Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Model output discussion 10/02/21


Message added by Paul,

Please ensure you only post about the model output in this thread. 
For local snow discussion and will it snow posts, please use the regional threads
For more general chat please use the chat, moans and ramps thread.

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    39 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

    All Easter egg hunts will require hats and gloves kids.

    That is if the 12z ECM mean has anything to do with it 🐣

    You don’t see many Easter days like this 🤗

    image.thumb.gif.7cd43af3ff92d60bb3912a1d171da30e.gifimage.thumb.gif.92358fb22c587e3492f8da42b7b84350.gif

    Hope it's colder/better than that Feb effort! never properly got cold enough for proper snaw, this looks colder and a northerly

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Welwyn Garden City
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal and interesting weather including summer storms and winter snow
  • Location: Welwyn Garden City
    11 minutes ago, LRD said:

    Got to be honest and I don't want to be a killjoy here but I don't think you nor I, in our respective locations, will see an awful lot of snow anyway. If GFS is correct some lows crashing into colder air will give us more chance late on next week

    The north, in places, look like getting something significant out of this, however

    Its not so much the snow LRD just the fact that showers are only being shown around the coast as in mid winter by the met office . I don't expect much if any snow around here however I would expect to see some shower cloud development with rain/hail/sleet maybe given the synoptic set up at this time of year....

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Colder upper air temps then the disappointing feb cold-spell,as we head into April,one day we will get Arctic northerly in early January!

    • Like 7
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers with thunderstorms, stormy or fog/frost autumns, cold winters
  • Location: Bedfordshire
    4 minutes ago, minus10 said:

    Its not so much the snow LRD just the fact that showers are only being shown around the coast as in mid winter by the met office . I don't expect much if any snow around here however I would expect to see some shower cloud development with rain/hail/sleet maybe given the synoptic set up at this time of year....

    Wouldn't worry. Something will turn up. I'd like to see a thunderstorm lasting for an hour or two. Don't often see them in colder weather so that'd be of interest, at least

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
    25 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Hope it's colder/better than that Feb effort! never properly got cold enough for proper snaw, this looks colder and a northerly

    I really wouldn’t expect much (if any) lying snow away from 200m +. Even a hint of any sunlight will instantly melt any slush that does form for most. Sorry to be a grinch but I’m ready for spring now 🤞

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Hampton, Evesham, Worcestershire. 27m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme and Exciting weather, hate stratus clouds and drizzile
  • Location: Hampton, Evesham, Worcestershire. 27m asl.
    34 minutes ago, stodge said:

    I'm certainly expecting some heavy downpours in lowland east London with hail or thunder.

    Snow? No, in all honesty - maybe a flake or two falling but nothing settling.

    -8 850s across most of the country by Monday.

    I think the Extreme cold charts from both Ecm and Gfs at this time of year would deliver snow at low levels..

    • Like 5
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)

    April snow is rare .... but seems to crop up every 13/14 years ???

    1981 ... too young don’t remember

    1994 remember snow showers over grand national weekend I think aintree had a good covering on morning of the national .

    2008 remember returning home from a Saturday night out 2.40 am 3 inch snow on all roads taxi struggling !!

    2021 ? 🤞🏻 Again 😆

    • Like 8
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers with thunderstorms, stormy or fog/frost autumns, cold winters
  • Location: Bedfordshire
    3 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:

    I think the Extreme cold charts from both Ecm and Gfs at this time of year would deliver snow at low levels..

    Extreme? Is it really extreme? Uppers of -7/-8 in April aren't unheard of. Pretty cold, yes. Extreme? I'm not so sure

    I think Stodge is right. Might be a flake or two in southern, lowland England but nothing of significance. North of a line from Manchester to Lincoln could see something unusual I s'pose. Scotland guaranteed to see winter for a few days

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)

    Then GFS Pub run is cold brrrr🥶 

    image.thumb.png.f0f3c4940923bbef1389140e6875060a.pngimage.thumb.gif.03000ed7c3d813f1241d86ac7af70c5e.gifimage.thumb.png.b4009628012c4244ba688009fd653ebd.pngimage.thumb.png.509e980b9112376661d13fc39f7fee62.png

    • Like 7
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
    5 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

    Then GFS Pub run is cold brrrr🥶 

    image.thumb.png.f0f3c4940923bbef1389140e6875060a.pngimage.thumb.gif.03000ed7c3d813f1241d86ac7af70c5e.gifimage.thumb.png.b4009628012c4244ba688009fd653ebd.pngimage.thumb.png.509e980b9112376661d13fc39f7fee62.png

    Quite a margin for error for the UK now on that run at just 5 days out.  This arctic plunge is happening. 

    Edited by Mike Poole
    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
    5 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

    Quite a margin for error for the UK now on that run at just 5 days out.  This arctic plunge is happening. 

    I couldn’t Agee with more, but like you mentioned is only five days out, looking good if you ask me with tweaks 😉

    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Northamptonshire, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy days and long hot summer days with a big overnight thunderstorm
  • Location: Northamptonshire, UK

    Blooming heck GFS 18z!

    1633968919_GFS1.thumb.PNG.07e4502bf5b057437992643e1b692294.PNG661154655_GFS2.thumb.PNG.34d2e38a6ed917f89f1e6a87d850fa53.PNG

    • Like 9
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    20 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

    Quite a margin for error for the UK now on that run at just 5 days out.  This arctic plunge is happening. 

    Expect a major backtrack now in the morning from all models December 2012 style! 😱🤪

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    Wow the 18z GFS is just northerly after northerly after northerly. would shape up to be a very cold first half if it came to fruition. 

    • Like 7
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Welwyn Garden City
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal and interesting weather including summer storms and winter snow
  • Location: Welwyn Garden City
    33 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    18z gfs is an epic stonker, frigid cold for a week with snow chances.

     

    channel low with cornwall buried.

    image.thumb.png.1518225a4bad1295e7a09c9389e9df22.png

    image.thumb.png.6235e7d03824754d3d10c31e7008f1be.png

    This should be framed with Feb's statement as a caption "18z gfs is an epic stonker" for future record of   the screaming northerly of easter 2021 (subject to it verifying of course). Love it....😀

    • Like 7
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
     Share

    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...