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Supacell

Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards

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It's the little cell that won't give up. It's ambled slowly this way from the Welsh border and sparked back to life, grown a bit too. Had quite a few rolls of thunder around here now.

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9 minutes ago, Mizzle said:

Seriously off topic...but if you have any cloves then soften it with a little chew and hold it on the pain if you can. Contains stuff that is mildly anaesthetic and worked for me when I broke a molar. 

I nearly went out of my mind when a tooth extraction went wrong. Had to wait 10 days for another dentist. I swear I barely slept more than an hour at a time for 10 days. When you're looking at a tube of ibuprofen gel (for muscular sprains) and contemplating squirting it in your mouth, you know what toothache is! 

 

 

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1 minute ago, Met4Cast said:

Should do, it's all rather elevated so should cross the channel without issue, it's not one of those events where everything goes bang over France and dies as it crosses the channel.

..hopefully.

dan do you think broadstairs will get some action or is it not worth staying up for over here?

 

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Supacell said:

Made it to Luton. Can see that storms are crashing away over in France and so fingers crossed I will see a storm tonight. I won't stay here but need to decide which way to go.

If I were you mate I'd personally go to Brighton/Eastbourne. Can't miss the lightning if you're there, surely. Doesn't look like the most intense stuff will head west of there, and perhaps it will shift more north-easterly across the channel and steer more towards Kent, but I think those two spots on the coast are a good bet. Just my opinion. 

Edited by UKSupercell

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1 minute ago, chionomaniac said:

Upto 100 strikes a minute in Northern France. Noteworthy 

2A329426-256E-437F-8CFC-2A090E361453.png

That is pretty decent to be fair. Those in Southern or South-Eastern areas of the U.K could be in for a great thundery treat should that area of precipitation hold up well as it shifts North/North-East. ⚡️ 

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2 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Should do, it's all rather elevated so should cross the channel without issue, it's not one of those events where everything goes bang over France and dies as it crosses the channel.

..hopefully.

I remember too many of those events, unfortunately.  Fingers crossed though.

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Definitely an easterly bias developing already - can hope the steering winds carry the overall system further N and keep activity on the east, but I’m not greatly encouraged.

 

C3C8D598-59BF-4B94-A5EF-839B98E89870.png

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Just now, Mitch perrott said:

dan do you think broadstairs will get some action or is it not worth staying up for over here?

 

Difficult to say, you're a little far east to be hit by the main action but can't rule out storms completely.. it's very much a radar watching situation for you

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2 minutes ago, Harry said:

This is the 12z Euro4 for what it’s worth 

75F3A457-A707-4CF6-A65C-7CCC9DFCFF49.gif

Well considering the storm is over 50 miles west of the exit point on that model it will head straight over east London.

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Posted (edited)

ICON-EU 18z at T10, compared with 15z at same time, 15z first:

image.thumb.jpg.a24b378419983638da004fe3cbb20154.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.73e8178dea39bf992e68ff7005a0a264.jpg

A slight shift east?

Edited by Mike Poole

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About to set off to Worthing at first and see what happens, good luck everyone!

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Nice amount of back building here. With divergent winds at mid to upper levels this is expected let’s hope this continues as it tracks NNE

41B01CD7-5630-496C-9F1A-26022B2CA7B5.thumb.png.a6d18295ff537c1cf0e627e8df750f38.png

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Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

Interesting on the last couple of radar grabs, the system seems to be expanding quite quickly as it moves into the Channel.  Will it keep its intensity is the question?

 

 

If its not a super cell, hopefully it's a high based mcs cluster. Ps think I can hear it. 

Edited by alexisj9

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3 minutes ago, Harry said:

Definitely an easterly bias developing already - can hope the steering winds carry the overall system further N and keep activity on the east, but I’m not greatly encouraged.

 

C3C8D598-59BF-4B94-A5EF-839B98E89870.png

Might that not just be the size of the thunderstorm expanding rather then changing direction?

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Now watch just north of Rennes burst into action quickly.

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6 minutes ago, Gord said:

It's the little cell that won't give up. It's ambled slowly this way from the Welsh border and sparked back to life, grown a bit too. Had quite a few rolls of thunder around here now.

I can see the convection from this side of the cell Gord,,,still going

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Sky looks evil !

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Just now, suffolkboy_ said:

Now watch just north of Rennes burst into action quickly.

Yes good spot. Candidate for a secondary focus of activity that could potentially travel very close to Southampton judging by the steering flow.

If that happens alongside the other one crossing London, then all of the models will have been right to some degree or other. How amazing would that be? 😄 

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5 minutes ago, DiagonalRedLine said:

That is pretty decent to be fair. Those in Southern or South-Eastern areas of the U.K could be in for a great thundery treat should that area of precipitation hold up well as it shifts North/North-East. ⚡️ 

It was hitting 140 strikes per min and it lost intensity in this regard and was peaking at 115 per min for a while and now hovering around 85 per min. I've seen French imports that have usually hit Kent only over the years that have had 3, 400 strikes per min at some points. 

Oh down to 65 strikes per min now. What's happening?! 

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3 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

I can see the convection from this side of the cell Gord,,,still going

Looks like it might be dying down a bit again though. Interesting little cell though.

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44 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Now if only it could do this ;)

 

image.png

Nah, this is better 😎

image.png.df93563d9873fa3f4e46e199784d2c8c.jpg

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Where does people get 4am from (I,E LIFT OFF), Imo storms should start rocking se/ea around a hours time and into London at 00:00, we’ll see good luck all.

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Losing intensity?

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