Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Mapantz]

1 minute ago, lottiekent said:

Not great then

Doesn't look too bad for the Sussex's - 500 -700 J/kg. 

[Southern Storm]

2 minutes ago, John90 said:

The scale on some of these charts are horrendous when trying to deal small amounts of Cape. 

The sky is looking the part!

Also, what type of cape are we seeing on that chart? 

 

Fingers crossed for tonight, just wondering if going out to photograph any storms is ok, any thoughts folks?

[Mapantz]

1 minute ago, Alderc said:

Was just about to say the same! Almost impossible to tell the difference between 0 & 1000j/kg

You guys must have poor colour rendition on your devices?! Granted, it's not the best, but I can see the contours fine.

[Lu.]

Just now, Christchurch storm nut said:

Also, what type of cape are we seeing on that chart? 

 

Fingers crossed for tonight, just wondering if going out to photograph any storms is ok, any thoughts folks?

Down to the individual person I guess.

I went out earlier with the camera, I will later tonight if something crops up. Im in the car not out & about

Nice bit of blue sky down this way at the moment

[Met4Cast]

Not every thunderstorm is a supercell, granted. But this certainly has the characteristics. 

• -Overshooting cloud tops
• Signs of rotation
• Intense hail core/outflow boundary to the SE

Could be some intense rainfall, hail & frequent lightning where this thing makes landfall, assuming it can maintain integrety as it moves north.

[Guest]

4 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Doesn't look too bad for the Sussex's - 500 -700 J/kg. 

Ultimately though we're not that interested in the CAPE values as they are surface based? 

[Guest]

Got my eyes on that ell that's just about to paste Jersey!

[Mapantz]

Just now, Alderc said:

Ultimately though we're not that interested in the CAPE values as they are surface based? 

That's MUCAPE, not SB.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

5 minutes ago, Christchurch storm nut said:

Also, what type of cape are we seeing on that chart? 

 

Fingers crossed for tonight, just wondering if going out to photograph any storms is ok, any thoughts folks?

It’s fine, as long as you're not meeting anyone else I can’t see how it’s even 10% as bad as all those cops standing having a laugh together on that bridge in London yesterday

[Harry]

Models at this time range I find aren’t incredibly reliable. I find it helpful on days (and more especially time ranges) like this to look at the performance of current storms. The cell approaching Dungeness, together with the rampant cell service over the Channel Isles give us a decent indicator of where the nose of mid level instability actually is. Currently it appears to be over the Channel still.

The sky here currently, I must say, does look quite encouraging - it’s flooded with Ac, but not quite the textbook AcCas I look for - still some patches, like this, do have some vertical component which is always welcome

[Guest]

2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

That's MUCAPE, not SB.

My eyes don't work for words as well as colour it appears

[TheToastPeople]

Im not expecting much out of this other then the odd rumble on the south coast later. Its not warm enough for a decent storm. Hopefully im wrong? 

[Mapantz]

I've just picked up a lightning strike. I'll wait and see where it got that from.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Looking on the radar looks like a cell is already rather close to me in ramsgate maybe I'll get an early storm

[convector]

First storms to reach landfall in the SW near plymouth 

[Southern Storm]

6 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

It’s fine, as long as you're not meeting anyone else I can’t see how it’s even 10% as bad as all those cops standing having a laugh together on that bridge in London yesterday

Yeah that's what I thought, I don't intend to drive anywhere.

 

Good luck to all wishing for a storm

[Eagle Eye]

Looks like my early shower prdiction compared to other peoples might be a bit of although it looks like it is close.

[TheToastPeople]

The Exmouth Webcam - Live Streaming Webcam

WWW.EXMOUTHCAM.CO.UK

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Live webcam on the seafront and in the town centre, Devon, UK

Some cells moving into view here

[Ben Sainsbury]

Tonight is quite remarkable actually in that I really have no idea if and when storms may survive/make landfall in the UK. It's all down to radar watching at the moment and does look fairly promising in my opinion. Majority of the Hi-Res models have most of these storms dying out before making it half way across the channel so should be interesting!

[lottiekent]

Just heard a rumble - first of 2020!

[Zak M]

39 minutes ago, Dreckly said:

ooh! is that heading my way?

Some cells have developed in front of the main storm so possibly!

[Hodgheg]

What's wrong with the last radar grab?

[Zak M]

12 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I've just picked up a lightning strike. I'll wait and see where it got that from.

I hope you were wearing protective gloves!

Sorry for the stealing of that joke @Another Kent clipper

[Stabilo19]

Most lightning activity edging E-NE but precip moving more N-NE it seems?

Kent looking like it might be clipped by that storm moving N from around Calais.

[10 Days Away]

Pre Coronavirus and I'd be heading down to Camber now.