North West Regional Discussion 30 Jan 2019 onwards

[northwestsnow]

16 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Man Airport TAF now indicates the risk of snow showers from tomorrow afternoon 

C.S

Well, tomorrow evening might be best chance of some lovely snow showers ..

Lets see how euro 4 looks this evening..

 

[severe snowstorm]

7 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Corridor Route - nice and safe - take it you went from Borrowdale?

Good one of Lingmell toward Gable.

No, we went the easy (safe) way up Scafell Pike from Wasdale via Lingmell Col due to potentially severe wind gusts. Had some squally gusts of winds at times accompanied by hail and snow showers which rattled through. Nasty spindrift on top at times. The day before was worse wind wise and so we only made it as far as Styhead Pass on Sat. The majority of people were turning back due to the wind as was impossible to walk against at times.

[Weather-history]

22 minutes ago, alr1970 said:

>10% over the previous record, wow! Just out of interest, what's the average?

You never get 20cm up there, it just blows away!

About 65mm

Last drier than average month for the region was last May 

[Weather-history]

29 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Man Airport TAF now indicates the risk of snow showers from tomorrow afternoon 

C.S

It has rain as well though

What does that exactly mean when a TAF contains rain and snow? Isn't that just sleet?

 

[carl1980]

Feeling mild out there now

[Iceaxecrampon]

14 minutes ago, Dexter said:

No, we went the easy (safe) way up Scafell Pike from Wasdale via Lingmell Col due to potentially severe wind gusts. Had some squally gusts of winds at times accompanied by hail and snow showers which rattled through. Nasty spindrift on top at times. The day before was worse wind wise and so we only made it as far as Styhead Pass on Sat. The majority of people were turning back due to the wind as was impossible to walk against at times.

Good effort all round - even more character building up there today.

[severe snowstorm]

13 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Good effort all round - even more character building up there today.

Thanks! Yeah, challenging today for sure. There were some people we met who had gone over the top of Great Gable on Saturday and had to sit down several times because the wind was so bad. Personally, I don't think it's worth the risk when like that because it just takes one violent gust to lift a person up and blow them over the edge to a 1,000 foot or more drop.

Edited February 24, 2020 by Dexter

[Chris.R]

Already considering giving up on this week, looks too marginal. Tomorrow night looks like a hopeless case for Merseyside, can only see rain. Will be watching out for lightning which is usually the more exciting thing in these set ups recently. Thursday  Friday and Saturday the wrong side of Marginal  at the moment on GFS.

[itsnowjoke]

Chucking it down 

[HafrenLMP1]

1 hour ago, Chris.R said:

Already considering giving up on this week, looks too marginal. Tomorrow night looks like a hopeless case for Merseyside, can only see rain.

Ah, the dreaded word; which basically means 'no chance'. ....some things never change.

[northwestsnow]

1 hour ago, Chris.R said:

Already considering giving up on this week, looks too marginal. Tomorrow night looks like a hopeless case for Merseyside, can only see rain. Will be watching out for lightning which is usually the more exciting thing in these set ups recently. Thursday  Friday and Saturday the wrong side of Marginal  at the moment on GFS.

I'm inclined to agree Chris - esp after the number of let downs over recent years which we have all discussed or disgust even .

SSTS should be pretty much at their lowest now late Feb , uppers look around -6/-7 on GFS , so altitude and distance from the irish sea will all help in this set u but hand on heart perhaps snow for the higher elevations?

METO now have a warning for NW England tomorrow night for ice..

[Carl46Wrexham]

Very windy (surprise..surprise) but also very mild. Currently 13c at Hawarden and Liverpool with dew points at 9-10c

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Set my alarm for 5am this morning and was heavy sleet/very wet snow so went back to bed. Had a drive over the fell an hour ago and no evidence of any snow which was strange as its about 300M ASL.

[East Lancs Rain]

Woke up to a dusting of snow but was raining when I got up and it's still raining now. What a surprise! More rain, I was never expecting that!

 

Wettest February I've ever known! Has to be the wettest period of weather since November/December 2015 and the wettest winter since 2015/16. But I think this winter could be even wetter than that!

