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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards


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A beautiful altocumulus castellanus sunrise this morning. 

Oo she's a beauty 

My first attempt at storm shots 🤷‍♂️ (Please don't judge 🤣) The cells are impressive tonight! 

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4 minutes ago, ancientsolar said:

seems to be some line of cloud developing around Cambridge, extending SW ,. is it nothing or the chance for some lucky few in the East ?

Those are accas. They do have some height to them but I’m not sure if they will spark something off

5D17A070-6E89-4E4A-A23C-3C450D3B8B22.jpeg

Edited by Zak M
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I know this isnt really relevant for us, at least today. But take a look at that explosive development in central france. Cloud tops are really hogh and looks like supercells. This seems to be the area of instability we will see move northwards tommorow and tuesday. 

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ED7F7097-4DAD-44BF-BD05-192C95D3AC80.jpeg

C631D63B-66D1-4546-8699-877E0BF01336.jpeg

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6 minutes ago, Justin1705 said:

I know this isnt really relevant for us, at least today. But take a look at that explosive development in central france. Cloud tops are really hogh and looks like supercells. This seems to be the area of instability we will see move northwards tommorow and tuesday. 

E06C97C0-9D04-48FF-9ADF-CF44120F2A2B.png

8535112F-167E-42E9-A32C-9F9F654AAB46.png

5B305782-81CE-4EF5-966F-EBA01C6D095E.jpeg

ED7F7097-4DAD-44BF-BD05-192C95D3AC80.jpeg

C631D63B-66D1-4546-8699-877E0BF01336.jpeg

bear in mind the temps over there are a lot higher than here, going off the current temps on met office etc

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Anyone reckon that the Met Office will issue an amber warning closer to the time? 🤔

Edited by Zak M
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1 minute ago, viking_smb said:

bear in mind the temps over there are a lot higher than here, going off the current temps on met office etc

35c here tomorrow. That airmass is moving ne’wds bringing them temps, al be it a little Fresher. Tomorrow and Tuesday. Just saying this is brilliant news for us ! If its exploding today most likely itll explode tomo. Tornado chances and supercells possible for all areas of walses and central midlands 

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Euro 4 suggests that the first activity will be generated in the north west around midnight before becoming more widespread in the west tomorrow morning and spreading east in terms of risk as the day progresses. 

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6 minutes ago, Tom dewey likes thunder said:

15969922226886222774563816812482.jpg

 

3 minutes ago, Lance M said:

Those are false strikes

Yep they certainly are,lightningmaps always does this when there is a powerful storm near by such as the one in central France,i always use blitzortung.org any day

WWW.BLITZORTUNG.ORG

Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other...

and the more international one which you can zoom in or out.

MAP.BLITZORTUNG.ORG

Blitzortung.org, lightning and thunderstorms in real time

 

 

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16 minutes ago, Justin1705 said:

I know this isnt really relevant for us, at least today. But take a look at that explosive development in central france. Cloud tops are really hogh and looks like supercells. This seems to be the area of instability we will see move northwards tommorow and tuesday. 

E06C97C0-9D04-48FF-9ADF-CF44120F2A2B.png

8535112F-167E-42E9-A32C-9F9F654AAB46.png

5B305782-81CE-4EF5-966F-EBA01C6D095E.jpeg

ED7F7097-4DAD-44BF-BD05-192C95D3AC80.jpeg

C631D63B-66D1-4546-8699-877E0BF01336.jpeg

You need to be looking a bit west.

Essentially there is a weak front nearing southern Ireland which is interacting with the air over the south west/just off Biscay. This stuff will essentially progress a bit north and a bit east and start to enhance. On Tuesday we then get an upper weakness near north west Spain and the Bay of Biscay which starts to feed us with moisture. 

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13 minutes ago, viking_smb said:

bear in mind the temps over there are a lot higher than here, going off the current temps on met office etc

Impossible to tell they are supercells from those radar or satellite images. Remember a supercell is defined as a thunderstorm with a deep rotating updraft. Unless you see an obvious hook on reflectivity (uk radar would be too distant to see this in France) or have Doppler Radar to detect the rotation 

Edited by John90
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1 minute ago, Rapodo said:

France has lit up according to lightening detector 

Only near Bourges and another 200km south. Wouldn't say France has lit up as such.

And those in Biscay, of the coast of Brest and L'Orient, there is activity there, not all maps I use showing the same but all showing something. Being picked up on 4 detectors/maps I use.

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