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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards


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17 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

I know how you feel, Gordon... even though, these days I tend to open all the windows and enjoy a good thunderstorm, I still wake-up in a cold sweat, whenever thunder, lightning or torrential rain disturbs my sleep... I guess there's a bit of the brontophobe in all of us?

I long to stand at my door, smelling the rain, and enjoying the sights and sounds. I love it. It's my happy place. But at the same time, it was only 2015/16 when we had what can only be described as an explosion over head, that set fire to a house 2 roads away. It had me scrambling to unplug every electrical appliance in the house.

It's a fine line between fear and enjoyment!

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A beautiful altocumulus castellanus sunrise this morning. 

Oo she's a beauty 

My first attempt at storm shots 🤷‍♂️ (Please don't judge 🤣) The cells are impressive tonight! 

Posted Images

30 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

See we are already looking at today being a downgrade on earlier days, and we’re losing the top end of the heat - relying once again on the next few days to provide that all-elusive convective ‘event’.

Reading Dan’s writeup I’m not massively confident about the chances for southern counties. The all-night storms we were seeing forecasted keep disappearing, and now we are seeing increased cloud each day whereas we had fine conditions for the best part of a week.

This is precisely why it bothers me when the first opportunity busts in a situation where it’s several days of predicted severe weather. You then clutch straws for a second and invariably that fails and after that you’re desperate for anything.

I have a bad feeling that come Monday we will just have had visiting thundery showers and the odd sporadic storm, then for the south we will be looking at settled conditions for the next 6 months.

REALLY REALLY hope I’m wrong 😕

I know.  After two attempts to chase that both got aborted around west London I feel that opportunities are starting to slip away.  I'm up for some motorway miles but Wales and Birmingham will test my family's patience!

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1 minute ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

I know.  After two attempts to chase that both got aborted around west London I feel that opportunities are starting to slip away.  I'm up for some motorway miles but Wales and Birmingham will test my family's patience!

Come join us up here in Brum 😆

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11 minutes ago, sparky1972 said:

And boom, there it is, gone, heat been replaced overnight with low cloud, northerly wind and a much cooler feel, not a storm or drop of rain.

Not much of a boom though, was there?

Pathetic. 

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2 minutes ago, Ndc Ozzie said:

Its trying here but seems to be struggling at mo

The sun is out in South East Essex. We'll keep producing for the rest of you. 😉

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Just now, Karl83 said:

Morning all - I posted some of these yesterday but captured more soon after. Taken from Birdlip and Minchinhampton Common. Such awesome cloudscapes.

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Some stunning pictures right there! 

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Still some mega juicy air running along the south coast this morning dp's up at 19-21C, could rise even further and its going to feel mega humid. Could see reading of 27/23C before long. 

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2 minutes ago, Spikey M said:

The sun is out in South East Essex. We'll keep producing for the rest of you. 😉

I be happy just to have one storm come overhead,had nothing here,just keep skirting by as if I got some sort of barrier round me lol.

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Just now, Ndc Ozzie said:

I be happy just to have one storm come overhead,had nothing here,just keep skirting by as if I got some sort of barrier round me lol.

They're all forming about 30 miles away from here. We've had a brief shower this morning. Nothing else at all.

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Quite a lot of convection rolling up from France at the moment, could stint the risks for the SE if there is enough cloud cover associated with then. Looking pretty weak as well. One upshot maybe any outflow boundaries from the decaying cells may trigger something else.

Meanwhile a great looking line to the north of London!

Edited by kold weather
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1 minute ago, Alderc said:

Still some mega juicy air running along the south coast this morning dp's up at 19-21C, could rise even further and its going to feel mega humid. Could see reading of 27/23C before long. 

There’s a stream of much fresher air here at the moment, was very surprised when I stepped outside a short while ago.

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4 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Still some mega juicy air running along the south coast this morning dp's up at 19-21C, could rise even further and its going to feel mega humid. Could see reading of 27/23C before long. 

same for southampton muggy suns out some nice breeze high dp's 18_20c

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3 minutes ago, Spikey M said:

They're all forming about 30 miles away from here. We've had a brief shower this morning. Nothing else at all.

Looking at radar,think I will miss them again as they go west and go nw as they pass my area.

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My lightning detector is going off every 10 seconds now 😯

Edited by Zak M
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Is that a trough visible on radar moving into Kent/Sussex currently which could become a focus for thunderstorm development? 

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Last night was amazing. The lightning was constant over Ilfracombe and Minehead. I could see it from where I live. Not a hint of thunder just constant flashes. Only the 2nd time I've ever seen this.

Once again, my chance for storms today has been decreased from 77% to 29%, so I'm really not expecting anything spectacular, but I remain hopeful.

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