 

Was walking out today and everywhere I look it's just flooded and waterlogged. Very few pedestrians outside. The roads are full of massive puddles, the back garden is starting to turn into a small pond and the river that runs through Barrowford doesn't look too far off reaching the top. Wouldn't be surprised to wake up to ducks swimming in my garden tommorow!

 

We desperately need a dry spell. Can't go out anywhere anymore without getting soaked through or blown away. ?️

 

 

Edited February 24, 2020 by East Lancs Rain

[East Lancs Rain]

1 minute ago, East Lancs Rain said:

swimming

 

1 hour ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Very windy (surprise..surprise) but also very mild. Currently 13c at Hawarden and Liverpool with dew points at 9-10c

Very mild here too. Currently 10.7°C with 95% humidity. Of course not feeling great in the wind and rain though.

[East Lancs Rain]

1 hour ago, HafrenLMP1 said:

Ah, the dreaded word; which basically means 'no chance'. ....some things never change.

 

3 hours ago, Chris.R said:

Already considering giving up on this week, looks too marginal. Tomorrow night looks like a hopeless case for Merseyside, can only see rain. 

Looks very marginal here too. iPhone weather app forecasting snow for almost every day this week and bbc weather app forecasting sleet. However, with maximums of 4/5°C, all we'll probably get is just nasty cold sleety rain or hail, like we did during the previous two cold snaps, with any snow restricted to the small hours when we're all asleep or over the hills.

 

I've given up on hoping for snow now and I'm just hoping for high pressure and Spring to arrive. We need some warmth and sunshine to dry out all this soaked ground.

[Carl46Wrexham]

I think my brother in Syracuse, New York is getting fed up of my sending letters to him with little pieces of mud inside them.

I keep enclosing a note with the message ‘dear brother...here is another piece of mud...when you have enough..stand on it and have a holiday in sunny Britain without paying for airfare”!!

[East Lancs Rain]

4 hours ago, Weather-history said:

 

Last drier than average month for the region was last May 

I can believe that. I'm just looking forward to spring and seeing the sun again after months of almost non-stop rain and gloom. April and May have been dry months in recent years so hopefully this April and May will be dry ones.

[cheshire snow]

23 minutes ago, East Lancs Rain said:

 

Looks very marginal here too. iPhone weather app forecasting snow for almost every day this week and bbc weather app forecasting sleet. However, with maximums of 4/5°C, all we'll probably get is just nasty cold sleety rain or hail, like we did during the previous two cold snaps, with any snow restricted to the small hours when we're all asleep or over the hills.

 

I've given up on hoping for snow now and I'm just hoping for high pressure and Spring to arrive. We need some warmth and sunshine to dry out all this soaked ground.

Just an observation but it can still snow at 5c as long as all the other parameters are ok DP/wet bulb temp/upper air temp

C.S

[Backtrack]

23 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Just an observation but it can still snow at 5c as long as all the other parameters are ok DP/wet bulb temp/upper air temp

C.S

Did we have ant snow last night anyone around me? I set my alarm for 4am but just snoozed it haha

[Carl46Wrexham]

36 minutes ago, Backtrack said:

Did we have ant snow last night anyone around me? I set my alarm for 4am but just snoozed it haha

Nope. Lots more unwanted rain though.

[northwestsnow]

METO text now mentioning snow showers to lower  levels through tomorrow...

Euro4 out in a couple of hours  

 

[Backtrack]

20 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:

Nope. Lots more unwanted rain though.

Madness, the Met were predicting a temp drop of 4C in 2 hours. Unprecedented around these parts, unless we have a really active cold front.

[Backtrack]

14 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

METO text now mentioning snow showers to lower  levels through tomorrow...

Euro4 out in a couple of hours  

 

Ah the EURO4, the most useless model of all time

[Day 10]

5 hours ago, Chris.R said:

Already considering giving up on this week, looks too marginal. Tomorrow night looks like a hopeless case for Merseyside, can only see rain. Will be watching out for lightning which is usually the more exciting thing in these set ups recently. Thursday  Friday and Saturday the wrong side of Marginal  at the moment on GFS.

Have to say, as it stands I agree.