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April 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests


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April confirmed as 10.4c https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt

6.2c to the 1st 0.3c below the 61 to 90 average 2.1c below the 81 to 10 average __________________________ Current high this month 6.2c to the 1st Current low this month 6.2c to the

Look at that CET anomaly so far, off the scale. Even now at only 11th April, the rest of the year only needs to be 1.11C above the average for it to be the warmest year on record.

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April I think will be quite a cool month so my guess for April is 8.5c and I also think it will be a wet month but not as wet as we have had there for I am going for rain total of 75mm thank you. ☺️ also given current situation I hope every member on netweather keep safe and please follow advice given by medical expert and other pros keep safe everyone and look out for each other.   

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Honestly would wait right until the last minute now though would probably plumb for above average, trouble for those who are basing their low forecasts on the Northerly, if you get that wrong and its an above average start with the southerlies winning out (more likely with each run over last 24 hours), then you have pretty much bust a few days in, given this must be the most ascending month (could be wrong and it could be March - roger would know) but its one of them.

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4 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Honestly would wait right until the last minute now though would probably plumb for above average, trouble for those who are basing their low forecasts on the Northerly, if you get that wrong and its an above average start with the southerlies winning out (more likely with each run over last 24 hours), then you have pretty much bust a few days in, given this must be the most ascending month (could be wrong and it could be March - roger would know) but its one of them.

I always wait until the last minute to post my guess.  However, I think it would be especially wise to do this for April, the way the models are at the moment!

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Yes I’m hoping for a warmer than average month, with some warm sunny weather, as opposed to milder than average months with damp and wet cloudy conditions, where it still ends up feeling cold, despite being milder than average.

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8.4 degrees and 18mm please and I am humbled here to see myself on top of the table as meteorology has been the one thing in my life that always changes and surprises and most of all never ever gets boring as  I love all the seasons.

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   Thankfully drier than average with a lot of High pressure, it will start cool with frosts but the month will show both temp extremes, a bit of snow in week before Good Friday but a strong Spanish plume jacking the average up near end, which will give temps exceeding 30.C. Overall 9.0.C and 34mm.

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19 minutes ago, Shillitocettwo said:

   Thankfully drier than average with a lot of High pressure, it will start cool with frosts but the month will show both temp extremes, a bit of snow in week before Good Friday but a strong Spanish plume jacking the average up near end, which will give temps exceeding 30.C. Overall 9.0.C and 34mm.

I think 30c is very optimistic. I wouldn’t expect anything exceeding 22-23c. Perhaps a 24 isn’t out of the question.

A repeat of 2011 doesn’t seem likely.

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8 hours ago, Sunny76 said:

I think 30c is very optimistic. I wouldn’t expect anything exceeding 22-23c. Perhaps a 24 isn’t out of the question.

A repeat of 2011 doesn’t seem likely.

I think so too but never say never, we almost got there in April 2018

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A generally unsettled month ahead, despite the current signal for a mostly dry settled early part. Too much energy in the atlantic this year. As is often the case with April, very topsy turvy temperature wise, marked temperature differentials between north and south at times, with arctic air never that far away and on occasion making inroads into northern parts at least, whilst the jet shifts north and south at times, pulling in some warmer continental air in bursts, first one between 5-7th.

Not expecting any exceptional warmth this April. Could be fairly wet in western and NW parts, preety dry further SE.

A little above average at 9.3 degrees, with a 20% chance of hitting the high 9's.

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