Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

[snowice]

Fantastic 120

[Continental Climate]

5 minutes ago, That ECM said:

T96 yep T96 no seriously T96.

Mother of God!!!!!

[Battleground Snow]

Just now, Mr snowman 2018 said:

And at 120 hours we are firmly in the freezer !

I'm expecting this to show quite a bit of snow for the south east when the charts update, looks very unstable with the kink in the isobars

[That ECM]

Some have posted T120 but you can’t get enough of posts with these charts in right? Stunning

[Mr snowman 2018]

Would be plenty of snow around at +120 on the ECM !

[supernova]

GFS Op goes onto be an outlier later on in the GEFS as it tries to keep the cold in for longer rather than a snowy breakdown from the South West as some other models are suggesting but is firmly supported until then (also raising the prospect of building Scandi heights and extending the cold). We have cross model agreement guys, meaningful Easterly at 96hrs with pretty similar placement for the limpet low from all. 

The whole country swathed in -8 or better by Monday night and significantly earlier than that the further north you go. Finally. My first BOOOM!

Edited February 3, 2021 by supernova

[Battleground Snow]

Delete

Edited February 3, 2021 by Battleground Snow
Please delete, unintentionally misleading

[KTtom]

19 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Channel low at 144, south buried!

Sorry to be a party pooper, but uppers are a bit dodgey to make that statement. .. maybe the southern midlands buried

Edited February 3, 2021 by KTtom

[Mr snowman 2018]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Channel low at 144, south buried!

Rain at coast I’m afraid the uppers aren’t low enough high ground would do well 

[Battleground Snow]

Just now, KTtom said:

Sorry to be a party pooper, but uppers are a bit dodgey to make that statement. 

No you are incorrect, the wind is coming in due east, it will be all snow even on the beaches

[mother nature rocks]

9 minutes ago, snowice said:

Fantastic 120

We are about to be swallowed by the beast as you can see in this chart

Fantastic sets of models this morning and counting down nicely

[TSNWK]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

No you are incorrect, the wind is coming in due east, it will be all snow even on the beaches

Serious question but his with uppers of -1 in the south east

[Captain Shortwave]

The ECM again shows low pressure moving back towards the U.K. from the continent, however it is a much bigger swing back after clearing into France earlier in the run. I would have thought there would be a front along that which would bring heavy snow before turning briefly less cold in the south (850s yes but possibly not at the surface).

Cold/very cold for all again at day 7.

Edited February 3, 2021 by Captain Shortwave

[That ECM]

Let’s not discuss in detail a low that is 6 days away. Let’s enjoy these wonderful charts. Look to our nw. Heights building.

Edited February 3, 2021 by That ECM

[Battleground Snow]

2 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Serious question but his with uppers of -1 in the south east

Yes should be okay, could possibly be a brief period of rain, but it wouldn't last long

[Continental Climate]

168 ECM utterly marvellous a lot of the country bathed in -10s. Loads of snow showers piling in southerly jet and the ecm toying with further height rises to the north. I firmly believe this is a real option now. This could become legendary!!! 

[supernova]

34 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:

The ECM again shows low pressure moving back towards the U.K. from the continent, however it is a much bigger swing back after clearing into France. I would have thought there would be a front along that which would bring heavy snow before turning briefly less cold in the south (850s yes but possibly not at the surface).

And the colder uppers quickly return so surely worst case back edge snow as the low disrupts east?

 

Edited February 3, 2021 by supernova

[Kentspur]

5 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Serious question but his with uppers of -1 in the south east

Fear not, its back for a second bite with -9c uppers flooding back in from the ENE- that's a huge difference in that timeframe

Edited February 3, 2021 by Kentspur

[Flake news]

5 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

No you are incorrect, the wind is coming in due east, it will be all snow even on the beaches

Even the Beast was at best slush on the beaches where I am

[Speedbird]

1 minute ago, Kentspur said:

Fear not, its back for a second bite with -9c uppers flooding back in from the ENE- that's a huge difference in that timeframe

The 144 chart is an absolute beaut for us in the south east

[KTtom]

10 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

No you are incorrect, the wind is coming in due east, it will be all snow even on the beaches

Perhaps you could back this up then with a chart?. ...I can't post image but snow depth chart shows 0.04 to 0.2 inches for the south at that time...hardly buried! 

Edited February 3, 2021 by KTtom

[JoeShmoe]

Does anyone have those ECM snow depth charts? We’re going to need shovels in Eastern Scotland I think

[Battleground Snow]

3 minutes ago, KTtom said:

Perhaps you could back this up then with a chart?. ...I can't post image but snow depth chart shows 0.04 to 0.2 inches for the south at that time...hardly buried! 

Frustratingly the wxcharts are not updating.

[KTtom]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

Frustratingly the wxcharts are not updating.

It does improve after the low passes tho..

 

[sheikhy]

Cmon guys keerp em coming!!!wheres the 192 hour chart?!!i just woke up!!told u the 00zs will be boom