Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards

[Griff]

How am I the only one interested in this... 

[Cuban Zebra]

1 hour ago, Kasim Awan said:

Wrf showing a good few hours of snow overnight into Friday. Leeds, Sheffield and Manchester take note.

If it’s anything like this week it’ll just be cold bloody rain!!!

[Summerstorm]

9 minutes ago, Hotspur62 said:

Maybe elevation a factor re Madrid as it is 2200 ft asl?

Yep that'll be a big factor plus they have a more continental climate than us and it is hundreds of miles in land so less mixing of the air from the milder sea from the Med or Atlantic also this is unlike what we have from the Irish and North sea as the farthest you can get from the sea here is only 70 miles.

Edited January 5, 2021 by Summerstorm

[Griff]

If ecm goes up and cold comes down it's instant cold... 

Edited January 5, 2021 by Griff

[Battleground Snow]

1 minute ago, Griff said:

How am I the only one interested in this... 

I don't like it as much as the para, but it has a similar theme.

[Jackski4]

1 minute ago, Griff said:

How am I the only one interested in this... 

Think everyone’s lost their will to live after the last few disappointments. It is a lot better than this mornings run.

[SLEETY]

This it more like it, ecm. slight relaxation of cold as it builds out East no more marginal crud when we get the next easterly! 

[Griff]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

I don't like it as much as the para, but it has a similar theme.

Yes, but patterns and evolution...

[TSNWK]

4 minutes ago, Griff said:

How am I the only one interested in this... 

It has changed a lot since this mornings 216.. even putting the 12 hour difference to one side... enough to draw me into viewing 216 this evening at least.

Edited January 5, 2021 by TSNWK

[SLEETY]

Just now, Griff said:

Yes, but patterns and evolution...

The pattern be going mega cold soon if these runs keep the consistency, lok at the cold _pool building

[sebastiaan1973]

Please notice the appereance of blue north of Greenland. To me, this is a result of the downwelling after the SSW.

[Vikos]

I have seen models flip within 2-3 runs, so just relax and chill ya nuggets. It's SSW-time! Don't put alot in thrust into models and politicians

Nothing is carved in stone, yet, neither mild or cold...

[Battleground Snow]

Well hello 216!

[Griff]

6 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

I don't like it as much as the para, but it has a similar theme.

Para vs ecm 192

Edited January 5, 2021 by Griff

[Cloud 10]

ECM 216hrs......whoosh!

 

[Zak M]

12z ECM @216

This could be good!

[Uncertainty]

8 minutes ago, Griff said:

How am I the only one interested in this... 

You won’t be the only one interested in this my friend!

Excited for the 240!

[mountain shadow]

Just now, Cloud 10 said:

ECM 216hrs......whoosh!

 

Up she goes!

[SLEETY]

Ecm 216 nearly the Holy grail, get the sledges ready if these charts verify!!! 

[Griff]

Just now, Cloud 10 said:

ECM 216hrs......whoosh!

 

And not the huge West based -nao mentioned earlier

[TSNWK]

Oh go on then. One for the road and a view of the 240

 

Edited January 5, 2021 by TSNWK

[Cold Winter Night]

Same developments across all models. Different on details, but general trends are similar, which is very encouraging.
Far from negative for cold. Better than previously I'd say, when there was no low in North America and that Russian High.

[Jackski4]

Everyone’s saying it’s going to be a mild spell but judging by this latest ECM and para, that mild spell seems to be lasting what, 2/3 days max?

[Purga]

Promising...

Edited January 5, 2021 by Purga

[Lampostwatcher]

Ecm 240 bank