicer stuff was never supposed to present itself until around 22:00 right?

22.00 24.00 02.00

[DanDorsetUK]

Going very dark over the Purbecks at the mo, sky looks like it could fire up any minute.

[Guest]

Unusually Real-time Lightning seems to be picking more activity than BlitzortungLive 

[ztam]

rumbles of thunder now being heard on the isle of wight, reports coming in from freshwater, cowes and ventnor. 

[Guest]

1 minute ago, Dan Clow said:

Going very dark over the Purbecks at the mo, sky looks like it could fire up any minute.

It’s just that outflow mess on the northern extent of the plume! That sort of precip never fires up.

 

[Ben Sainsbury]

Remember lightning activity with elevated storms are also well under-captured on lightning detectors too.

Activity that is dying ahead of the storms in the channel are ahead of the high theta-w which is slowly moving northwards. Will improve as the evening goes on.

Edited July 23, 2021 by Ben Sainsbury

[Mapantz]

Picked up 2 sferics on my detector.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Picked up 2 sferics on my detector.

What distance?

[T4Toby]

What are my chances in Swansea for today and tomorrow? Im personally beginning too loose hope...

[sparky1972]

Hi all, spending the weekend with family in chichester, been a warm day down here, hoping for a storm or 2 as in Lincs where i live the storm shield is in full effect just lately.

[Rush2019]

This is the edge of the Arcus clouds in my previous post, shame there's no storm attached, but still awesome to see.

[Liam Burge]

Saturday afternoon looks more interesting to me than tonight's threat. Depending on where the convergence line ends up sitting I could be seeing thunderstorms after thunderstorms. Some models have this convergence line further south, and some have it further north. Will be interesting just where the line ends up being.

[Dom W]

Hello from a very storm starved Durham; hoping that Monday and Tuesday may deliver up here. For now, it is cam watching.

[alexisj9]

1 hour ago, Harry said:

It’s completely stratiform cloud in NW Kent at the moment, with it has to be said a cool but refreshing breeze. Are we saying it’s clearer down on the coast? Heading to Kent coast shortly

Had the sun all day here, still do, with an interesting looking sky.

[Sam jackson88]

looking on radar that band coming up from north france looks to be getting stronger 

[skyblusam]

A few flashes and deep rumbling thunder in the channel south of Portland Dorset.  Sky has gone very dark.

[Liam Burge]

Already some strikes near the UK already. I didn't think it was meant to pop off for another few hours so this could be promising.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Seems to be getting killed off as it’s getting halfway across the channel, and also noticing the energy being transferred further east now towards Caen/Le Havre (where most of the hail is now being contained). Thundery rain will be the probable outcome for most I will reiterate. Most models have kept the real juice the other side of the Channel (now being used up too). IOW East I would say stands the best chance now of any proper activity. Tomorrow if we can generate some diurnal heating could give a better chance of something more substantial, if the low doesn’t scuttle too Far East. 

[T4Toby]

Has anybody got any good webcams to watch the storms coming across the channel?

[Southern Storm]

I'm currently sat at the cliff top in Barton on sea, I have heard 2 very deep rumbles so far.

Hopefully it will make the crossing 

[Harry]

4 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Had the sun all day here, still do, with an interesting looking sky.

I’m in Dymchurch tonight so hopefully we might get a show @alexisj9

[camturbo]

10 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

I'm currently sat at the cliff top in Barton on sea, I have heard 2 very deep rumbles so far.

Hopefully it will make the crossing 

Keep the updates coming mate,I might be able to at least see some flashes

[PurpleLED]

4 minutes ago, Liam Burge said:

Already some strikes near the UK already. I didn't think it was meant to pop off for another few hours so this could be promising.

those are most likely false strikes.