Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
DiagonalRedLine

Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!

Recommended Posts

Looking at the 10 and 30 hpa the warming has slowed and beginning to drop back down 

not sure how these work, I assume these are near real time or are they a forecast?

someone on here who has better knowledge may be able to explain.

go easy I’m still learning

4592B8A7-9F1B-4268-89D5-04F91839CD86.jpeg

4B306B40-8C8B-4DD2-88B7-FD7768F0FA47.jpeg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Pub run already more amplified than the 12z on the key ridge developing to the far SW T138, vs 12z T144:

image.thumb.jpg.643570b50f79cfb8223fde2060936ca9.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.973a3ce361444e619c3111dd962adebf.jpg

Should be a better run this one...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes Mike, looking better out at 162 vs 168 of 12z re the amplification up towards Greenland.  *IF* this run follows a similar evolution, it *should* be a good run...

image.thumb.png.393feb86dd48b95e98354bd970f70de4.pngimage.thumb.png.91c6b95f4572a4c6e2ef0c60f542a13f.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

yep  expect  some notable  mlb. .

on the 18z. ..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The cold cometh, pub run T204:

image.thumb.jpg.2d5505513377e8e9e243df99b4287211.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.a24f037bacedd26850c0e2354bb616d1.jpg

Could this high become cut off?  Surely not...or maybe?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Out to 210 and that's a nice looking chart, -10's covering Scotland.  Good days model watching today, but beware the bite of the volatile Pub Run.

image.thumb.png.5fc094224b00db7e2986b98ad63f9932.pngimage.thumb.png.71695a5c2511870350f14b8e7767b395.png  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, tight isobar said:

lol. ..it's obviously  not got to that point  as yet. ...and despite  previous  carrot dangling. ...

the dart has to hit the board  if you keep throwing  it.

and with given  atmospheric  nudges. ..

we'll  wait  and see aye! !!!

I’ve been spending the last 2 hours trying to figure out your post and missed the 18z...

pub run looks hugely (as expected) over amplified.  I’m with Nick Sussex, we’re not seeing what we need right now. 

Edited by Beanz

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

No prizes for guessing the predominant wind direction on the EC46.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Beanz said:

I’ve been spending the last 2 hours trying to figure out your post and missed the 18z...

then shame on you pal! !!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That high pushing further north this run, sweet

gfsnh-1-240.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

yep  expect  some notable  Hlb. .

on the 18z. ..

I have edited your wording as mlb isn't good enough😜

height's pushing up towards Greenland should signify Hlb

gfsnh-0-234.thumb.png.88a5e448629c0020dd8a439fce971c81.png

although this is an upgrade,we still need to count it down,hopefully an upgrade count down.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well fingers crossed the amplification in the upper flow early-mid next week comes off to allow a proper cold northerly that can bring a flake of snow even to the south. Because it looks, for now, that it may take second warming later in Feb to perhaps finally knock out the wretched strong SPV that has ruined the winter for cold and snow lovers thus far.

18z GFS certainly putting on a good show.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

true winter charts. .and very exeptable  850  incurance. ..

and why not...isn't  it time the-thorn in the side HP - gave us a break!???

gfs-1-240.png

gfs-1-228.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Good snow fall for the alps and anyone skiing! 

gfsnh-1-252.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, Dennis said:

who wants this......

 

image.thumb.png.2c94ef5a0676f5bc7cb433cd3d473422.pngimage.thumb.png.32a24c3c65da20f411490a1fe1d9ffae.png

I think the majority on here do

silly question😁

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, Dennis said:

who wants this......

 

image.thumb.png.2c94ef5a0676f5bc7cb433cd3d473422.pngimage.thumb.png.32a24c3c65da20f411490a1fe1d9ffae.png

I mean its cold, sunny with a chance of snow showers around the coasts and as the high topples over us some very frosty nights, yes please!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

No prizes for guessing the predominant wind direction on the EC46.

Erm, not north or east?!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Don said:

Erm, not north or east?!

Nope - W'ly

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well by T300 the trop vortex is a mangled alien looking mess.

image.thumb.jpg.6ee72ab10f28092e53773bfe3273139f.jpg

And the high looks to be retrogressing.  And an Arctic high has appeared, hello, welcome to netweather!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...