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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

cheshire snow

By cheshire snow
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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Tuesday's possible snow and latest information we have.

Roughly Day 4.

ICON - 6am

1149829031_Tues6am.thumb.jpg.9166490f0a8046889390cf5d25bbac76.jpg

ARPEGE - 6am

561924186_Tues6amArpege.thumb.png.71385c217cef97e337ecde2721dc23be.png

UKV - 6am

1569791263_Tues6am.thumb.png.b0b6f3a9348940a48170a520c72acddd.png

GFS - 6am

544103341_Tues6am.thumb.jpg.937553d0744900c1d99e13361009ea3d.jpg

ECM - 6am

2018772972_Tues6am.thumb.jpg.23f8c0bcbb875ca3fce02e1006070211.jpg

Met Office Snow Warning

1839883469_Screenshot_2021-01-29UKweatherwarnings.thumb.png.e3fe71f0848a04d71a2470a24f574a38.png

Met Office Text

Windy with outbreaks of snow on Tuesday.

 

So with all of the above, still quite a window of options there. The fact we are roughly at day 4, still plenty of time for changes.

Personally this one looks better than the last one and maybe the models will actually converge somewhere in the middle, ie - over us!

Plenty to keep us on our toes this weekend and here's hoping for a decent snow event early next week.

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted

Oh dear, seems like the roller coaster has hit a vertical twisting drop. Terrain  Terrain, Pull up, Pull Up

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

Looks like either a Midlands or Scotland event then, who’d have thought it

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
Just now, iand61 said:

Looks like either a Midlands or Scotland event then, who’d have thought it

Lets meet in the middle.  Is that a good plan?

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

Let's hope the ECM is correct.

This is like Euro Millions. The Jackpot is 5 numbers and 2 stars, we know the prize but not the numbers yet.

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
5 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Lets meet in the middle.  Is that a good plan?

Meto think it is so until they either move or remove the warning I’ll keep the faith.

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted

ABE7A0B5-DCD9-4624-826A-14FC30426C98.thumb.png.a82c5776ecb4860f0c3f7b7ce28443f3.png

Just does’t look cold enough on Tuesday. 

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted (edited)

image.thumb.png.f93250ab5a743c5bff75b3e8c5178e9c.pngOldhamimage.thumb.png.16b71611658251ba991d7b3d0ddbca22.pngGlossop

Edited by Had Worse
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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
8 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

ABE7A0B5-DCD9-4624-826A-14FC30426C98.thumb.png.a82c5776ecb4860f0c3f7b7ce28443f3.png

Just does’t look cold enough on Tuesday. 

image.thumb.png.28f3653133e145e6d0740d3e97843b13.png Dew points highlighted in yellow. Wet rather than white.

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Joe Bloggs Experienced

Joe Bloggs

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Posted (edited)

It all depends which model you look at.

BBC app uses EPS. 

Icon 18z still says yes. This won’t be resolved for a couple of days. 
 

spacer.png

Edited by Joe Bloggs
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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
37 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

image.thumb.png.28f3653133e145e6d0740d3e97843b13.png Dew points highlighted in yellow. Wet rather than white.

I’ve never worked how to find those charts

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Joe Bloggs Experienced

Joe Bloggs

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Posted
39 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

image.thumb.png.28f3653133e145e6d0740d3e97843b13.png Dew points highlighted in yellow. Wet rather than white.

Which model is this based on? 

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Back on phone so not scrutinising charts however looking in mod thread, sounds like another nudge north of tomorrow's front following on from the afternoons WRF. 

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Which model is this based on? 

Look in the middle under the menu's, it the GFS 12Z

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

Back on phone so not scrutinising charts however looking in mod thread, sounds like another nudge north of tomorrow's front following on from the afternoons WRF. 

Yes Icon moves system further north Cheshire/Merseyside/South Manchester 

C.S

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Joe Bloggs Experienced

Joe Bloggs

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
Posted
2 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Look in the middle under the menu's, it the GFS 12Z

Sorry I see now. Yeah the GFS hasn’t been on board with Tuesday so far. 

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted

And.. for Bacup

image.thumb.png.9d951871ffd195fe755cf6d86cda467c.png High lighted precip and dew points.

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
5 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Sorry I see now. Yeah the GFS hasn’t been on board with Tuesday so far. 

Forget GFS. Too progressive. 

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

Yes Icon moves system further north Cheshire/Merseyside/South Manchester 

C.S

You never know, last weeks was quite poorly modeled. Ended up reaching Cheshire/Merseyside.

This one is now modeled to reach here, another small shift north again tomorrow & we could end up with a nice surprise. 

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Spah1 Accomplished

Spah1

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
Posted
1 minute ago, Had Worse said:

And.. for Bacup

image.thumb.png.9d951871ffd195fe755cf6d86cda467c.png High lighted precip and dew points.

Please you tell me how to find these. Cheers

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
6 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Sorry I see now. Yeah the GFS hasn’t been on board with Tuesday so far. 

Time & more wriggle room to correct south.  

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Please you tell me how to find these. Cheers

image.thumb.png.90c2d0aeb270b7998d7fe0a59deb28b5.png Put your city or town in the red ring box.

Edit:  It does like Chorley but you need to select which one.

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Meteociel - Météo - observations météo en temps réel et prévisions météo pour la France

WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
La météo en temps réel et prévisions météo pour la France, Observations météo, modèles numériques et logiciels météo (GFS, ECMWF, UKMO, GEM, AROME, ARPEGE, JMA)

 

Edited by Had Worse
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