South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[SMU]

Temps on the drop here > quick loss down to 1.8c now.

[chionomaniac]

Lol. Ecm snowmaggedon for us lot.  And there was me getting excited about wednesday

[Paul Sherman]

Lol that ECM Run was the stuff of dreams and probably what it will be just dreams - Hahahaha

Always a bad thing when its showing 48 hours out you can bet it will be drier than the Sahara come Wednesday a la Euro4

[clark3r]

I’m so hoping the ecm is close to the mark, I’m so snow starved here, haven’t had a decent snow event here since March 13. 2018 cold spell was not decent here as sun was to strong for the snow to settle,fingers crossed

[Eagle Eye]

Precipitation from the North East might turn wintery. 

 

[john mac1]

2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Lol that ECM Run was the stuff of dreams and probably what it will be just dreams - Hahahaha

Always a bad thing when its showing 48 hours out you can bet it will be drier than the Sahara come Wednesday a la Euro4

[SMU]

2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Lol that ECM Run was the stuff of dreams and probably what it will be just dreams - Hahahaha

Always a bad thing when its showing 48 hours out you can bet it will be drier than the Sahara come Wednesday a la Euro4

Ghandis flip flop has more moisture...

[Speedbird]

11 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Lol that ECM Run was the stuff of dreams and probably what it will be just dreams - Hahahaha

Always a bad thing when its showing 48 hours out you can bet it will be drier than the Sahara come Wednesday a la Euro4

Hell yes . . . the South Essex snow-shield will be armed and ready!

[Paul Sherman]

Its all about the Pivot as always. Pivot Baby Pivot

[kold weather]

4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Its all about the Pivot as always. Pivot Baby Pivot

For you guys back further east thats almost in holy grail territory, if it just stayed even 20-30 miles further west you guys would be in for 12-18hrs of heavy snow, hotspot would be 25-30cms.

Of course, realistically the ECM is an extreme solution of course and no doubt as Steve said the Euro4 will be right just to frustrate us!

The GEM today comes in at a solid no.2 (!!) when it comes to Wednesday. I'd bank that as well right now.

BTW for todays set-up, rain at lower levels but went to the south downs where past 2pm it was predominantly wet snow though didn't settle. Should we get a similar situation on Wednesday I'll probably head back up there again.

Edited December 28, 2020 by kold weather

[Biggin]

Full post from Eskimo

 

 

[Kentspur]

16 minutes ago, Paul said:

I wouldn't get that far ahead yet, the UKV (UKMO's own model) not showing anything quite so dramatic at the moment. 

My region of Kent Dartford to Gravesend the only location in Kent with no precip from that typically couldnt make it up

[HighPressure]

We have the lightest of all snow showers. about 6 flakes but it still counts 

Nothing on the radar at all ?

Edited December 28, 2020 by HighPressure

[Binsey72]

This has been forming last hour or so , anything ? Probably not 

[Hotspur62]

Well all on SE THREAD would like the latest ECM to verify!!If that came to fruition think many on here would see 5-15cms with favoured hillier parts upto 20cms!Sadly too far out to take seriously and we will await our fate come Wednesday lunchtime I would think when the short term models get a better grip on the situation.For everyone and stay safe.

[SMU]

Just off the press ECM Biggin Hill 10 day.

14cm Snow.

[Tom Jarvis]

so hope the ecm comes off. Not had any proper disruptive snowfall here for ages. 2018 didn’t deliver any sort of snow here and just had horrid rain for the last few days so hope it comes off. Also my dad bet me £20 last week we wouldn’t see any snow from now till end of jan.  

[Joanne Swann]

So Friday at 12am met office have given me one snowflake , i will be expecting a major up grade but its a start

Edited December 28, 2020 by Joanne Swann

[TSNWK]

26 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just off the press ECM Biggin Hill 10 day.

14cm Snow.

Hello Steve, please can you dig out London city as well ? That will at least outline the other side of the envelope on temp, I guess. Living in Orpington at 100m I tend I take 1c of LCY and add 1c for biggin. Just wondering if that therory is correct?

[Snow Queen one]

Steve where did you get that chart plz. and is there one for maidstone

[Jason T]

1 hour ago, Speedbird said:

That would produce substantial snow for a lot of the south east.

Beautiful . . .

What a way to finish this year and start the new one..amber,  red ⚠ warnings there. 

[Mark wheeler]

It’s starting to get a bit exciting for a little snow . Fingers crossed 

[Stu_London]

37 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

This is the EPS mean.PPN 72 accum over that 24 hour period.

wahay - tunbridge wells in the hunt for the sweet spot

[SMU]

These are behind a paywall

not one for Maidstone

London city

[alexisj9]

1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:

Temps on the drop here > quick loss down to 1.8c now.

Same here, with fog forming.