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North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards


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I had to get out before the sun melted it all. 

Some brilliant walking conditions this morning apart from the sheer depth of snow, almost a foot fell here last night and not a Met O warning in site. made for some good photographs though, altho

Heaviest single fall of snow for several years here and the heaviest in April since 1981.  

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Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
    2 minutes ago, SnowWatcher2 said:

    image.thumb.png.2b0ded780435284b498ec9898208456b.png < Liking the NW-SR also. 🙂 

    Am I seeing things or does that look slightly further north.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sunny crisp frosty days & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
    2 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    That’s good! Arpege was quite good at 06z too, glad it has maintained the theme. That HARMONIE link that @Dkeane3 posted was decent. 
     

    Could be some surprises tomorrow. 

    This week could be nothing in terms of cold compared to next.

    GFS at 168

    That cold pool still looks like it's headed this way - Brutal.

    gfsnh-0-168.thumb.png.924d4523b4dac9c27af87efee52e6029.pnggfsnh-1-168.thumb.png.3cbed2abac16a1d6a5351d084c2f656a.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

    6874F3F9-C9CB-4251-BDDF-689AA58BEB21.thumb.png.f01e7667c9193eb3ae2155354e8817f7.png

    Dear me. 
     

    If this is right another boring Easterly ☹️

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    Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sunny crisp frosty days & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
    Just now, Spah1 said:

    6874F3F9-C9CB-4251-BDDF-689AA58BEB21.thumb.png.f01e7667c9193eb3ae2155354e8817f7.png

    Dear me. 
     

    If this is right another boring Easterly ☹️

    🙄

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

    Rock and Roll the radar look at that little streamer pop up over Norwich.

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    12z ARPEGE is actually a brilliant run for tomorrow. For mine and @Day 10 ‘s benefit (other frames are better for other parts of the region) 😂 

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

    I’m working in Kirkham tomorrow. Possible the least snowiest town in the Country. 

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    Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

    Precipitation Rate: 0.03mm/hr < Current snow rate here. Worked out it would take just over 11 days for me to get my 8cm I predicted  😄

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    Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

    Temp here has dropped to 0.4C now

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    2 hours ago, Joe Snow said:

    For Sandbach I've used Xc weather that tends to be the most accurate in terms of temp locally more so than BBC and the MO. I'm hovering around 1c max throughout much of the week with the risk of ice days increasing as the week goes on particularly if we get snow cover to lower overnight temps so with your height ice days definitely likely particularly mid week onwards. Dew points are low too so any snow will be the powdery type that sticks around and ices over. Fingers crossed you get a good covering of snow too - Stoke/ North Staffs looking well placed. Hoping S Cheshire can get in on the act tonight into tomorrow/Tuesday. 

    Cheers Joe.

    Fingers crossed eh? I think some are really going to get it and others aren't, this is the nature of the streamers...at the moment we are in prime spot with some complaining (rightly so 😂) that they aren't under the streamers for tomorrow...but then the 12z could shift it north or south...it really is a wait it out type of event. I just want to enjoy it for what it is...otherwise I will get overly frustrated if the streamer moves etc.  What I would like is a subzero day so what snow falls - and I expect us all to see some falling snow - will stick and blow about.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sunny crisp frosty days & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside

    The signal for Feb to go from Bitter to Brutal seems to be growing.

    gfsnh-1-210.thumb.png.24366447b06fb4ef65da7c0ef7da5820.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    12 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    12z ARPEGE is actually a brilliant run for tomorrow. For mine and @Day 10 ‘s benefit (other frames are better for other parts of the region) 😂 

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    Boooooo!! You've pinched our streamer!! Dam that shift north 😂😂😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
    1 minute ago, captaincroc said:

    Cheers Joe.

    Fingers crossed eh? I think some are really going to get it and others aren't, this is the nature of the streamers...at the moment we are in prime spot with some complaining (rightly so 😂) that they aren't under the streamers for tomorrow...but then the 12z could shift it north or south...it really is a wait it out type of event. I just want to enjoy it for what it is...otherwise I will get overly frustrated if the streamer moves etc.  What I would like is a subzero day so what snow falls - and I expect us all to see some falling snow - will stick and blow about.

    You just know it will end up in the Midlands! 

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    Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
    1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

    The signal for Feb to go from Bitter to Brutal seems to be growing.

    gfsnh-1-210.thumb.png.24366447b06fb4ef65da7c0ef7da5820.png

    image.thumb.png.4dd2e82c2f84cf4282a57e13bfa0fe7c.png < Even Met app on board for continuing cold now.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

    You just know it will end up in the Midlands! 

    Well geographically I am on the Cheshire border so have more weather relationship to the North West as most of the 'Midlands' events (like the past few sliders) we miss. 😭😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    12z GEM

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    Upgrade for the NW. again other frames better for other areas of the region. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Walton le Dale, Preston, Lancashire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, icy, snowy etc
  • Location: Walton le Dale, Preston, Lancashire
    24 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

    6874F3F9-C9CB-4251-BDDF-689AA58BEB21.thumb.png.f01e7667c9193eb3ae2155354e8817f7.png

    Dear me. 
     

    If this is right another boring Easterly ☹️

     

    What's boring about it? 

     

    Rather than than mild, rainy dross and everywhere saturated 

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    Just now, Joe Bloggs said:

    12z GEM

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    Upgrade for the NW. again other frames better for other areas of the region. 

    That's more like it Joe!!  You're back in the good books!

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
    6 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

    Boooooo!! You've pinched our streamer!! Dam that shift north 😂😂😂

    Don’t worry I only posted the ones that looked good for my patch 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
    1 minute ago, captaincroc said:

    That's more like it Joe!!  You're back in the good books!

    This is going to be like tug of war with the streamers 🤣

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    Just now, SnowWatcher2 said:

    This is going to be like tug of war with the streamers 🤣

    😂😂😂😂😂 I was literally going to post the same thing.

     

    Genuinely, If I get a ice day with a bit of blowy snow on the ground then I will be happy. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sunny crisp frosty days & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
    1 minute ago, SnowWatcher2 said:

    This is going to be like tug of war with the streamers 🤣

    I just want my first bloody cm! 😂

    A cm would do as it's not going to melt much if at all.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

    I just want my first bloody cm! 😂

    A cm would do as it's not going to melt much if at all.

    I know the weather doesn't work this way but if I could push the streamer over to you Day 10 I would.  I have had a few good falls here and if you have had none then you can have it!

    *Sends good thoughts 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    Don’t worry Cheshire and Staffs lot, if you run the sequence on both models you get some snow too 🙂 

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    • Thundery breakdown underway but still some last minute sunshine and warmth this weekend

      The heatwave is over, with the breakdown getting underway in southern England first this weekend. Further north and west there'll still be plenty of very warm sunshine on offer, before the weather becomes much less settled countrywide next week. Read the full update here

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      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-07-24 07:44:05 Valid: 24/07/2021 0600 - 25/07/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - SAT 24TH JULY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

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      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-07-23 07:27:43 Valid: 23/07/2021 0600 - 24/07/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRIDAY 23 JULY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

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