Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Ireland Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry
    6 minutes ago, Donegal said:

    Yes ronan. Don't understand how they're not included in the warning.

    Yeah I seen pics from up around the Isle Of Doagh this morning and they had quite a bit of snow but the snow just keeps on coming there tonight. Also seeing pics of Garvagh tonight and they have a lot of snow by the looks of it while maybe a mile down the road barely nothing. All very localised. Garvagh.... 

    FB_IMG_1612916333874.jpg

    Edited by ronan
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    23 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

    It's been a crap Winter all round.

    Compare and contrast this thread to the Scottish one.

    I still have a hope of snow on Saturday before a quick melt.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    39 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    It's been a crap Winter all round.

    Compare and contrast this thread to the Scottish one.

    I still have a hope of snow on Saturday before a quick melt.

    Yeah it's definitely been rubbish for us model watchers as there has been so much promise (much more than a normal winter) but very little delivery!
    For folk who don't study the weather models, it's probably been a fairly standard winter !
    On the plus side, this week has been great for getting out of the house for walks - last week was dire with all that rain. 

    Edited by SnowJon
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Omagh
  • Location: Omagh

    With regards to tomorrow and on through the weekend, It’s a shame that you only ever get downgrades re snow at this stage the forecasts never make mistakes resulting in upgrades. Why is it they always forecast colder and snowier than it always ends up?

    although in fairness the met office never at any stage forecasted much for here this weekend.

    Edited by Sparky72
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL

    There's three things I take from this Winter.

    1. Anomalous northerly blocking in Winter does not necessarily deliver snow in my back yard

    2. Easterlies without a South Easterly component definitely don't deliver in my back yard

    3. The UKMO model is the daddy out to t+144 and the GFS remains dire

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    3 hours ago, SnowJon said:

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

    The GFS is a rubbish model but it surely cannot be wrong at this range..

    image.thumb.png.578c9c3a7a5bc01103290f728e4fe4d7.png

     

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    18 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    The GFS is a rubbish model but it surely cannot be wrong at this range..

    image.thumb.png.578c9c3a7a5bc01103290f728e4fe4d7.png

     

    That does look good but I'm not holding my breath!

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    19 minutes ago, booferking said:

    Totally different contrast between are winter & the Scots snow depths widely reported between 20cm to 40+ there pictures are immense in there.

    This was Tannadice St in Dundee this morning. 

    image.thumb.png.f7688dda2508a713582e3f0c5f55043f.png

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    UK met office have issued a yellow warning for all of NI on Saturday, looks pretty decent too, although they mention snow turning to rain in afternoon.

    Screenshot_20210210-111845_Samsung Internet.jpg

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL

    Anybody watching the model thread picking up that the end of the cold is not a done deal. Probably still going to go milder but it’s not as certain now. GFS and it’s counterpart sensing an extension of the cold.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    9 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

    UK met office have issued a yellow warning for all of NI on Saturday, looks pretty decent too, although they mention snow turning to rain in afternoon.

    Screenshot_20210210-111845_Samsung Internet.jpg

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:

    Quote

    Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

    Dry and bright on Friday, cold southeasterly wind. Windy on Saturday with a little showery rain. Persistent rain on Saturday night then mostly dry on Sunday.

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    @SnowJon warning was just issued at 11.12am so perhaps the forecast text will change later in the day?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Irvine
  • Location: Irvine
    1 hour ago, booferking said:

    Totally different contrast between are winter & the Scots snow depths widely reported between 20cm to 40+ there pictures are immense in there.

    Not all of us in Scotland have snow...here in Ayrshire I have zero.

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
    9 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:
     

     

    If you watch the video Ronan posted above you can see why forecasting this week end is a nightmare. A difference of 100 or so miles east or west has a massive bearing on what we get at ground level. It could stay all snow which fizzles out - best case scenario or it could be 10 degrees and soaking - worst case scenario - and everything in between.

    Edited by Northwest NI
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    2 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:

    If you watch the video Ronan posted above you can see why forecasting this week end is a nightmare. A difference of 100 or so miles east or west has a massive bearing on what we get at ground level. It could stay all snow which fizzles out - best case scenario or it could be 10 degrees and soaking - worst case scenario - and everything in between.

    I know! That's why I was so surprised with the rain forecast for Saturday and no mention of the snow possibility ! 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Northwest Donegal
  • Location: Northwest Donegal
    11 hours ago, ronan said:

    North Donegal really doing well since early yesterday with Streamers and still going. 

    Screenshot_20210209_234652_com.netweather.snowradar.jpg

    Unfortunately they are not making it as far west as my location in Donegal, which would be on the coast a bit west of the streamers in the attached image.

    We had a rare dumping of snow in 2018 from streamers coming from the east. This was ahead of the main event in the rest of the country.

    Even the optimistic model runs look like the snow will have petered out before reaching here, and there's a mountain range for it to cross before getting here. 😒

    Still, fingers crossed for a bit of snow, even if it's short lived.

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
    8 minutes ago, Donegal said:

    Their text forecast isn't the best and I'm not saying that because it doesn't mention snow. Its updated twice daily between 2 to 4pm and 2 to 4am. Often the only thing they change is the time it was updated not the text. Even if the weather is expected to be the same at least change a couple of words about instead of being lazy lol.

    Anyway. They would only release that early warning for snow if a certain threshold was reached to issue it.

    Agree 100%

    This is what brought me to weather forums in the first place. Useless weather apps and forecasts and alerts from the big hitters that continuously hedged bets and covered all bases. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carrickfergus
  • Location: Carrickfergus
    34 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:
     

     

    It is really frustrating. They have been outliers all week in terms of forecasting nothing and then a sudden change 😞 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow? Thunder
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland

    Aftrr all the fraupel,finally had a few proper snow showers this morning leaving a light dusting ......snow for tomorrow downgraded again....a lot of places in north and east will stay dry I think with small accumulations elsewhere before turning to rain tomorrow night and on Friday......unless models have this wrong  

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.

    Yep, all the precipitation dies away when it hits midlands. Dublin snow shield in full effect again! All according to the latest HIRLAM

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Mid term GFS (06z) slowing onset of mild, ECM going for strong mild outlook. BBC monthly going for mild next week with fair possibility of cold coming back week after because of negative AO, with high pressure in the baltic region. Caveats being this is fairly broad brush and dependent upon orientation of blocking high.

    Short term, both BBCNI & RTE going for snow Thursday coming into SW Ireland, not progressing as far as NI. Friday non descript but still cold north but mild south. Saturday morning rain SW, transient snow Ulster & NE Leinster turning back to rain in the afternoon. Very mild thereafter - looks like they are both following using ECM output.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share

    • Mixed bag this weekend, some sun and some rain

      Dry with sunny spells for many on Saturday, though a band of showery rain for parts of the north and west. Heavy rain moving into eastern areas on Sunday, turning brighter in the west. Fine first half of next week, unsettled second half. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Hints of autumn. Warm sunshine for the weekend but also rain from the west

      Hints of autumn are making themselves known, fog and a coolness in the morning. Leaves beginning, slowly, to turn. But there is still warm sunshine for the weekend but also rain from the west. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      What is CoP26?

      CoP26 is the UN Climate Change Conference, this is the 26th Conference of Parties, in Glasgow. The Parties are issuing important NDCs, Nationally Determined Contributions, their climate plans. Read more here

      Jo Farrow
      Jo Farrow
      Latest weather updates from Netweather
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...