Jump to content
Norrance

Scotland /Alba weather discussion 2020

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, Norrance said:

It snowed heavily for a time around midnight but turned back to sleety rain. The remaining slight cover then froze so very icy this morning. I am told that it was rain in the Ferry though?

? I moved back to the East Neuk of Fife because the snow risk in the Ferry was too high! ?

Looking at the range of conditions with even small changes in altitude/topography, it was a forecasters' nightmare.

  • Like 9

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not thawing here at all.  Mobile library lady couldn't get up my hill on foot or in the van, she phoned me to say the road was sheet ice and lethal.

  • Like 9

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

temps.thumb.png.bce1685cf264e43b2e37ac8e9f4a4bab.pngpressure.thumb.png.fca191d762d9d9483f97ecf824e3f83c.png The temperature / dew point and pressure charts from my weather station last night clearly showing that lower pressure meaning it was game over for any snow as pressure fell and the temps rose then when the pressure began to rise a slight fall again in temps. 

16 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

The charts are looking good as we head into next week especially for the north and east.

 

2 hours ago, Norrance said:

You never know though, something like the following chart may happen?

FE83EA90-CA73-4FD7-BFCA-1D8B4EB631CD.jpeg

Right then it will be you 2 that we blame if it all goes wrong ? ?

  • Like 9

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, bigsnow said:

Boom charts from the 12z GFS. the beast is coming.. BFTE here we go. all aboard the looney train.

It certainly is outstanding, with my main worry being that the Op run is at the bottom of the pack throughout. 

graphe3_1000___-2.7397_57.265_.gif

Then again it's been in the lower end of the spread for a few runs now. Higher resolution compared to the ensemble runs hopefully making it more accurate? 

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Ravelin said:

It certainly is outstanding, with my main worry being that the Op run is at the bottom of the pack throughout. 

graphe3_1000___-2.7397_57.265_.gif

Then again it's been in the lower end of the spread for a few runs now. Higher resolution compared to the ensemble runs hopefully making it more accurate? 

Have seen it many times with the GFS (FV3) especially 18z runs and has been discussions before highlighting it's cold bias so I am always dubious and tend to stick with the ensembles which haven't been updated to the FV3  yet (and GEM ensembles) 

  • Like 7

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Temperature dropped to 2.5c here and there is still some hefty (snow? / rain?) showers about. Latest satellite pass below. 

1569.jpg

1569_1.jpg

1569_2.jpg

  • Like 7

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Blitzen said:

 

Feels like  Easter eggs should be in the shops any day now!   No?

Sorry to break it to you but the Easter Eggs have been in the shops for weeks ? Always the same. When I worked for Sainbury's we used to swap the Freefrom Xmas stuff directly for Easter stuff.

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Sorry to break it to you but the Easter Eggs have been in the shops for weeks ? Always the same. When I worked for Sainbury's we used to swap the Freefrom Xmas stuff directly for Easter stuff.

Christmas eve without fail that roll pallet of cream eggs & mini eggs would turn up ready to slot into the seasonal Aisle !

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A dusting overnight survived inthe shade all day Nice wintry look to the hills and sky round the Firth today. Still think we have not seen the last of winter. February used to the frostiest month of winter 40 odd years ago. Ground still slowly drying out. Cows ran down the the neep field yesterday kicking up a bit of dust as they went .Currently 2c and overcast

  • Like 9

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's trying harder to snow here tonight than it did last night!

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

it's getting hard to understand the utter gibberish being posted in the mad house tonight... it rubbish oh no it's not oh yes it is, then something about gains and momentum watch and wait see this see that.... how the hell is a semi normal person meant to make sense of it. i await another round in the morning.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
55 minutes ago, bigsnow said:

it's getting hard to understand the utter gibberish being posted in the mad house tonight... it rubbish oh no it's not oh yes it is, then something about gains and momentum watch and wait see this see that.... how the hell is a semi normal person meant to make sense of it. i await another round in the morning.

Semi normal people look at one run (good or bad) and take it for what it is... One run! It's the 'usual suspects' that go all extreme snowmageddon or winter's over, and are therefore best ignored. Our creator of cryptic posts on the other hand is best looked on as light amusement or, more likely, bemusement. 

Edited by Ravelin
  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
52 minutes ago, bigsnow said:

it's getting hard to understand the utter gibberish being posted in the mad house tonight... it rubbish oh no it's not oh yes it is, then something about gains and momentum watch and wait see this see that.... how the hell is a semi normal person meant to make sense of it. i await another round in the morning.

Wait until they're talking about something 3-5 days out. Whilst model outputs in the 7-10day range can be predicted correctly its far less likely it'll come off. Nearly 20 years on here plus time on other forums before that (Wtf?) has taught me that despite the improvement in model performance over that time! 

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well it was 1st Feb 2019 (361 days) that I last had snow here although it was as little snow as you can get but still made sure it wasnt a snowless winter, looks like it will definitely pass the 1 year mark just praying it isn't a snowless winter which even here are pretty rare.

  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'am glad to see some at least had a covering of snow and for those who didn't I hope you enjoyed the pictures that were posted...I certailnly did.

It was a treat to drive to work today seeing everything covered in a white blanket of snow its a shame it didn't last most of it was gone by the time I got home...never even got to use my snaw shovel.

 

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

At least you had sleet was all rain here ? annoying thing is if it wasn't for that bit of lower pressure and it was just the front moving in more than likely a lot more of us would of had snow.

If you look at the replies to these there are lots of snow pics / vids 


No doubt @Blitzen got snow last night? And @West Highland Storm any snow pics looks like quite a bit up your way 

Really FW got the square root of hee haw, travel a few miles in land much more substantial falls of snow. Tomorrow I've to visit Kingussie that should be fun and games. Will defo supply pics. 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Well it was 1st Feb 2019 (361 days) that I last had snow here although it was as little snow as you can get but still made sure it wasnt a snowless winter, looks like it will definitely pass the 1 year mark just praying it isn't a snowless winter which even here are pretty rare.

I haven't seen lying snow here since 4th April 2018!! It's depressing even typing it! Apparently there was a few mm of white slushy muck in March 2019 but I wasn't here. Poor me ? LOL

Edit: All the above is actually nonsense. Checked back and apparently had a dusting on 1st Feb 2019 too! So memorable an event that I've erased it from memory ??

Edited by 101_North
  • Like 6

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...