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Tornado threat 18th March onward

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Thanks for keeping the weather angle going at this time of national bog roll crisis.

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3 hours ago, matty40s said:

Thanks for keeping the weather angle going at this time of national bog roll crisis.

Yep the weather will keep on rolling and had a feeling there would be some tornadoes last night

 

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Thanks to Kirkaldy Weather for creating this thread and keeping the season virtually alive for those of us who have had our trips cancelled.

This Saturday 28th March sees some of high=end kinematics for strong tornadoes in Illinois:

 

SPC28_3_20.jpg

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High Risk will be Issued by 16z in my opinion if the HRRR continues to be bold, other models not so bold it has to be said.

50-60mph Movers and PWATS around 2 " equals good luck seeing these ground scrapers which should be HP in nature along the Warm Front

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Good discussion from Reed, looks like Iowa and Illinois main risk areas. 

 

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Will be watching tonight, looks a strong setup!

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37 minutes ago, mikeofmacc said:

Will be watching tonight, looks a strong setup!

It will be good to follow something a bit more 'normal'....

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Posted (edited)

Taken from the latest update "Greatest risk for long-track/significant tornadoes, along with potential for very large/destructive hail and damaging wind gusts, still appears to exist from portions of northeastern Missouri and arcing northwestward into Iowa, and then eastward across Illinois and into Indiana. This risk will largely exist with new/intense storm development this afternoon in the wake of the initial convection -- but also potentially evolving with a few intensifying storms within the initial/ongoing band of convection -- along/near the warm front into Indiana. As the storms intensify rapidly this afternoon in response to the rapidly evolving environment, expect peak tornado risk to occur through late afternoon and into early evening, spreading from eastern Iowa/northeast Missouri across the remainder of the MDT and ENH risk areas. Given existing uncertainties due to ongoing precipitation/cloud cover, and anticipated/rapid changes in the environment as the warm front lifts northward and clouds thin/clear from the west, confidence remains too low to delineate a potentially concentrated area of greatest risk, which would otherwise support high risk upgrade. As the situation evolves, a possible upgrade remains possible for the 20Z outlook update, given the larger-scale pattern/environment which continues to appear favorable for several significant tornadoes."

 

Edited by Kirkcaldy Weather
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48 minutes ago, mikeofmacc said:

Will be watching tonight, looks a strong setup!

I will watching and posting later too🙂

10 minutes ago, matty40s said:

It will be good to follow something a bit more 'normal'....

you are not wrong

a couple of links for this evening/tonight.

LIVESTORMCHASING.COM

Watch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.
WWW.SEVERESTUDIOS.COM

Experience live storm chasing & watch top storm chasers stream dashboard video of tornados and extreme weather as it happens. Compatible with Android & iOS.
RADAR.WEATHER.GOV

Latest weather radar images from the National Weather Service

 

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1 minute ago, Arnie Pie said:

Any good links for watching?

Just posted them^

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^^ this is also a good link for the latest warnings also radar https://www.tornadohq.com/

Brett Adair live in Illinois https://livestormchasing.com/chasers/brett.adair

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