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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/09/2020 Onward


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Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Cold. Thuderstorms
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
    29 minutes ago, chris55 said:

    I’m learning GEM is actually right up there with EC, UKMO and GFS up to 120h in fact I think it was the most accurate model recently. 
     

    Don’t discount it 🙂 

     

    From Matt H on Twitter re GEM short range, not related to our region just highlighting GEM as a worthwhile model.

    57826D24-917C-4B67-A471-7DC3351134A3.thumb.png.7c066d95c25f30fcad7f0fa8dda8e716.png

    Thanks for the info. Been a while since I have been on here checking charts again. Nice to hear GEM is doing well in the short range. 48 hours to go, hopefully it’s near the GEM then. EURO4 having none of it yet. Also worries me it will go to far south, does happen a lot of the time. Hopefully get a better idea tomorrow, but as always it will most likely be a nowcast radar watch.

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    Well, we had lots of falling snow here in Stroud but not really settled at lower levels, slushy mess.  Took a walk up at about 215 meters and there is about 5cm, still a bit drippy lol. Nice to

    Happy New Year guys. Here's some early morning pics from our walk around Burrator Reservoir and Sharpitor. It was sooo icy ❄❄❄, probably softened up a bit by now. Sorry need to click on pics for clari

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl

    Evening all, well it didn't get any better here today, the very slight dusting hung around until lunchtime before melting. We've had a few showers that showed promise, especially mid morning with some huge flakes thrown in but they quickly passed. Here's hoping the rest of the week is better than this cold, grey day.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    4 hours ago, iceman1991 said:

    Should of come round mine would of gave you a nice cup of warm mulled cider 😂

    I should have driven to see it as only 20-30 mins away.  Which part of SP was the best for snow ?

    I know Westbury just beyond , or the areas after before  Shrewton ( coming from a36 direction across ) chitterne have tank crossings and assuming that's part of the plains there too? 
    Also 303 runs through the plains as well but there's so many areas I don't know . Which part in general are people thinking of when they speak of SP. Thanks . 

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    Posted
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
    26 minutes ago, offerman said:

    I should have driven to see it as only 20-30 mins away.  Which part of SP was the best for snow ?

    I know Westbury just beyond , or the areas after before  Shrewton ( coming from a36 direction across ) chitterne have tank crossings and assuming that's part of the plains there too? 
    Also 303 runs through the plains as well but there's so many areas I don't know . Which part in general are people thinking of when they speak of SP. Thanks . 

    Hi offerman yes sp fair big old place yes your on about other side  but I’m near shipton  Bellinger  if you heard of that ? which is right on it which is just of the 303  And  we are about 400 meters above  sea level so you find you’ll go to Andover local town here about 6 miles away will be raining there but here will be snowing and lying as higher up which always helps we  do alright here when there’s a snow event Normally hope this helps 👍

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    Tomorrow

    zz.gif

     

    Wednesday

    zz1.thumb.gif.c1c59781ad9e0873d624682741a81cff.gif

     

    Two bites of the cherry for some of us hopefully.

    Edited by MidnightSnow
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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    I've found some bedtime material for us West Country folk to fall asleep dreamng about;

    48-574UK.thumb.gif.51137268a5d67b3414dfc42ca4a45a33.gif

    Just for fun of course, highly likely to be much more nuanced than that.

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    Posted
  • Location: Westbury, Wilts and Lulworth, Dorset
  • Location: Westbury, Wilts and Lulworth, Dorset

     

    34 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

    Tomorrow

    zz.gif

     

    Wednesday

    zz1.thumb.gif.c1c59781ad9e0873d624682741a81cff.gif

     

    Two bites of the cherry for some of us hopefully.

    Latest GFS run also showing something similar for our region tomorrow afternoon.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    Snow early doors here on dartmoor today. Only really on ground over 400 metres and soon melted by lunch. Currently a balmy 4.3c and raining locally. Can't see much in the models for some decent snow here this week dew points and air temperature just a bit too high.

    20201228_090119.thumb.jpg.9f3311ebdcc85caaecce314845edb3b8.jpg

    20201228_101618.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset

    It’s a frosty one out there now and probably icy given the lingering dampness. -0.6C

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    26 minutes ago, AWD said:

    I've found some bedtime material for us West Country folk to fall asleep dreamng about;

    48-574UK.thumb.gif.51137268a5d67b3414dfc42ca4a45a33.gif

    Just for fun of course, highly likely to be much more nuanced than that.


    3 bites of the cherry 😵

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

    No snow but plenty of rain here today although most of it was light. Reached 6.9°C, currently 1.6°C

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    The moonshine makes it like day outside..

