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Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

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shunthebartlett92 Enthusiast

shunthebartlett92

Posted
  • Location: West Mids, 100m asl
  • Location: West Mids, 100m asl
Posted
1 hour ago, MattStoke said:

Looks like the models are coming to a consensus on Sunday’s snow risk, with the northern limit being around Birmingham to south Staffordshire. A few cm of snow for the south and central Midlands. Dry for the north Midlands.  Could still shift a little either way though. 

Hoping for a little northern adjustment as there’s not much margin for error!

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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted
2 hours ago, snowangel32 said:

Wow GFS 00Z is a direct hit for the mids that is the perfect line for the Mids.

 

SmartSelect_20210123-050402_Firefox.thumb.gif.3845d0152a0da77270e70e96008b8d7e.gif

Looks perfect for everyone except the far north of the region maybe!!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, shunthebartlett92 said:

Hoping for a little northern adjustment as there’s not much margin for error!

The UKV has the northern extent right on my doorstep. Knife edge!

8DD9FFD1-6BA4-4F30-BAED-9FFD5A6797F9.jpeg

Here comes the Cheshire Gap Streamer!

9F174C66-16AD-4606-9A95-694E442072ED.jpeg

Edited by MattStoke
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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted
5 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

The UKV has the northern extent right on my doorstep. Knife edge!

8DD9FFD1-6BA4-4F30-BAED-9FFD5A6797F9.jpeg

Here comes the Cheshire Gap Streamer!

9F174C66-16AD-4606-9A95-694E442072ED.jpeg

Is that as far north as it gets on ukv?!!!ecm man king of all models!!dont say it for nothing!!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
Just now, sheikhy said:

Is that as far north as it gets on ukv?!!!ecm man king of all models!!dont say it for nothing!!

Yep, and the ECM has moved it further south this morning.

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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted
9 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

The UKV has the northern extent right on my doorstep. Knife edge!

8DD9FFD1-6BA4-4F30-BAED-9FFD5A6797F9.jpeg

Here comes the Cheshire Gap Streamer!

9F174C66-16AD-4606-9A95-694E442072ED.jpeg

Looks like a trough forming

a wide one too

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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted
3 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Yep, and the ECM has moved it further south this morning.

Infact the ecm moves it so far south that theres no additional snow for the midlands what so ever!!i did say expect the standard further southern corrections!!expect gfs 06 and ukv to move even more south later!!ah well lets hope we get some more widespread snow showers in a while!

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

BBC, Tomasz schafernaker Is showing a good spell of snowfall for Sunday, he mentioned it’s where it stalls could see up to 10cm and that was right over the top of my house

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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted
2 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

BBC, Tomasz schafernaker Is showing a good spell of snowfall for Sunday, he mentioned it’s where it stalls could see up to 10cm and that was right over the top of my house

What was the northern point  roughly 

feel I’m too north again ❄️❄️??

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Severe Siberian icy blast Experienced

Severe Siberian icy blast

Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
Posted
8 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Infact the ecm moves it so far south that theres no additional snow for the midlands what so ever!!i did say expect the standard further southern corrections!!expect gfs 06 and ukv to move even more south later!!ah well lets hope we get some more widespread snow showers in a while!

Well I'm on meteociel and can't for the life of me read french very well and I went through most options and couldn't find ppn forecasts? 

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
Just now, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

Well I'm on meteociel and can't for the life of me read french very well and I went through most options and couldn't find ppn forecasts? 

Try 

weather.png

favicon-16x16.png Know your sky - weather.us

WEATHER.US
Get your weather.us - Take that. We are the new kids on the block.

 

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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted
6 minutes ago, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

Well I'm on meteociel and can't for the life of me read french very well and I went through most options and couldn't find ppn forecasts? 

ICO.png WXCHARTS

WXCHARTS.COM
A new weather forecast model data viewer for Europe and North America. Clickable forecast and ensemble plots, hourly GFS, ECMWF, ARPEGE and GEFS plots

 

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Severe Siberian icy blast Experienced

Severe Siberian icy blast

Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
Posted
11 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Infact the ecm moves it so far south that theres no additional snow for the midlands what so ever!!i did say expect the standard further southern corrections!!expect gfs 06 and ukv to move even more south later!!ah well lets hope we get some more widespread snow showers in a while!

Well the ppn projection iv just looking at on ecm takes it to Birmingham? 

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Severe Siberian icy blast Experienced

Severe Siberian icy blast

Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
Posted
5 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Try 

weather.png

favicon-16x16.png Know your sky - weather.us

WEATHER.US
Get your weather.us - Take that. We are the new kids on the block.

 

Thanks I stil couldn't find much in all honesty but did manage to find ppn projection which looked nothing like the usual ones people post however it did show the front coming to Birmingham? 

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sheikhy Maestro

sheikhy

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted
Just now, Severe Siberian icy blast said:

Well the ppn projection iv just looking at on ecm takes it to Birmingham? 

Sent you a link !!snow reaches brummy but extremely light and does not add any snow cover when looking at the snow depth charts!

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
13 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Keep us up to date!!they look continuous for you

It is now snowing properly despite that first shower splitting right over me. Waiting for the heavier stuff to arrive.

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Jayfromcardiff Experienced

Jayfromcardiff

Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
Posted
6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

UKV accumulation chart for Sunday. Front stalls a few miles to my south. Very close!

9EF8022B-6393-4B2B-A51F-AE8776602582.jpeg

Looks like the Midlands may hit the jackpot! I find it strange though because I've had a read of the met office text and they're saying significant accumulations of snow for London and the SE but that chart doesn't show it.

Looking forward to some snowy pics tomorrow!

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nobble Rising Star

nobble

Posted
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
  • Location: pelsall, 500ft asl (west mids)
Posted

North west area coming to life now with reports of snow !

snowing in Stoke again!!

?? Today looks the best day for my area ❄️❄️❄️

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MKN Community Regular

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted
7 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

UKV accumulation chart for Sunday. Front stalls a few miles to my south. Very close!

 

No good for sheikhy etc. And a small adjustment south we all miss it entirely so hopefully we see a shift north by 30 miles ish. 

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Severe Siberian icy blast Experienced

Severe Siberian icy blast

Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
Posted
6 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Looks like the Midlands may hit the jackpot! I find it strange though because I've had a read of the met office text and they're saying significant accumulations of snow for London and the SE but that chart doesn't show it.

Looking forward to some snowy pics tomorrow!

I think because it's the capital of UK, they put the risk higher, yet the write up of the midlands is pretty pants to be honest, I watched in agony last night brum get smashed again, now the showers to the northwest look like going east of me, 

This winter has been one of the most frustrating of winters so far. If I miss tomorrow I'm gonna be throwing all my children's toys in the bin #justsaying 

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