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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


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A quick recap of my day, without getting too waffly. It has been an absolute classic and my favourite/most successful chase so far. - started fairly benign as I failed to get a good handle on the

100% Bonafide Supercell no doubting that whatsoever 35knts of flow, Moved right of the deviant steering flow Killed off anything that came near it Like most Supercells massive uptick in

Nice little thunderstorm finally drought is over!  London webcams: I grabbed this!!! 

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We've been thoroughly spoilt around these parts over the past few days. Just what was needed after such a long storm drought in previous years!

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4 minutes ago, Chris Lea-Alex said:

Interesting radar shape alert for Newark

IMG_20200616_175554.png

I can still see the inflow on the left of this cell but the interesting bit is beyond the houses to the north now. If I was out chasing, I'd be on the A1 to get a better view. Worksop area might be good. 

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That one thats just been over Newark is now heading straight towards me, can here lots of distant thunder while sat on the back of the truck with the ldogs ?

1592327318832520921149714289478.jpg

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3 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

We've been thoroughly spoilt around these parts over the past few days. Just what was needed after such a long storm drought in previous years!

In Congleton we have had nothing. Few distant rumbles and a few decent sheet flashes. That's about it. Every storm has missed us just to the west. Every one. 

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1 minute ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Nice little crop of storms forming in the Suffolk/Norfolk/Cambs borders! ML CAPE is on the increase, so this is the reason for the up tick in activity!! It’s mad! 

Will these make it up to Lincoln without dying?

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3 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Nice little crop of storms forming in the Suffolk/Norfolk/Cambs borders! ML CAPE is on the increase, so this is the reason for the up tick in activity!! It’s mad! 

What's the CAPE value for south Norfolk/Norwich?

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1 minute ago, Azuremoon2 said:

In Congleton we have had nothing. Few distant rumbles and a few decent sheet flashes. That's about it. Every storm has missed us just to the west. Every one. 

You have a possible monster heading you way ? 

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Thunder on the Wirral. Must be a developing cell over Liverpool

Edited by Shaun L
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4 minutes ago, Jeffers146 said:

And would you believe it...... the shower leaves Lincoln and boom. Anything else creeping into Lincoln tonight or is that yet another day of disappointment 

While this southerly slack flow continues - and without the warmer SSTs I think the south and east is just going to keep breeding storms for northern areas. I really don’t believe we are due anything this week despite mentions of weds/thurs, another case of waiting... and waiting... and waiting.

I feel like kinda giving up on it this year. It’s already mid June and we’re just not getting the goods.

The balance is already well off. We are ‘owed’ about 3 big storms now round these parts. We will be lucky to get 1.

last year the two decent ones were in May and one was in the summer (can’t remember when lol). By that standard we have one storm left in the south.

Forgive me for being so downtrodden but it’s really been hard work - even chasing is an uphill struggle and just not worth the time and effort (and it’s expensive).

As much as I want to I just can’t bring myself to believe the optimistic forecasts for our area at the moment.

Nobody’s fault but they are just not verifying.

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15 minutes ago, Dan the Man said:

Dare I look ahead to Thursday... looks like some real humdinger severe t-storms potentially breaking out with a fair amount of wind shear. 

Which parts of the country?

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2 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

What's the CAPE value for south Norfolk/Norwich?

Seems to be a convergence zone happening. Can only assume it’s the sea breezes from the North and East battling out, and possible outflow from the west from previous storms. I’d say it’s around 800-1000j/kg at the min. 

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1 minute ago, OddSpot said:

Wonder if that lot departing Newark has our name on it

1348226440_CropperCapture1.thumb.jpg.d445ae90dd57241a3d9a25b9f7ab443f.jpg

It certainly does at the moment. The question that is keeping me grounded right now is "Will it stay active?" ?

Plenty of robust towers here so it's not exactly the killing Fields. Then again we've been burnt already this week!

Edited by Jim Halpert
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Just now, SarahWxm said:

Which parts of the country?

I'd say a fair chunk of the southern half of the country will be in with a chance. In my eyes, the best out of the three middle days this week. LI up to around -2 and -3, some upper level jet activity and CAPE around 700-1000 widely.

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line of storms passed to the north of me (still under the trailing edge).....bright sunshine overhead all afternoon with not a drop of rain, but an hour's worth of rumbles from these training cells....I bet swindon-malmsbury-stroud areas got drenched !

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