South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

[OzzyUK]

4 minutes ago, Wynter said:

And again, why are you changing what was said? Was ridiculed last night for following the MOs updates and watching the MO app update for the worst. I was told just watch the radar.... 

Didn't need to do that obviously, because the MO was right. So no, we're not in agreement at all.

Just to be clear, you are saying that the Met Office was right, but at the same time this is the same Met Office that put out amber and yellow warnings for areas that might now see substantially less snow than predicted?

Watching the radar was the correct advice.

Not going to argue with someone over the internet, never have and don't plan to start now.

Hope you get some snow in the coming days, even if this is a busted flush there are still some opportunities.

[Paul Sherman]

2 minutes ago, classylady said:

Good morning all you mad people! Just woken up, quick look out the window and it’s still raining, Should I go back to bed for a couple of hours or stay up? Hmmm...

Back to bed and wake up at 7am I reckon

[Snowman.]

2 minutes ago, Southender said:

Morning Paul...

Dare I ask where the snow is at?

Front was defo too far NE which was the worst possible outcome I would say. As it takes longer to cool and we don’t get any action. 

[Speedbird]

1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Yeah there is a certain element of sense to that.

The winds will turn more ENE towards Monday evening, though as per everything the placements of the lows will dictate exactly when that will happen.

AROME still giving over 25cms to the area just east of Maidstone fwiw which obviously if a NE streamer does form is quite a possible outcome.

Still I'm saddened that there are going to be a lot of very dissapointed people out there first thing tomorrow is things don't shift soon. I expected nothing, but its even worse to expect lots and then struggle.

I was there myself a few years ago in Jan 19.

Everything looked so rosey 12 hours ago and the MetO are seemingly still bullish (although the acid test will come later when they review current warnings)

There's more than enough to keep my interest intact although it's equally easy to see why some are all also dejected.

[Paul Sherman]

Yes Darcy is nearer Denmark than she is to the Uk, if you look on Sat24 at the Benelux radar and run it you can see a finger of cloud now running in a straight NE To SW line down the coast of the Uk

[James Maidstone]

After a couple of hours of stalling and even rising temps in Maidstone now dropping relatively quickly (exactly in line with met office forecast tbh)  temp 1.8.  Dp 1.2

As someone said in a previous post about GFS having it slightly further north and west.  That would tie in with the slower transition.  Things an hour or two slow but I think all will be good.

[abruzzi spartan]

Steady rain at 110m.  2.6c and dewpoint 1.3c.  

At least I only set the alarm for the cricket and not for snow!

[Thunderstruck]

I think I’m going back to sleep, and will reassess in a couple of hours or whenever I wake up

Good luck all! Let’s hope it’s just running late!

[Seasonal Trim]

I will carry on this argument because I never said the MO was right. I said I was "following the MOs updates" which were showing this as a bust until during Monday day time.

If I had just watched the radar without following the MO I would have been staring at the radar all night wondering why nothing was happening! What a waste of time that would have been.

So again, no, watching the radar was the incorrect advice. 

[Southender]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yes Darcy is nearer Denmark than she is to the Uk, if you look on Sat24 at the Benelux radar and run it you can see a finger of cloud now running in a straight NE To SW line down the coast of the Uk

Right so we are talking a delay rather than cancellation here right?!

[suffolkboy_]

Snowing in East Suffolk (no real elevation) and 1.0C. Obviously not laying. 
 

I woke up and looked at the radar and thought precipitation was going to be the issue, not temperature!  Actually surprised how heavy it is compared to what the radar shows 

[kold weather]

Just looking at traffic cameras and M2 at J1-2 is showing snow at the moment, not seeing many signs elsewhere yet of snow in the roads in the area.

[Honey]

Omg just rain  

 

[Daniel*]

Definitely front further north than AROME.

P

[scrat]

It’s snowing here and the wind has really picked up. There is certainly a delay but let’s not throw the towel in yet x

[winterfreak]

Despite some haughtiness about people trusting what apps say, the ‘event’ has been continuously pushed back for a ever later start. The Met office had our area down from 2am for the start. The Dutch radar that was showing from around 3/4am has delayed now to much later on. Of course, the weather will do as it pleases but it highlights, perhaps quite painfully, the sheer complexity of how our weather systems work and how, when you try to convince a somewhat already sceptical public that climate change needs urgent address, no matter how many millions of pounds are poured into ever more complex computers that try to unlock the secrets of our climate, that they are often hopelessly wrong! It’s the crying wolf effect. I’m still hopeful of course that the boys will get a snowball fight today but it goes to show how basic our understanding of the weather really is. 

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Southender said:

Right so we are talking a delay rather than cancellation here right?!

yesssss

Good signs its snowing 40 miles to our north and good signs we still have a North Easterly off the land and not hot easterly off the tropical bath lol

[BLS]

Guys calm down it’s just late

[Jamie M]

 

[tight isobar]

Right having a break from here for a while.. I’m off to watch only fools and horses on Netflix.. then after that I’ll be bk in here for some comedy

[Paul Sherman]

Just now, Spraggyy said:

Guys calm down it’s just late

Yes and Girls are allowed to be late..... Maybe Darcy thinks its her wedding day and she has gone around the block a few more times

[Maidstone marginal]

3 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Just looking at traffic cameras and M2 at J1-2 is showing snow at the moment, not seeing many signs elsewhere yet of snow in the roads in the area.

Maybe Boxley downs have snow but I'd get soaked by walking up there. Onwards and upwards  ay

[kold weather]

1 minute ago, Jamie M said:

 

Yes this is the area that has been under the heaviest precipitation now for several hours which has obviously dragged the colder temps down to the extent that it has now allowed snow to settle. They could quite easily be on 3-5cms by sunrise.

Timing wise AROME isn't far off at the moment based on the above.

[snow raven]

4 minutes ago, Southender said:

Right so we are talking a delay rather than cancellation here right?!

I hope so! I must be mad, setting my alarm for 5am on a Sunday morning!!

Still raining here btw

[essexweather]

Just got off the phone with the duty forecaster in Exeter. Slight delay with the colder air, but snow for the Amber zone still expected.

No bust... yet!