Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[BhamBoy]

Properly coming down in Harborne! I wondered why I’d woken to so many messages in the midland thread! Good call Shaun!  

[mother nature rocks]

Snowing in Droitwich - light but snow ️

[mattcole2206]

Also snowing with chunky flakes in Kidderminster!

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

few flakes now!

[shunthebartlett92]

A little dusting here on the cars/pavements last night and there's a few flakes here now. It's better than nothing!

[Essan]

Just had a little mix of sleet and graupel in Evesham (first time I have seen the latter this winter)

[nobble]

Just had a site walk round in Perry bar in occasional heavy snow left a covering !!

[Summer of 95]

Lightish snow here last 15 mins, left a sugar dusting. Started as snow grains/small flakes then turned into larger but still smallish fluffy flakes. Nice to see no rain or sleet in it, the temp dropping to just below zero overnight might have made the difference

[Midlands Ice Age]

Hi Guys..

Whilst the site has been off, I've had an hour of nice fat chunky flakes, intermixing with spells of graupel .

 Very nice to see. Hasn't really settled though, although at 8:30there was a dusting everywhere.

 Temperature rising slightly now as slightly brighter weather moves in, 1.1C up from 0.5C at 0700.

Brightening up now though.

Well done to Shaun for spotting it, When I went to bed it looked as though it was destined for South Oxfordshire.. Just shows...if you get the cold in,  surprises can occur.

My comments above were indeed aimed at Friday morning, as I had not seen the potential for this morning.

As pointed out above, the EC is the only model not going for a small wave developing on friday.

Let us see.

MIA

 

Edited January 6, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[I remember Atlantic 252]

dandruff dusting here too, frost thawing though, must be getting a bit wetter

[sheikhy]

Battleground just posted snow charts on the mod thread!!looks very juicy for much of the midlands friday morning!!3 to 6 hours of snowfall maybe!!

[markw2680]

Well to my surprise there’s big flakes

[WillinGlossop]

-2c currently low -3c, bright sunshine with snow remnants and dusting from overnight... quite icy hope Thursday night/Friday morning comes to fruition but not going to jinx it 

[Sparkiee storm]

Friday looking like an upgrade, nice to see more falling and settling snow this morning even if its just a sugar coating so far.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

GFS still snowy early Fri, but perhaps moving through quicker than yesterdays runs

[I remember Atlantic 252]

if lucky, could keep it a few days after

[sheikhy]

Yup whatever falls on friday could stick around for a few days!!!!its upgraded in intensity but problem is it shifted east slightly and if it goes any further east then it will be a band of nothing lol!!!keep it the way it is with maybe a little low developing like the 18z yesterday to slow it down further across us and i will be happy!!!

[sheikhy]

4 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

if lucky, could keep it a few days after

Temps look cold into next week on the 06z?

[MattStoke]

BBC automated forecast prolongs the snow risk for here. I don’t know what model they use for this. Their other forecasts just use the ECM and so show nothing.

Edited January 6, 2021 by MattStoke

[Walsall Wood Snow]

Had heavy snow about 9ish. Left slight dusting on rooftops.

[wolvesman]

Light dusting this morning on top of the remnants of last weeks snow. Friday looks as though it may be a bit more significant.

[shunthebartlett92]

Not gonna really look too closely at friday until within 24 hours of the event, we all know that a slight shift in one direction and its probably not gonna happen. Im just glad its not a channel low as that ALWAYS moves south of the m4 (well the majority of instances ive seen it forecast to hit here 2/3 days in advance and then the new forest is the only place to see snow). However, im keeping it in check, dont expect much and if we get something its a bonus.

 

Still snowing here as i speak, but not really accumulating aside from the dusting last night. Still nice to see though!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Temps look cold into next week on the 06z?

upgraded the cold a bit, high further north, no snow but maybe fog frost Mon and Tues, still needs to be a bit further north

[MattStoke]

Met Office extended outlook sounds potentially interesting for the Midlands.

’However, there is still a chance of cold air outbreaks in the north as flow across Scandinavia pushes across the North Sea. This would confine more unsettled conditions to the south, as well as milder than average temperatures. Further, this boundary between the cold and milder conditions could also allow for some significant snowfall where the two air masses’.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office extended outlook sounds potentially interesting for the Midlands.

’However, there is still a chance of cold air outbreaks in the north as flow across Scandinavia pushes across the North Sea. This would confine more unsettled conditions to the south, as well as milder than average temperatures. Further, this boundary between the cold and milder conditions could also allow for some significant snowfall where the two air masses’.

GFS 06Z? what error or something, mild from Tuesday night, W'lys looks like normal Atlantic air