    20201228_230605.thumb.jpg.254a3d60e5a53fbd0e246c6313984150.jpg

    Currently -0.1°C.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos

    spacer.png

    The small feature over Anglesey has been pepping up last hour or so and looks a touch more East than progged. Don't know if it will have the legs to give a dusting in the morning?

     

     

    Edited by kumquat
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    Posted
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos

    Interesting, very interesting. 

    Ian Fergusson

    @fergieweather

    Replying to 

    @TheSnowDreamer

     

    @MarkyDub

     and 2 others

    ...or just a resigned acceptance that trying to sort varied UKMO cold-style hazard warnings plastered within my TV graphics may become a Groundhog Day affair into the coming weeks...

    6:13 PM · Dec 28, 2020·Twitter for Android

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    I'll never understand the weather .

    First part of the night super clear really cold thick frost .

    current temp -1c  

    Now raining !!!

     

    2C5AA6AA-2516-46A9-A434-24B9ABBB1351.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    9 hours ago, iceman1991 said:

    Hi offerman yes sp fair big old place yes your on about other side  but I’m near shipton  Bellinger  if you heard of that ? which is right on it which is just of the 303  And  we are about 400 meters above  sea level so you find you’ll go to Andover local town here about 6 miles away will be raining there but here will be snowing and lying as higher up which always helps we  do alright here when there’s a snow event Normally hope this helps 👍

    Thanks Iceman, appreciate your reply . 
    I have not heard of that place. Incredible ,as I didn't know either that parts of SP reached that altitude of 400metres.  At least I know where to go in such marginal conditions . 
    where I live here has its own microclimate too. Myself and some posters here experience this a lot between Frome, Westbury , Chapmanslade, Warminster , Trowbridge , Bath,Shepton, Radstock Areas. 
     

    also I didn't know SP extended right toward Andover way.

    that shows the vastness of SP.  

    I'm intrigued now as to how big the whole area actually is!! Will get on maps satellite to have a look .

    cheers again for your reply . 👍👍

     

    Edited by offerman
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    Posted
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
    14 minutes ago, offerman said:

    I'll never understand the weather .

    First part of the night super clear really cold thick frost .

    current temp -1c  

    Now raining !!!

     

    2C5AA6AA-2516-46A9-A434-24B9ABBB1351.png

    Yeah nor me, I'm a bit baffled tbh. A lot of the hi-res forecast models had this area of precipitation to be snow so I'm a touch disappointed. I don't have any idea why the temp and dew-point have both shot up since earlier in the night.

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Now changed to sleet outside but symbol on app showing changed to snow . 
    Hopefully the outside will catch up to the App. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
    17 minutes ago, offerman said:

    I'll never understand the weather .

    First part of the night super clear really cold thick frost .

    current temp -1c  

    Now raining !!!

     

    2C5AA6AA-2516-46A9-A434-24B9ABBB1351.png

    We had the same problem here in Yate. Very cold and frosty when I woke up so I was sure that batch of showers moving in would be snow but it was rain.

    Anyway not to worry, I have a feeling this winter is going to offer many more snow opportunities, with many of the pros, not just the model output thread, coming to the view that this could be a cold and maybe memorable winter. Fingers crossed.

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    9 minutes ago, John88B said:

    We had the same problem here in Yate. Very cold and frosty when I woke up so I was sure that batch of showers moving in would be snow but it was rain.

    Anyway not to worry, I have a feeling this winter is going to offer many more snow opportunities, with many of the pros, not just the model output thread, coming to the view that this could be a cold and maybe memorable winter. Fingers crossed.

    Thanks John.

    even my app is very confused 😂

    Is heavy rain outside now. 
    app says it's snowing . 

    let's hope john you're right and this does end up a memorable winter for the right reasons .

    deep cold despite our Atlantic Greenland block seems to me at present to be more over Asia , bit let's hope some can spread over our direction too over the coming weeks . 

    6DCF8D71-13E8-4368-908A-D19791CC9BF6.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    3 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

    Living on the Coast drives me bonkers when you see things like this! North Dorset looks good as normal though. Wednesdays outlook.

    20201229_061602.thumb.jpg.ad56100f788b4b30d15319eccdbca963.jpg

     

    I feel your pain Rapodo as I used to live in Southampton. Was so frustrating as just inland Romsey could be having snow yet where I lived near the docks was rain ..!! Often Winchester , Basingstoke , reading would get a good dumping when all we had was rain . 
     

    Ropodo, if it makes you feel any better it's raining here after snow was forecast. So Wednesday maybe not be quite as it's showing on those graphics you posted could be rain or snow anywhere. Nowcast will be the order of the day I feel. 

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Morning all.

    finally have a few flakes falling now, not many but a few 

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