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February 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests


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The official numbers show that the second half (15th to end including leap years) of Feb 2021 ranks fourth in the daily data era (1772 to 2021), this is the top ten now:  1. 2019 ___ 8.81 _______

For winter February 2021 appears to be a record.  

The February CET came in at 5.1C: 0.2C above the 91-20 average 1.3C above the 61-90 average 1.1C above the 20th century average 1.1C above the 19th century average Compared with

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Posted
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands

    4*C and 80mm of precipitation, please 

    A month with a mixture of cold and mild spells I feel

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

    Quarantine month, so obviously not expecting full blown mild Atlantic, colder/drier than average 3.1C, 55mm

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    Posted
  • Location: Carmagnola, Turin, Piedmont, Italy, 240 m a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/cool all over the year. Winter favourite season
  • Location: Carmagnola, Turin, Piedmont, Italy, 240 m a.s.l.

    3.9° and 58 mm

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    Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy, wintry weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.

    Hi Roger,

    Please can I have the following, for February.

    2.8 C and 57 mm.

    I've gone with what an acquaintance of mine, South East Meteorologist Ian Currie, suggests temperature wise, for February.

    He said that the early part of Winter has reminded him of the 1953/54 Winter.

    February 1954, came in with a C.E.T. of 2.6 C., with very cold N.E winds, in the first half.

    Ian expects a colder than average Month, with some Snow before mid-Month but I've mitigated this by a mild final third.

    Regards,

    Tom. 👍

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    1.6 C and 70.8mm please 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Going for 3.2C and 80mm of rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

    4c and 100mm

    thank you please

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    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

    2.4c  88mm cold one

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.

    Difficult guess.

    And my possible last ever numbers in this tread:  FWIW, 

    1.9.

    55MM.

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    Posted
  • Location: Addingham moorside West Yorkshire 2-250m
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Crisp Cold Days
  • Location: Addingham moorside West Yorkshire 2-250m

    0.1 and 88mm for me 

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Could be historic month, when you look at the NH profile! 

    -0.9 c

    112 mm

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

    3.3c and 85mm please - again, may change, waiting to see how prolonged cold is - GEFS say short lived.

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    Posted
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWY WINTERS AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT

    Too much hype regarding February I don’t think it Will be a very cold month I think it will be quite mild 7.5c and 100 5MM precipitation.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    For "Windysun" above, I got a p.m. confirming that the -- was punctuation not negative 2.2, so the entry reads 2.2 C (and 92 mm). 

    Entrant wished to edit post but edit not available. Will mention this to J10 as the post looks like a minus more than punctuation (we get this problem with the -- punctuation frequently, I have sent a few messages to entrants over the years for clarity when making up tables of entries).

    Best solution, be like SLEETY or Duncan McAlister and place your minus sign where it can't appear to be punctuation. 

    As always, the models are chopping and changing like mad, the current GEM output looks frigid, the ECM tepid, the GFS cold with deeper cold lurking near end (as usual). 

    They have quite a severe winter in Fantasy Island, I think the winter means are around -5 C there. 

    Edited by Roger J Smith
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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
    47 minutes ago, syed2878 said:

    I think it will be quite mild 7.5c 

    That would be exceptionally mild, would be joint 2nd warmest on record.

     

    I'm going for 3.9C and 55mm

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

    I’m holding back for now.....I’m wary of the buckles being shown...it is Britain after all.

     

    BFTP

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire

    Possibly the most tricky month ever during my time on Netweather!  I'm going to leave it until tomorrow evening bit even then I will probably still be none the wiser!

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