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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards


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1 minute ago, Zak M said:

What a storm this is!!

i'm right outside in it woooooo

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A beautiful altocumulus castellanus sunrise this morning. 

Oo she's a beauty 

My first attempt at storm shots 🤷‍♂️ (Please don't judge 🤣) The cells are impressive tonight! 

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3 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

The Vis Satellite image on the radar page is amazing, you can see how the Pennines essentially 'protected' the area north of you (Stafford & northwards) from the crud!

Sun just isn't quite strong enough now, it's only a gentle breeze, plus been 8 weeks since it's peak, so not surprised it's struggling.

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Is it? Could it be? This could come to the ToD! Go on someone tell me it’s a false return, ruin my day 🤪🤞

50F113C4-AE5E-417F-B91F-0ECC1206A6B7.jpeg
 

edit, blobby died, false radar 🤬🤬🤬🤬

Edited by Blazerblue
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Towers are still building, but to my NE now.  The initiation spot for the building appears to be moving southwards.  Someone to my North is going to be in for some 'Fun' later 😛

1494547882_IMG_20200813_1031049911.thumb.jpg.4e62e873554b82655ad49decd40cdce4.jpg

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Just read PJB's update. Very interesting indeed. Desperately need the cloud to clear and get temps up towards 30C for a bit time release of CAPE.

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Just now, Alderc said:

Just read PJB's update. Very interesting indeed. Desperately need the cloud to clear and get temps up towards 30C for a bit time release of CAPE.

Would you mind sharing please, with any accompanying charts?

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My beepers going off. Strikes fairly close to Gloucestershire.

Wow.. some beasts appearing now! Esp in Beds!!!

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I am coming up at the weekend to the Broads as well so err sorry about that 

Blazing hot here so we will breed today for you all

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Going down to the East Sussex coast today for a few hours. Wonder what I’ll see when I get back home later 🤞 

Edited by oliverek7
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9 minutes ago, Harry said:

Would you mind sharing please, with any accompanying charts?

 

Edited by Alderc
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8 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Was that another +CG???? 😯

I just saw a stunner right above me. Cloud to cloud.

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5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

I am coming up at the weekend to the Broads as well so err sorry about that 

Blazing hot here so we will breed today for you all

Its a breeding nightmare... (collects coat)...) 

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This is my view - you can see the tops of the Beds cells over to the right 

50FD9387-F7DD-4431-85E5-7BE8709402DF.jpeg

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8 minutes ago, Harry said:

Would you mind sharing please, with any accompanying charts?

In a Nutshell as follows

Storms will initiate over Inland parts of Sussex and Surrey and move through the M4 Corridoor and as the Convergence zone sags south more will form this evening over South Hants, IOW, West Sussex before dying off in the early hours.

So its game over for the COS & TOD but the SOR may well fall today

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3 minutes ago, Alderc said:

 

They put me in a 45% risk.. That has to be wrong, I dont reckon anything south west of Bristol will see anything.

Edited by Liam Burge
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4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

In a Nutshell as follows

Storms will initiate over Inland parts of Sussex and Surrey and move through the M4 Corridoor and as the Convergence zone sags south more will form this evening over South Hants, IOW, West Sussex before dying off in the early hours.

So its game over for the COS & TOD but the SOR may well fall today

That’s my reading however the accompanying chart suggests more generous potential across our neck of the woods. UKMO projections funnily enough better align with PJB forecast...

Edited by Harry
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1 minute ago, Harry said:

That’s my reading however the accompanying chart suggests more generous potential across our neck of the woods. UKMO projections funnily enough better align with PJB forecast...

And the UKV has been appalling this hot spell so dont take his forecast for granted then if he is basing it off that alone.

Arome absolutely nailed the last 4 days, take a look at its 00z run and look at how it perfomed today already.

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