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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


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Worth remembering that even though certain areas, including here, are looking very promising for this afternoon, the pulse nature of these storms means that the existing ones could lose their energy as they go along (and in some cases, reignite again later).

Equally, the areas looking like they'll miss them could see very rapid development. Up to mid afternoon yesterday, it was looking like Birmingham was going to miss out. That situation changed very quickly.

Nothing can be guaranteed in these situations.

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A quick recap of my day, without getting too waffly. It has been an absolute classic and my favourite/most successful chase so far. - started fairly benign as I failed to get a good handle on the

100% Bonafide Supercell no doubting that whatsoever 35knts of flow, Moved right of the deviant steering flow Killed off anything that came near it Like most Supercells massive uptick in

Nice little thunderstorm finally drought is over!  London webcams: I grabbed this!!! 

Posted Images

Signs of things starting to maybe happen now. Very small return over Basingstoke way and the Ludgershall supercell is growing.

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1 hour ago, Alderc said:

Bournemouth storm shield fully powered up this morning and protecting large part of the south coast. 

Bmth Storm Sheild 2020-06-17 125303.png

Along with me, firmly in the TOD

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2 minutes ago, Gord said:

Worth remembering that even though certain areas, including here, are looking very promising for this afternoon, the pulse nature of these storms means that the existing ones could lose their energy as they go along (and in some cases, reignite again later).

Equally, the areas looking like they'll miss them could see very rapid development. Up to mid afternoon yesterday, it was looking like Birmingham was going to miss out. That situation changed very quickly.

Nothing can be guaranteed in these situations.

Absolutely - one minute it looks like your going to get a cracking storm the next it loses its intensity and passes all it's energy to your South - seeing that North of Cambridge at the moment. Hoping for some 'back building' though which is what I saw yesterday - when an even bigger storm suddenly fires up over you. That's a very exciting situation to be in! 

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The batch leaving France for east Anglia are very bulky. It will be interesting to see if it dies over water or drops on eastern England.

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Just now, Matty88 said:

Absolutely - one minute it looks like your going to get a cracking storm the next it loses its intensity and passes all it's energy to your South - seeing that North of Cambridge at the moment. Hoping for some 'back building' though which is what I saw yesterday - when an even bigger storm suddenly fires up over you. That's a very exciting situation to be in! 

Van's sitting in the driveway, everything prepped so I'd say a wasted effort on my part - happens every time ?

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4 minutes ago, Gord said:

Worth remembering that even though certain areas, including here, are looking very promising for this afternoon, the pulse nature of these storms means that the existing ones could lose their energy as they go along (and in some cases, reignite again later).

Equally, the areas looking like they'll miss them could see very rapid development. Up to mid afternoon yesterday, it was looking like Birmingham was going to miss out. That situation changed very quickly.

Nothing can be guaranteed in these situations.

Same here, looked like everything was missing me until about 16:30 yesterday afternoon when a huge storm popped up in the space of 20 minutes and gave a solid hour of thunder and heavy rain

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53 minutes ago, Jonathan F. said:

Pretty disappointing here so far, few rumbles but main part of the storm behind me over Central London.  Looks like a bit of rain incoming which should help the brown grass at least.

I spoke too soon, we barely got any rain in the end!  Nothing incoming either

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4 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

The batch leaving France for east Anglia are very bulky. It will be interesting to see if it dies over water or drops on eastern England.

don't worry it will die as its gone past me, it's my curse

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Many of you across CS England may want to check out Tony's latest forecast update on UKWW: (don't get too excited ;))

 

WWW.UKWEATHERWORLD.CO.UK

Moderate Risk of Thunderstorms UK & East 3rd of Ireland. 11z-21z. (potential to extend risk further East)...

 

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4 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:

Van's sitting in the driveway, everything prepped so I'd say a wasted effort on my part - happens every time ?

Get yourself West of Thetford... that's where most of the action will be at least until later I suspect! 

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3 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Many of you across CS England may want to check out Tony's latest forecast update on UKWW: (don't get too excited ;))

 

WWW.UKWEATHERWORLD.CO.UK

Moderate Risk of Thunderstorms UK & East 3rd of Ireland. 11z-21z. (potential to extend risk further East)...

 

It all sounds promising..... we shall see.

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1 minute ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Looks like lincolnshires going to miss out on the main action today. Too far east for the goodens

East hasn't been best for many, many years sadly!

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