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Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?


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Ok, I have a bit of an update. Looks like the correction westward for today got the predicted snowfall about right . Nowcasting really comes into its own for this weekend. The team think another corre

Please allow me this small divergence mods... I feel like the last 3 weeks have been a bit of a blur. I caught Covid tail end of 2020 and was really rough with it. Low oxygen levels leading to in

I have had it once in October and again December the 30th. Theres a bit of chat over whether i have had it once had long covid and tested positive again as symptoms came back in December or caugh

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Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
    1 minute ago, That ECM said:

    T144 Ukmo.  What I would give for the ridge and the artic high to hook up 😩😄 oh well.

    2D193B45-97F0-4B43-B83D-771E10794CB6.gif

    Wonder what the 850’s are like 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    2 minutes ago, Griff said:

    What hope in hell the parallel will back this up in a few minutes time? 

    gfsnh-0-114.png

    Spoke too soon only one way this is going 

    gfsnh-0-126.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Banbury
  • Weather Preferences: Deep Deep Snow causing chaos
  • Location: Banbury
    2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

    Ukmo at 144

    Pretty consistent with the 00z run

     

    UN144-21 (19).gif

    And shows a LP about to run across the channel 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    Just now, The BEAST From The East said:

    Good or bad? 🖒

    Going west to my eye, so initially bad, but keep being told it could lead to interest further on. My glass is half empty. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Cambridge
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, heat, sunshine and thunderstorms. Anything severe.
  • Location: Cambridge

    UKMO 12z should drag in some decent uppers beyond t144 by the look of it.👍

    0F2C83EC-5D09-4C36-9E96-C0A249C9873F.thumb.gif.d03fcfffbe6eca775639ec4b1b35ffe2.gifBD1CFCCA-D886-45F5-94BB-3E60EA30DCBE.thumb.gif.67a635e0712b35919448bf89b0f77a3d.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Banbury
  • Weather Preferences: Deep Deep Snow causing chaos
  • Location: Banbury

    GFSP out to 102h bit early to condemn it 

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    Posted
  • Location: Neath Valleys, South Wales 109m asl
  • Location: Neath Valleys, South Wales 109m asl

    144 on GFS and UKMO and the chase is back on. 

    Cold pool developing to the north being, sliders and a new attempt at Atlantic riding. 

    Let the games begin. 

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  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

    Cant complain about the ukmo and gfs up to 144 hours so far🤷‍♂️

    You might be psychic too 😉

    👍

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    Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
    2 minutes ago, Frosty Winter said:

    UKMO 12z should drag in some decent uppers beyond t144 by the look of it.👍

    0F2C83EC-5D09-4C36-9E96-C0A249C9873F.thumb.gif.d03fcfffbe6eca775639ec4b1b35ffe2.gifBD1CFCCA-D886-45F5-94BB-3E60EA30DCBE.thumb.gif.67a635e0712b35919448bf89b0f77a3d.gif

    It’s interesting. Similar looking charts 

    C39403E7-8B07-44C2-9F18-6C309546A78D.gif

    EF125533-02AB-4BA7-828F-98A3740A70CA.png

    A2B91579-DCF8-4762-8145-65F8BC5B2172.png

    C95E4C5B-EB61-4018-B0C7-10FD67681374.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
    1 minute ago, Griff said:

    Parallel doesn't care about my feelings 

    gfsnh-0-138.png

    Don't worry Griff, it *should* unphase (I don't think that's a word?).

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    Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
    4 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

    Arctic high drifting this way at 174. Should help further on into the run and push everything further south.

     

     

    gfsnh-0-174 (9).png

    Helping to make the jet push further south 

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    I think the problem with the current evolution is the constant top up of energy into the UK troughing .

    The deep vorticity to the ne chucks those little purple energy supplies sw and you can see how this helps to deepen the UK troughing .

    We need that supply cut off !

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    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
    1 minute ago, Ice Day said:

    Don't worry Griff, it *should* unphase (I don't think that's a word?).

    My lack of experience is keeping my expectations very low here, just looks like both versions of gfs are destined to West based -nao in FI, with half of UK in mild air

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now

    Upgrade in the heights towards Greenland at T96 on GEM

    gem-0-96.png

    gem-0-108.png

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    Posted
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
  • Location: essex/suffolk/cambs border
    48 minutes ago, sebastiaan1973 said:

    I wouldn't consider it small adjustments. The realy cold is far away in the north (east).

    GFSAVGEU06_240_2.png

    A small adjustment to the Artic High would push the Jet further South. Your Chart is way out in the future. 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Oxfordshire
  • Location: South Oxfordshire

    So if 180 is impossibly far in the future, this is just pointless FI? 🤔 

    gfsnh-0-210.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Newport South East Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!!
  • Location: Newport South East Wales

    getting there .....but nothing noteworthy though .....1584571820_uppers24thJan.thumb.png.e00b0c25090a8fa84f501bf1c97218c0.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay Kent
  • Location: Herne Bay Kent
    17 minutes ago, ALL ABOARD said:

    144 on GFS and UKMO and the chase is back on. 

    Cold pool developing to the north being, sliders and a new attempt at Atlantic riding. 

    Let the games begin. 

    How do see the next round of games including? 

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