Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Blessed Weather

Southeast and East Anglia weather discussion

Recommended Posts

Got up to 23c here today under mostly cloudy skies. Cloud had cleared since sunset and temp still 19.7c

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hello all, im hoping for a stonker of a storm, I missed last weeks fun and games, spent a few days with my girls nr dartmouth, bloody typical

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Shoreham airport station has gone back up to 22 Celsius was hovering around 20 for a bit

Feels muggy as hell here

Edited by JK1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
30 minutes ago, JK1 said:

Shoreham airport station has gone back up to 22 Celsius was hovering around 20 for a bit

Feels muggy as hell here

Yup. 

21.5c air temp/71%/16c humidity here

Edited by tomp456

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Morning.. View of the skies from my desk at home.. 

 

IMG_20190624_053253.thumb.jpg.74e5991e609a24288045a56066643b68.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, Kentieo Weather said:

Are tonight's storms further west will kent miss out now.

Looking likely that Kent will miss out this time.. But time will tell about to do a type up 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tonight looks fairly likely that some scale of MCS will move up from Northern France.. There is still some debate how far west or East this system will be. BUT using the current radar and model data we have. EURO4 is trending well so is the HIRLAM so I am going to use these models for tonight although things will change.

EURO 4 

2020891937_EURO1.thumb.gif.950f2070a659ec05a547be8783323531.gif1432461620_EURO2.thumb.gif.3c42615eb953372a21c73278038f4be7.gif208262310_EURO3.thumb.gif.dc789ea20a76fa6e4f79bb5098e7edb3.gif495030670_EURO4.thumb.gif.23fd349ea1e8ef67ea6edea3778ce104.gif1546525274_EURO5.thumb.gif.0118a642004bcc2b024ea8edd1f6c907.gif

HIRLAM

spacer.png1424082336_HIRLAM1.thumb.jpg.f1354917b147ad5ae225bda77e44b8c6.jpg90413161_HIRLAM2.thumb.jpg.16a1241f890cde18a224e79228592692.jpg327909441_HIRLAM3.thumb.jpg.b90acf978715c5c173cdea4b00b5a006.jpg

Fairly good agreement note though I expect most lightning to be on the Eastern side of this system..

Current model agreement is pretty good ...

 

Most likely idea based on current model data is a risk area something like this..50% chance

 track.thumb.jpg.037470b19bc4d184bd03ada0d5dc9fa3.jpg

 

But these 2 ideas are also up for debate.. 30% chance 

1472810561_track2.thumb.jpg.bbf69e51e29e56874db7d344a2ba9057.jpg

finally idea 3 although the most likely outcome last week it has been trending west.. 20% chance

314936420_track3.thumb.jpg.a0edefb8799b19c8060af38944c64874.jpg

 

Edited by Surrey

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not particularly fazed by the westwards trend... Convective wx still has us comfortably in the MDT zone... Come on, Sussex!!

Edited by LightningLover

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sun is out here. Feels warm and very humid.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It was 22oC at 6am this morning as I passed Gravesend....generally though it was between 19-21oC from Medway through to east London. That's an impressive overnight minimum for the start of a hot spell. 

Although I don't think it'll be that hot (temp wise) for most east of London but with the humidity it'll feel it. What we will notice, as the cloud cover will hang around, is temps not dropping off at night so warm and sticky nights the order of the week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well summer has finally arrived here in Surrey, gorgeous morning sat by the pool it’s slready 21c with a dew point of 18.1c. Feels more like Sandy Lane Barbados than Sandy Lane Cobham !!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Convective Weather area of 'medium risk' of storms for today seems a tad too far east compared with what high res models are suggesting from the cumulative rainfall totals over the next 36 hours:

366945173_ConvectiveWeather24Jun.thumb.jpg.bf733c3d025129d5ff5a862b507bf907.jpg

http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2019-06-24

Cum rainfall Arpege, Hirlam and NMM to 14.00 Tues:

318824361_ArpegeCumPrecip24-25Jun.thumb.png.d4cc23415efbe508049149e45bac6578.png2143036122_HirlamCumPrecip24-25Jun.thumb.png.d9543b9212b7586b9126d0401daa1a7c.png470246608_NMMCumPrecip24-25Jun.thumb.png.9e769d9ce731f1619db0c97838e2049c.png

On to Tues and the local forecast on the Beeb showing some really heavy precip coming up from the south in the early hours. Hirlam (centre chart) the closest match to the Beeb forecast. Whatever the final track, looks like somewhere in our Region is going to experience a soaking!

1175009901_BBCRainTues25Jun.thumb.jpg.86cb33dd9c427178653f5ea0c4182fbf.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today I am like a child on Christmas morning.

 

West Sussex looks like its slap bang in the middle of the firing line according to the computer models, and there is good agreement between them all for once, rather than all saying different. 

 

Was 21c when I left this morning, but walked into work along Worthing seafront and it felt cooler with a nice breeze. 

 

 

BRING ON THE STORM! 

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Loving this proper taste of summer! Temp rocketing in the early sunshine (not that it dropped much overnight). Already up to 21.7C at 08.58 here in rural Suffolk.

1496754252_Temp08.5824Jun.thumb.jpg.d6a92e285fefb04860926e1d044ec91c.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well it appears that a fair few of us are in the firing line. NE Surrey looking good. We missed out on the last one, so be good to see a light show this evening!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

morning all. 

Not long back from the school run and the temp is already a muggy and sticky 24c!!  It was mostly clear skies, but has since clouded over. 

I am looking forward to the potential storms later on. That's if it doesn't miss me lol 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Daenerys said:

Well it appears that a fair few of us are in the firing line. NE Surrey looking good. We missed out on the last one, so be good to see a light show this evening!

yes quietly confident we might hit lucky today..!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Much cloudier than I expected, yesterday and today.  Working from home, so would be nice if the sun showed an appearance.  Fingers crossed for some more storms later!  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Cloudy & muggy at moment but sun trying to come through

86628E90-4E7C-4D93-A02F-61D321DFB081.jpeg

 

Edited by JK1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, scrat said:

Much cloudier than I expected, yesterday and today.  Working from home, so would be nice if the sun showed an appearance.  Fingers crossed for some more storms later!  

me too working from home....air conditioning on might as well be in the office !!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yesterday at 9am I recorded 18C & 85% humidity... this morning at 9am it was 22C & 82% humidity. Therefore feeling very oppressive, especially compared to last week when it was 22C with just 52% humidity.

Edited by h2005__uk__

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...