South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[alexisj9]

12 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

 

AROME really spewing out eye candy with the front stalling around North Kent/Essex and pivoting in the late night.

 

I would love this to be right for my back yard lol, but I'm not so sure it will be. Love the fact it has snow over me not sleet or rain. Very unlikely.

[Hammer]

This set to go South of me. 

[Tim Bland]

Soft hail has since turned to snow with a dusting in Stevenage 

[Mark wheeler]

No snow yet but it looks quite convective . Some showers coming In from the north west .

Edited January 23, 2021 by Mark wheeler

[lawrenk]

Over on the main thread it seems to be the case that the GFS is tracking things further north tomorrow, which I suspect may put me and others towards the south of the region out of the game. 

May be better for those in the north and west of the region though and just one model so shouldn’t give up hope just yet!

[snowblind]

Just had a very heavy snow shower in North Essex, some truly enormous flakes. Went on for about 20 mins, was just starting to settle on the grass and cars and it stopped. Max temp today was 2.3 now down to 1.9

[John Stevens]

Heavy graupel here in the Surrey Hills...

[Mark wheeler]

12z Harmonie 

 

looks rather good , However Im not liking the few sleet hatches that are in the mix in there amongst it .

Edited January 23, 2021 by Mark wheeler

[Seasonal Trim]

Yep, all snow symbols now gone on the met office app for me tomorrow in SE Essex. Now replaced with dry but cloudy.

And the hunt goes on.....

[Eagle Eye]

I've had a sudden urge to look outside. Connective day at this rate @Zak M will be having the Storm Of the century.

 

[Eagle Eye]

2 minutes ago, Wynter said:

Yep, all snow symbols now gone on the met office app for me tomorrow in SE Essex. Now replaced with dry but cloudy.

And the hunt goes on.....

Still Snow on the Met Office for me at 8PM

[jamesgold]

I think the global models will be overdoing the northern extent, but it might mean the hi-res are underestimating it. What is more up for grabs for us is how East it gets, I’d take that Harmonie at the moment

[Snipper]

2 minutes ago, Hurricane Squad said:

I've had a sudden urge to look outside. Connective day at this rate @Zak M will be having the Storm Of the century.

 

Nice shots. One from where I am. 
 

[Floatylight]

25 minutes ago, Hammer said:

This set to go South of me. 

How starved are we chasing tiny blobs on the radar

[lottiekent]

Just now, Floatylight said:

How starved are we chasing tiny blobs on the radar

 Very! Here’s the blob I’m watching...

Think it’ll go between @alexisj9 and I

[Floatylight]

I don't know where I would get snow at 6pm onwards.

Nothing on radar??

[danm]

1 hour ago, Hurricane Squad said:

Can see the back building later on bringing the majority of the Snow, just noticed this but after this I won't Post unless you mention me as I said in my last post at least for today. If you want me to say what I think please mention me for some reason my old post was deleted but oh well. 

Xander

Very nice pivot around London. 

[alexisj9]

16 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

12z Harmonie 

 

looks rather good , However Im not liking the few sleet hatches that are in the mix in there amongst it .

That one gives me hours of sleet finishing with snow.

[Nimbusman]

Light snow finally arrived right on dusk here, some decent sized flakes though 

[PLANET THANET]

I see others are finding the same as myself, at 1127am according to the met office we were going to get quite a lot of snow on sunday and now at 1500hrs the met office have us dry with cloud what has happened ??

[abovefreezing]

3 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

I see others are finding the same as myself, at 1127am according to the met office we were going to get quite a lot of snow on sunday and now at 1500hrs the met office have us dry with cloud what has happened ??

Yep -- there's still a warning (about to be removed) but nothing predicted to fall from the sky, apart from some light rain tomorrow late afternoon.

[Eagle Eye]

I can confirm due to radar watching that this holds snow. 

 

[yamkin]

1 hour ago, Downpour said:

I should imagine sirens are blaring out and DEFCON100 has been officially declared in the Croydon Borough. 

Gritting teams in action - Thunderbirds Are Go ❄❄❄

[Captain Shortwave]

Today’s showers all courtesy of a shallow upper trough moving through the region. Providing the instability needed to generate showers (850s of -6/7c enough given a light west to north west breeze).

 

A weak ridge moves across tonight so clear skies and a widespread hard frost with temperatures possibly down to around -5/6c in places (-2/3c widely).

Tomorrow

 

Northern limit probably running along the A14, so Northampton/Cambridge/Ipswich being the northern limit of the snow. 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Captain Shortwave

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Wouldn't pay much attention to GFS now it's got it right to now.. Its time for the high res to take over... 

RE symbol forecasts.. Pay no attention to them either they are computer generated zero human input forecasts and change on each run. 

You want to compare high res models and the live radar and start seeing which one is making good similarities. The GFS is not high res enough now.. 

Once tomorrow morning comes it will be a case of radar only and watching which high res model was closest