North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards

[Thunder Snow]

Is it worth reading to much into these charts and forecast or does Cumbria come under a nowcsst depending what makes it over the hills

[chris78]

48 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Well let’s have a bit of fun. By 5pm on Wednesday 10th Feb predict your snow depth  I’m going for a dusting barely measurable - say 1cm. Let’s go for concrete in back or front garden. 
 

 

Ill say dusting here, snow but less than 1cm

[damianslaw]

2 minutes ago, Thunder Snow said:

Is it worth reading to much into these charts and forecast or does Cumbria come under a nowcsst depending what makes it over the hills

The system isn't moving in from the east, its dropping from the north through Dumfries and Galloway, need go look to the north and how the front moves, it wont be forced east as it is being forced west..so can only drop south.

Edited February 3, 2021 by damianslaw

[Day 10]

Pinched from the Mad thread, ECM Monday.

us_model-en-999-0_modez_2021020312_117_4855_155.webp

I'd bank continuous light powder snow anyday!

Edited February 3, 2021 by Day 10

[iand61]

5 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

For most of us, snow pilling across east to west as that low slips South Saturday & Sunday.

At least we’ve been allowed to buy a ticket to this gig, just a shame that it is seats allocated on arrival and we don’t know whether we will be sat at the front or in tier 3 with an obscured view of the stage.

[iand61]

8 minutes ago, NickyB said:

 

I hope that’s not the northerly limit or the eastbound carriageway of the M62 will be as far as it gets.

[SnowWatcher2]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Pinched from the Mad thread, ECM Monday.

us_model-en-999-0_modez_2021020312_117_4855_155.webp 59.23 kB · 6 downloads

We best take cover.

[Day 10]

Just now, iand61 said:

I hope that’s not the northerly limit or the eastbound carriageway of the M62 will be as far as it gets.

It started on Sat much further North so you should be fine

[Andypvfc]

7 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Bbc weather 

ECM -12 uppers and snow showers piling in Wednesday 

@Spah1 I am going for a historic event here 12cm for South cheshire some where in this region i am going for 30cm

C.S

Hmmmm, not seen it, but if you get 12cm, Talke should do OK tbf. Many times I've had Snow in Talke but nothing Alsager / Crewe

[NickyB]

2 minutes ago, iand61 said:

I hope that’s not the northerly limit or the eastbound carriageway of the M62 will be as far as it gets.

No it wasn’t ... if it stalls then the next image showed it all further north and covering all our region.

[Frosty the Snowman]

Presumably that Atlantic Low out to the west careering to into the cold air could give us a severe snowstorm, might be as a breakdown but would be quite a nice progression if we got an easterly first then that Atlantic low careering into the UK. 

[iand61]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

It started on Sat much further North so you should be fine

Any chance of it reaching Turf Moor in the next half hour and dumping a couple of feet of snow in the Burnley half.

that said they’d probably still lob it over Popes head and into the goal

[raul_sbd]

1 hour ago, Spah1 said:

Well let’s have a bit of fun. By 5pm on Wednesday 10th Feb predict your snow depth  I’m going for a dusting barely measurable - say 1cm. Let’s go for concrete in back or front garden. 
 

 

3cm here for Costa del Sale

Edited February 3, 2021 by raul_sbd

[Spah1]

The Great BFTE Snow Depth Prediction
 

Frosty - Blackburn 6inch

Andypvfc - Cheshire 2cm

iand61 Bacup - 10-30cm

Snow Free Zone - 0cm

Joe Snow - Sandbach 4cm

Slidergate 17 Sale 2cm

Winter Hill - Horwich - 10cm

Chicken Soup - Blackburn - dusting 

William Glossop - 15cm

Osca31 - Brigrigg Cumbria- 1cm

Robbo - Hattersley - 8cm

Cheshire Snow - Northwich - 12cm

Chris78 - Preston - 1cm

Raul_sbd - Sale - 3cm

 

£5 to the Winner for a Fish supper ! 
 

Deadline 5pm Thursday! 

Edited February 3, 2021 by Spah1

[Day 10]

[Day 10]

3 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

The Great BFTE Snow Depth Prediction
 

Frosty - Blackburn 6inch

Andypvfc - Cheshire 2cm

iand61 Bacup - 10-30cm

Snow Free Zone - 0cm

Joe Snow - Sandbach 4cm

Slidergate 17 Sale 2cm

Winter Hill - Horwich - 10cm

Chicken Soup - Blackburn - dusting 

William Glossop - 15cm

Osca31 - Brigrigg Cumbria- 1cm

Robbo - Hattersley - 8cm

Cheshire Snow - Northwich - 12cm

Chris78 - Preston - 1cm

 

£5 to the Winner for a Fish supper ! 
 

Deadline 5pm Thursday! 

From when to when?

[Frosty the Snowman]

 

Speaking of bringing the Atlantic low in and colliding it with  the cold air for a snowy breakdown - here's a Day 10 chart that probably needs storing in some people's private folders  

[Frosty the Snowman]

33 minutes ago, chicken soup said:

I'll add a light dusting for Blackburn blowing about in the wind. 

 

Be interesting to see which of us is right with such wildly differing predictions 

[Spah1]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

From when to when?

Deadline 5pm tomorrow. 
 

Final measure 5pm Wednesday, concrete surface allowing for drifting, best guess. 

[Thunder Snow]

8 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

The Great BFTE Snow Depth Prediction
 

Frosty - Blackburn 6inch

Andypvfc - Cheshire 2cm

iand61 Bacup - 10-30cm

Snow Free Zone - 0cm

Joe Snow - Sandbach 4cm

Slidergate 17 Sale 2cm

Winter Hill - Horwich - 10cm

Chicken Soup - Blackburn - dusting 

William Glossop - 15cm

Osca31 - Brigrigg Cumbria- 1cm

Robbo - Hattersley - 8cm

Cheshire Snow - Northwich - 12cm

Chris78 - Preston - 1cm

Raul_sbd - Sale - 3cm

 

£5 to the Winner for a Fish supper ! 
 

Deadline 5pm Thursday! 

Carlisle 0.5cm lol

[iand61]

5 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Now that looks better although the stills don’t do Susan Powell any justice.

she looks like she’s just won a months enforced watching of Emmerdale

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Deadline 5pm tomorrow. 
 

Final measure 5pm Wednesday, concrete surface allowing for drifting, best guess. 

Ok I'll go 5cm for the Wirral.

[cheshire snow]

4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Bank

No doubt a bit of wriggle room here and there not wanting to but a downer on things but its going to happen sooner or later but models now agreeing  on a breakdown Thursday so looking like a bitterly cold 5 days before the Atlantic gets back in but boy the breakdown looks like giving big falls as it hits the cold air.

C.S

[SnowWatcher2]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Deadline 5pm tomorrow. 
 

Final measure 5pm Wednesday, concrete surface allowing for drifting, best guess. 

I'll go for a positive 8cm here 

[A Face like Thunder]

Face like Thunder - Crewe - Nil