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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards


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Dunstable got a good snow cover but melted in the afternoon. Hills around the area did ok. I drove to the highest point in the Chiltrens to have my snow fix. Some photos from Wendover Wood this mornin

Shower cloud lit up nicely by the low sun earlier this evening north of Heathrow where I work.

Nice bit of snow here this morning, so that means it won’t go down as one of the worst winters I can remember but only by the skin of its teeth . Photos below ?

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After ysterday's storms here, which sore lightning on and off from 16:00 until the early hours, with torrential rain at times, things have quietened down somewhat this p.m, house temps have cooled off niceley as well, but it's still quite humid outside.  

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23 minutes ago, thunderpants said:

After ysterday's storms here, which sore lightning on and off from 16:00 until the early hours, with torrential rain at times, things have quietened down somewhat this p.m, house temps have cooled off niceley as well, but it's still quite humid outside.  

I saw some of the lightning, missed me by miles, was hopeful for tonight. Not anymore.
 

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Next week guys and gals and the normal School Holiday weather returns . I would prefer more Heat and humidity personally to this outlook but hey it is what it is and at least the desert lands may start to show some green that we are accustomed too . 
 

All models showing a deep low . 

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Massive busts from ECM in our region actual v forecast - showers/storms didn’t develop either because of cloud cover. The worst possible end to a major heatwave. 

8718212E-83A1-4DD2-ABEB-3CC39CA6FF99.thumb.jpeg.d552e6dcf4918c8136ca147d5f4ba746.jpeg59433CAB-40C8-4135-9ED3-B006DFE745F3.thumb.jpeg.5d1937d8e194eb7f4c1487f70837226a.jpeg

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7 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Massive busts from ECM in our region actual v forecast - showers/storms didn’t develop either because of cloud cover. The worst possible end to a major heatwave. 

8718212E-83A1-4DD2-ABEB-3CC39CA6FF99.thumb.jpeg.d552e6dcf4918c8136ca147d5f4ba746.jpeg59433CAB-40C8-4135-9ED3-B006DFE745F3.thumb.jpeg.5d1937d8e194eb7f4c1487f70837226a.jpeg

It is always the same.

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2 hours ago, TomSE12 said:

Couldn't agree more Daniel, I'm astonished by the lack of T/Storms in our area of S.E.London, not only this Summer but also the last 2 Summers as well.

More proof, if it were needed, that heat doesn't necessarily equate, to Thunder.

No trigger in the Atmosphere, no Thunder.

Regards,

Tom.  :hi:

Hi Tom, yes it seems we in SE London have drawn the short straw compared to rest of London we’ve had the most rotten luck in recent years, yesterday far south of a London got a storm there was quite a bad bit of flash flooding in Croydon. The showers/storms have either disintegrated apart every time and lost their electrical activity as they approached me, or have gone too far to my east, south, north or west the storm shield is “magnificent“. For August I’ve had a grand total of 1.2mm. There’s really been boo since May 2018 I’m not happy 6 days with temperatures above 30C, 4 days with temperatures not dropping below 20°C I’m not sure what it takes now. A lot of cape was modelled >1000J/kg and there are disturbances in synoptic flow but as with today, cloud has totally put a stop to anything developing instead we have what wouldn’t be out in place October. It seems we haven’t had a traditional heatwave the Spanish plume synoptic instead it’s sort of broke down from east and for us in E/SE of London closer to that estuary it’s no good W London on other hand.....

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4 hours ago, Mesoscale said:

BBC still going for storms tonight.

Seeing as they've had thunderstorm predicted all day every day since Monday for my location, yet the closest we got was some distant rumbles, excuse me for being sceptical. 

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2 hours ago, Daniel* said:

Massive busts from ECM in our region actual v forecast - showers/storms didn’t develop either because of cloud cover. The worst possible end to a major heatwave. 

8718212E-83A1-4DD2-ABEB-3CC39CA6FF99.thumb.jpeg.d552e6dcf4918c8136ca147d5f4ba746.jpeg59433CAB-40C8-4135-9ED3-B006DFE745F3.thumb.jpeg.5d1937d8e194eb7f4c1487f70837226a.jpeg

I’ve had more impressive storms during the winter! I’m quite shocked at the lack of decent storms after the last week. But if there’s one thing the weather is teaching me lately is - don’t be surprised 

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The storms we had here in the Hemel area, came from a slow moving narrow band which delivered a lot of rain and a lot of lightning, again today the radar showing a similar set up in my area, with bands moving east to west, which is not what we need here as everyhere is drenched. Hopefully other parts will get some rain/storms today where it's needed.🙏 

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16 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:

Another sweat fest morning, 18c with 94% humidity 🥺 and a dog with a bad stomach has made the morning all the more 🤮🤮🤮 happy Saturday one n all ☺️

The BBC app thingie has us down far a dreich 22C today, and thundery showers throughout tomorrow... Yeah, right!

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2 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

The BBC app thingie has us down far a dreich 22C today, and thundery showers throughout tomorrow... Yeah, right!

How can you question such an accurate forecasting app! And the met office have been nothing but extremely accurate with their warnings of storms for this area! Shame on you 🤪😂 there is no doubt in my mind that we have at least 3 more days of storms to look forward to, cos the apps never lie.:olddb:

Ps. Send help, I’ve lost all perspective on reality :help:

 

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There’s been a blob of rain over me for hours now (just SE of rochester on the radar). A very wet dreary morning. 

Edited by Coopsy
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Well a dull muggy 19.5c start to the morning...as other posters have added about weather apps... for my area they have been absolutely useless all off them have. BBC which normally is one of the best has been dire. Since Wednesday it has shown rain for every hour since then. Before you all ask yes there is a percentage shown there is a chance,  at times it has shown 80% and been sunny for that hour.. 

As seen by senior forecasters they have said in this setup apps will be utter useless.

Anyhow I haven’t recorded any significant rain now here for over 3 weeks...

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Morning all,

It's another overcast and very muggy start to the Day, here in S.E.London.

Local reporting Station (London City Airport), was recently recording a Temp of 18c and a Dew Point of 17c.

Which gives a relative humidity of 94%, no wonder it feels so humid!! 

Don't think there were any reports of Thunder around our Region overnight.

So those Forecasts that threatened it, were a complete bust again.

But never fear Storm Lovers, Forecasts are going for it again Today.

Had quick glance at the Radar just now, and it shows some more "beefy" ppn, forming just to the N.E. of London.

Feeling very old Today, it's my Youngest's 37th Birthday Today (ouch) but she'll always be my little Princess.

Must now get over to my Horse Racing Competition Thread, where I've got a lot of work on before Racing starts.

Should you Brontophiles get lucky, and get a bit of Thunder Today.

Could you please go steady with the Lightning bolts over Berkshire (Newbury), and Cambridgeshire (Newmarket).

It frightens the Racehorses!! 

Regards,

Tom.  :hi:

 

Edited by TomSE12
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Up to 19C now, with a dew-point somewhere around 18C... But, looking on the bright side -- it's getting brighter!:oldgrin:

PS: And, for anyone-else who's sick of the recent pyrotechnical letdowns, The Legend of Bruce Lee (Netflix) has 50 episodes!:oldlaugh:

Edited by General Cluster
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The price we pay after a heatwave is dull and gloom for days, still muggy, I wouldn’t say summer is over, these days September can turn out to be warm. I would have thought we will have at least one more shot of very warm weather before autumn proper sets in but might have to wait until some point in September.

Edited by clark3r
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