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Tom Lynch

Tour 2 chase day 5 Oklahoma potential High risk

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Posted (edited)

yWe are doing this briefing tonight because if things go bad as early as the potentially could , we may not have time to do this in the morning.  It could be a bad day for Oklahoma.  There will be a chance for significant tornadoes in Oklahoma

 

Edited by Tom Lynch

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Unfortunately,  it's been raised to Severe now

Stat safe out there everyone.

 

Lawton, OK...Altus, OK...El Reno, OK...Snyder, TX...Vernon, TX..

day1otlk_1200 (2).gif

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Not sure I've ever seen a high risk in the short time I've followed these forecasts. Will be watching with interest tonight! Good luck out there. 

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Posted (edited)

 

Quite a wide swath with a tornado risk so that should spread storm chasers out and reduce chaser convergence. The strong upper level shear means tornadoes could move rapidly.

 

 

 

 

Edited by nzstorm

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21 minutes ago, nzstorm said:

 

Quite a wide swath with a tornado risk so that should spread storm chasers out and reduce chaser convergence. The strong upper level shear means tornadoes could move rapidly.

 

 

 

 

Indeed. The El-Reno beast caught loads of chasers off guard as it accelerated South at 55mph, and most of us here are aware of that fateful day. I hope everyone stays safe. 

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https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=tlx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

Probably the radar most useful later for those that dont subscribe to higher level stuff.

The problem with El Reno was traffic jams of escaping population, a tornado that didnt want to go in a straight line, and too many reports to process in a very short space of time.

At least with the Moore one, it travelled basically in a straight line, with very good helicopter coverage, giving the local populace good information.

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Will be watching the streams tonight. Here's hoping everyone stays safe.

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Yep me to, An eventful 24hr coming up.

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Posted (edited)

Chase safe later those out there planning to chase this high-end severe weather risk.

Bit concerned for Oklahoma City Metro and towns west along I-40 towards Texas border from 3pm this afternoon, this is the 6th anniversary of the 2013 Moore, Oklahoma EF5 tornado spookily. HRRR showing supercells with high sig. tornado parameters in association with warm front lifting north through Oklahoma later. Also the dryline along with warm front/dryline triple point area of east Texas Panhandle / western Oklahoma could see some nasty supercells spawning strong long-tracked tornadoes.

20190520_00_F024_wpc_prog.thumb.gif.f735719bcec437258711d211525965ea.gif

HRRR 21/22z (3-4pm CDT)

hrrr-oklahoma-refc-8389600.thumb.png.9bc9d2ad2ba7a1e6507e148af1afbdce.pngReflectivity

hrrr-oklahoma-cape-8400400.thumb.png.331739b3216ee2ca0af48833e74f0e27.pngCAPE

hrrr-oklahoma-hlcy_0-1000-8386000.thumb.png.c417252af294a7f106ed3bb66d8f7885.png 0-1km helicity

hrrr-oklahoma-sig_tor-8393200.thumb.png.95389731ddb829f56b8a69e7009f655d.png significant tornado parameter

 

Edited by Nick F

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Excited and nervous about this at the same time. Too close for comfort to OKC again at this time of year.

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Just announced a Public Severe Weather Warning...

 

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 200712 OKZ000-TXZ000-201800- PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0212 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2019 ...

Outbreak of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and tonight... * LOCATIONS... Northwest Texas Western and central Oklahoma *

HAZARDS... Numerous tornadoes, several intense and long track Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Widespread large hail, some baseball size *

SUMMARY... An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. More-isolated but still potentially dangerous severe weather, including tornadoes, is possible in surrounding parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas.

swo_sm_201905200923.png

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I was out there chasing in 2004 when a high risk went up, followed by a PDS.  It's incredibly exciting but you do find yourself getting nervous.

Stay safe everyone and looking forward the chase account tomorrow 🙂

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Some thunderstorms gone severe warned now, one heading for Amarillo.

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Posted (edited)

The latest SPCC (13z) extends the high threat area and now pulls in Oklahoma City and the surrounds.

image.thumb.png.aa5babc12e1cbbf002b659dca9dbc302.png

 

Edited by jtay

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12 minutes ago, jtay said:

The latest SPCC (13z) extends the high threat area and now pulls in Oklahoma City and the surrounds.

image.thumb.png.aa5babc12e1cbbf002b659dca9dbc302.png

 

Will be tuning in, once I’m done at work. Getting interesting now. Already a couple of supercells firing away at just 8 in the morning! 

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How do you follow the live feed these day's?

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We're not streaming live this year 🙂 

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Posted (edited)
49 minutes ago, SteveB said:

How do you follow the live feed these day's?

NWx not streaming this year. Best try something like https://livestormchasing.com/map but on PC as the mobile site is rubbish.

Or tune in to local TV online (KFOR for OKC) - they always break into weather when severe is confirmed or highly likely.

I’ll be streaming on this year’s tour but I’m five days late for this event - that said, something tells me early next week could see a similar higher end event.

Edited by nsrobins

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I keep on getting a "not available in your region" when trying to tune in to local TV.. such as KFOR, on my PC

i have found the The Weather Channel which are live streaming on Youtube... tend to have a stream to the local TV stations....atm its KFOR

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24 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

I keep on getting a "not available in your region" when trying to tune in to local TV.. such as KFOR, on my PC

i have found the The Weather Channel which are live streaming on Youtube... tend to have a stream to the local TV stations....atm its KFOR

I had the same so i installed Hola free vpn on Chrome as an extension. Then hit United states.

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Posted (edited)

Cheers will try

Edit @flipflop.....yes works for me👍.....theres me thinking that vpn was something to do with showing your underpants

Edited by Arnie Pie

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