Jump to content

Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat


Recommended Posts

Any chance ECM can throw out something really cold at the end of its run.I can’t remember a winter with a lack of any eye candy in FL,,nothing but mild operationals for months.

And it’s utterly dire again.Nearly time to throw the towel in?

Edited by SLEETY
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Morning all Yesterday was one of my favourite Meteorological Winter days of all time - no snowfall but -4c to start the day with a lovely sunrise, frost stayed on the ground at sea level all day,

One of the cold persuasion waiting for snow

You could apply that to gale lovers, why would you want a potentially destructive storm causing death, damage, disruption? You could apply that to thunderstorm lovers, why would you want a severe

Posted Images

1 hour ago, SLEETY said:

Any chance ECM can throw out something really cold at the end of its run.I can’t remember a winter with a lack of any eye candy in FL,,nothing but mild operationals for months.

And it’s utterly dire again.Nearly time to throw the towel in?

Struck me that snorefest winters have been had before but rarely with such little cold chasing from models that have offered very little hope at all, so far. Even LRFs have proved good.

Is this a sign of model improvement, I wonder?

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, mb018538 said:

That's not technically true - there are signs that something is afoot in the strat. Check Simon Lees twitter and available data etc. Nothing concrete yet, but there could be a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

He is a student. Twitter breeds publicity seeking peeps.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Hmmm - some interest in strat process at the moment. Feb 18 we had the SSW that brought the March Beast on Feb 12th. A suggestion across more than one model today that a mid Feb strat disruption may be in the offing. Winter may be a done deal, but perhaps early Spring can, once again, deliver real wintry interest. Wouldn’t be out of kilter with recent years....

If the signal remains or grows tomorrow I’ll put together a longer post.

Link to post
Share on other sites

And am I right in remembering that today is the two year anniversary of the Met Office comment that there was no sign of an SSW and the forecast through Feb March was therefore unremarkable? Seem to remember that comment was deleted afterwards though some sharp eyed observers copied it...?

Maybe 2020 can bring something similar.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, Catacol said:

And am I right in remembering that today is the two year anniversary of the Met Office comment that there was no sign of an SSW and the forecast through Feb March was therefore unremarkable? Seem to remember that comment was deleted afterwards though some sharp eyed observers copied it...?

Maybe 2020 can bring something similar.

I hope this is true, would love to see that comment ?

Link to post
Share on other sites

I’m on the verge of completing 2 essentially* snowless winters in a row, which for where I live is pretty ridiculous really. I haven’t seen proper snow since the Beast from the East’s little brother in mid March 2018. I’m not even sure 06/07 and 07/08 when I lived in Preston were this hopeless. 
 

*I saw snow falling one night last winter to a depth of 1 flake that melted as soon as the sun thought about coming up so wouldn’t even meet the Met Office 9am standard. This year I haven’t even seen sleet. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

It is looking likely that winter is going to arrive in spring if it is to arrive at all.Hopefully we may get another March 2018,2013,2001,1987 or 1979 

I could always dream of skipping winter altogether for a repeat of April 1981 !

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Here we go. Getting set for winter to arrive in spring...

 

Certainly seems to be changing the tune from earlier in the week. Promising. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Would be great to have ,cold high pressure, every one seeing a decent snowfall, sliders ,channel lows ,polar lows forming and moving south across the backbone of the UK, and of course some lake effect snow .lets hope IFF a good  SSW does occur we can get it to fall in our favour. Great posts , thanks for all the information and charts   , no ones posted on model discussion for 4 hours  ,desperate times ,cheers gang .

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Here we go. Getting set for winter to arrive in spring...

 

Good to see Marco taking note.  This won't please those looking forward to spring, but I hope that after an awful winter so far for cold/snow lovers, early spring at least will be cold and potentially snowy.  For those who want a hot summer, don't fret as a cold spring certainly does not preclude this.  Look at 2013!

Edited by Don
  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, Catacol said:

And am I right in remembering that today is the two year anniversary of the Met Office comment that there was no sign of an SSW and the forecast through Feb March was therefore unremarkable? Seem to remember that comment was deleted afterwards though some sharp eyed observers copied it...?

Maybe 2020 can bring something similar.

I was a day out. Contingency forecast of 26th January 2018 below - see final paragraph. So there is always opportunity for error, and hope springs eternal...

image.thumb.png.62ff0604e2e390df2f02619c245eec91.png

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, bradythemole said:

Hope this reply to Ian means that GloSea is also seeing this. 

2FA29828-4D52-4A91-BE42-C0E5A1520E83.png

I would have thought Ian would have access to GloSea?

Edited by Don
Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, bathweatherwatcher said:

He did when the Met Office were supplying forecasts to the BBC. I would suspect that access was lost when MeteoGroup took over.

Ahh, that would make sense!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...