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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)

    Here’s the cloud that produced Sferics, and another portion of the sky:

     

    9C17C343-A3AB-4339-88FF-940ADE7B3DEB.jpeg

    775AA9B9-0A26-4BD9-A422-27075FD2B210.jpeg

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    Dunstable got a good snow cover but melted in the afternoon. Hills around the area did ok. I drove to the highest point in the Chiltrens to have my snow fix. Some photos from Wendover Wood this mornin

    Shower cloud lit up nicely by the low sun earlier this evening north of Heathrow where I work.

    Nice bit of snow here this morning, so that means it won’t go down as one of the worst winters I can remember but only by the skin of its teeth . Photos below ?

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

    The Christmas period is appearing now in models runs and it's not looking good

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    Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
    47 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

    The Christmas period is appearing now in models runs and it's not looking good

    Turkey BBQ?

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    16 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

    Turkey BBQ?

    Yes but you need to bolt the bbq to the ground to prevent it from becoming your neighbour's bbq 

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    Posted
  • Location: lowestoft
  • Location: lowestoft

    We Have just had a violent squall shower of hail / sleet at Lowestoft, dont know how strong the wind was gusting, but we had items blowing everywhere, wont be surprised if a few trees were blown down,

    Anyone got reports of damage or wind gust speeds ? 

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    Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
    2 hours ago, lassie23 said:

    The Christmas period is appearing now in models runs and it's not looking good

    Explain..

    And some data to back that up???

    Certainly not true..

    Things are hinged...'to say the least.!

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    24 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

    Explain..

    And some data to back that up???

    Certainly not true..

    Things are hinged...'to say the least.!

    they have been hinged since last winter so i'll stick my neck out lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
    1 hour ago, lassie23 said:

    they have been hinged since last winter so i'll stick my neck out lol

    I fancy your chances lol

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    27 minutes ago, Coopsy said:

    I fancy your chances lol

    lol I would love to be wrong and have a white Christmas, it would make the relatives more tolerable, but them, together with wind and rain and mild temps does my nut.

    Edited by lassie23
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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I'll tell what gets my goat, lass (even more than not getting any snow) not getting any snow after being repeatedly assured that 'snow is on the way, but the models just haven't smelled the coffee yet'!?

    Edited by Ed Stone
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    Posted
  • Location: Harrow, London
  • Location: Harrow, London

    Odd day today. There was glorious sunshine all day here, but whereas this would normally involve calm winds and a cold, frosty morning, it was mild in the morning and the wind was fierce. Don't know which I'd prefer to be honest.

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
    7 hours ago, tight isobar said:

    Things are hinged...'to say the least.!

    Really?...as we know 8+ days ahead is far enough without having any confidence but when that ol' Atlantic rolls in and the ecm the last day is picking up a 'whiff' of heights building on the continent at the end of the runs. In general that means more often than not mild conditions although as last Xmas period proved if we can get just a hint of some continental air in the mix temps will be nearer normal...but 'hinged'? a tad over dramatic there.

    Edited by Froze were the Days
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    Posted
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey , Hale Gtr Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: clear skies , hard frost , snow !
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey , Hale Gtr Manchester
    1 hour ago, Froze were the Days said:

    Really?...as we know 8+ days ahead is far enough without having any confidence but when that ol' Atlantic rolls in and the ecm the last day is picking up a 'whiff' of heights building on the continent at the end of the runs. In general that means more often than not mild conditions although as last Xmas period proved if we can get just a hint of some continental air in the mix temps will be nearer normal...but 'hinged'? a tad over dramatic there.

    What does hinged even mean in this context ...?

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Nice & seasonal here. 

    Currently 0.2c ?

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Icklesham, near Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Love hot sunshine and cold snowy weather
  • Location: Icklesham, near Rye East Sussex
    11 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Nice & seasonal here. 

    Currently 0.2c ?

     

    Yes indeed, my outdoor temperature thing has bust, however it’s lovely and clear outside and there is a definite nip in the air. If we can’t manage snow, then I’ll settle for more of this, rather than less cold with rain!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
    26 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

    What does hinged even mean in this context ...?

    I think regards to the ensembles / GFS runs and maybe more 'balanced' in the longer term to what we might experience or at the precipice of an ice age, who knows? I haven't been looking at them...I've just been following the ecmwf and nothing else which I feel simplifies things with less drama and in turn less hope casting and always bearing in mind anything over 7 days is always open to change unless we have the roaring Atlantic in play. ?

    Edited by Froze were the Days
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    Posted
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey , Hale Gtr Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: clear skies , hard frost , snow !
  • Location: London City ,Cobham Surrey , Hale Gtr Manchester

    It is surprisingly cold out beautiful clear air and moon is bright 0.5c 

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

    Yes in a temporary ridge of Pm air, looks too windy on upcoming nights to have a chance of frost but who knows. 2.5c here and still waiting for the first air frost this autumn/winter. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)

    Been a pretty nice day here in Locksbottom area.pretty breezy this morning but wind eased during afternoon and temp was about 8 degrees.gone chilly tonight and down to 0.8 here atm and tomorrow starts dry before rain and milder air move across the region in the afternoon and evening.Looks like next 7 days look changeable with some milder days and cooler days but no cold spell imminent.Mind you I never look past 7 days as things change so quickly.This time last week some models were suggesting we could be on the cusp of something wintry and we know that all went TU ?!Just be patient the snow will come ☃️❄️?

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    5 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

    Yes in a temporary ridge of Pm air, looks too windy on upcoming nights to have a chance of frost but who knows. 2.5c here and still waiting for the first air frost this autumn/winter. 

    Just hit -0.1 here ?

    B3879709-A411-4874-805F-822B6E8A9086.thumb.jpeg.12ad278448ba2bcf8772255b6c15fd01.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
    7 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

    Yes in a temporary ridge of Pm air, looks too windy on upcoming nights to have a chance of frost but who knows. 2.5c here and still waiting for the first air frost this autumn/winter. 

    That’s amazing you are still waiting for first air frost, we have had 5 already since 1st November!!(sea effect I suppose)

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

    You folks are rubbing it in ? ...one thing I've noticed over recent years as I live nearer to the North Sea, really need to be in some cold air to get an air frost in November or early December something which was easily achievable 20+ years ago.

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    Posted
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers but not too hot and colder winters with frost and snow
  • Location: Locksbottom,kent 92m asl(310ft)
    5 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

    You folks are rubbing it in ? ...one thing I've noticed over recent years as I live nearer to the North Sea, really need to be in some cold air to get an air frost in November or early December something which was easily achievable 20+ years ago.

    My in laws live on isle of sheppey and that place has its own micro climate as well.Only 40 miles from me but they have totally different weather to me!!

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    8 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

    You folks are rubbing it in ? ...one thing I've noticed over recent years as I live nearer to the North Sea, really need to be in some cold air to get an air frost in November or early December something which was easily achievable 20+ years ago.

    Is this station near you FwtD?

    WWW.BURNHAMONCROUCHWEATHER.COM

    Burnham on Crouch Weather Station

    Just one air frost (0.0°C) recorded at that location since February.

    Crazy really. I've managed 9 at this tropical resort. ?

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    • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-05-13 09:41:14 Valid: 13/05/2021 0600 - 14/05/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - WEDS 13TH MAY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

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