Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Thunder and Lightning]

29 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

A chance of one or two rogue cells developing today but I want to focus on tomorrow. Now we are very early in the storm season but from looking at the charts I am seeing the possibility for supercell potential.

as some of you know the main model I use is the wrf nmm the majority of the time it performs really well of course no model is ever 100% perfect but it has better detail than some of the other short range models especially the 2km so now some details for tomorrow which I will monitor over the rest of today’s runs for any changes.

  It is the arc of cells that I am interested in, the way there are separate cells also with intense cores peaks my interest this ties in with the euro 4 too which shows possibility of hail cores  

There will be more than enough CAPE 

the winds higher up in the atmosphere and potential vorticity associated with those cells is also evident 

all this ties in with the front covering the same area 

 

So certainly looks like a very interesting day and I wouldn’t be surprised to see hail and possible funnel / tornadic reports along that line of cells.

I was wondering if some of those models looked suspicious. I was also wondering if the front could enhance the shear and helicity near the front?

[Harry]

Hi everyone, long time no speak. Has felt like a long and drawn out stormless season - gorgeous to be getting some heat and signs of convection again.

This is looking west right now - lovely signs of instability developing. 

Edited April 11, 2020 by Harry

[Tim Bland]

Is driving to see a thunderstorm classed as ‘essential travel ‘ ? Asking for a friend ...

[Thunder and Lightning]

Seeing some bubbling cumulus now... hopefully I get to see something interesting!

[Zak M]

Just gone outside - very bubbly cumulus to my south. They were not there 5 minutes ago.

[Zak M]

Just now, Thunder and Lightning said:

Seeing some bubbling cumulus now... hopefully I get to see something interesting!

Said that at the same time once again!

[kold weather]

Got some decent cumulus here at the moment. I'm not expecting anything but can see a wind shift right overhead with clouds coming in from the different direction just a few hundred meters away which is helping a little line of cumulus to form.

As I said, don't think it will lead to anything here, but I will wait and see.

[Atmogenic]

any pics of that slow moving cell in the southwest or is it cloud covered? Just for us southeasters who don't have a cloud in the sky 

Edited April 11, 2020 by Atmogenic
added words

[Thunder and Lightning]

Seeing lots of cumulus and... Accas!!

[ChezWeather]

It's good to be back, here's to a stormy 2020! 

Lovely day today, 24c here and feels like high summer

First storm of the day has fired up over Dartmoor

 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Clouding over our way

[Team Jo]

Something on the bubble here to my west..

[Josh Rubio]

Looks like there is a fair bit of cloud developing over Wales and heading east towards the West Midlands. Don’t know if this will lead on to anything?

[Thunder and Lightning]

Very large mass of cumulus to my N and NE. I can see it on satellite!

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

I’ve highlighted areas that could fire up soon, as per XCweather wind map. 

Cotswolds, Home Counties and Devon currently seeing evident convergence zones. Any storms getting steered Eastwards, albeit at a very slow pace. Converging winds could occur elsewhere over the next few hours also. Keep a look out! 

[WxHerts]

Skies looking quite..fancy..to my east - few towers setting themselves up to my west as well. 

[Jeffers146]

Afternoon all hope all has been well. Is Lincoln in with a shot of anything today/tomorrow?

[James1979]

Some Acca's earlier and now in the last few minutes some decent cumulus popped up to the East.  Fingers crossed...

[Zak M]

Feels like it will go bang here very soon.

[Dangerous55019]

Good afternoonies all 

Well after yesterday’s evenings little storm, the aftermath crud soon cleared this morning leaving my area with an almost perfect carbon copy of yesterday afternoon! 
Could I be lucky and get another small storm today? ... I don’t know. Time will tell on that one. 

But whatever happens today... Good luck to everyone who’s hoping for a storm, or like me, another storm. 

Edited April 11, 2020 by Dangerous55019
Dyslexic fingers

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Remember it’s less of a thunderstorm risk today more of an electrified showers kind of set up

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

That CZ along the southern counties on CW’s forecast is spot on so far  

[Zak M]

[Zak M]

More showers have popped up near Lincoln and SW London.

Edit: And off the coast of Whitby and Scarborough!

Edited April 11, 2020 by Zak M

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

For anyone interested I’ve found the URL to tab to the most current page of this thread (updated from the older one I previously had). Use this on your home screen as a quick shortcut (copy the address)

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/93534-storms-and-convective-discussion-10th-april-2020-onwards/?do=getLastComment