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For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

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Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
    4 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

    GFS 00z rolling shortly... Who's awake to analyse it !?

    im awake, not sure about analysis lol

    Edited by BlackburnChris
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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    1 minute ago, BlackburnChris said:

    im awake, not sure about analysis lol

    Sure you'll make more sense of it than me, until the experts wake up!?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea

    I hope the silence is because everyone is snoozing and not because of the GFS run!

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    This could be funny.

    Monstrous Scandi/Russian/Siberian/Eurasian high (not sure of the geography but that high seems to have it covered!

    gfsnh-0-210.png

    And the warmest uppers you will ever see across a frigid Russia.???

    gfsnh-1-216.png

    That slider would be very snowy.

    Certainly an interesting run but not exciting and unlikely to be repeated me thinks.

    Edited by Mucka
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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    13 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

    is it bad? snoozing on armchair lol, hard to check on my phone

    I think it's showing two weeks of continuous sleet lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    22 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

    is it bad? snoozing on armchair lol, hard to check on my phone

    Honestly, I have no idea. I'm just waiting for everyone to wake up and start debating?

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    Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL

    lol , if there's a big yellow and green high to our West heading through Iceland and Greenland .... its good. If there's a collapsed high pressure over the Uk with loads of purples passing over Scotland going west to east its crap lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    2 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

    lol , if there's a big yellow and green high to our West heading through Iceland and Greenland .... its good. If there's a collapsed high pressure over the Uk with loads of purples passing over Scotland going west to east its crap lol

    In that case it looks OK to me. Going to need some verification on that however lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow events / Wind storms
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
    Just now, Jackski4 said:

    In that case it looks OK to me. Going to need some verification on that however lol

    Did you get much snow in Southend Jack? Had a good downpour in Pitsea earlier, started to settle and there's still a bit left on the cars, this morning could be treacherous! Hopefully more to come over the next few days but not looked yet ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    4 minutes ago, Essex Easterly. said:

    Did you get much snow in Southend Jack? Had a good downpour in Pitsea earlier, started to settle and there's still a bit left on the cars, this morning could be treacherous! Hopefully more to come over the next few days but not looked yet ?

    Unfortunately no.. It was a rain/sleet mix predominately with the odd wet flake here and there.. I saw someone a few pages back say the south east could get snow today according to a model but I'm yet to have that confirmed. Maybe I was seeing things.

     

    Definately hoping for more throughout the next few days, then a deep cold spell lasting until April would be nice!?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    5 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

    lol ill check on pc in a minute. my pc in bedroom and trying not to wake mrs up haha

    Just tell her there's more important things to think about right now and that she won't be complaining when you save her from snowmageddon!?

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Very nice UKMO run, but the gfs is crud. Takes forever to get an easterly in, and when it arrives its gone within 36 hours!. 

    Im losing my patience with this model now ???

    Edited by SLEETY
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    Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
    2 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

    Just tell her there's more important things to think about right now and that she won't be complaining when you save her from snowmageddon!?

    lol, unfortunately she broke her leg last feb on the school run, so she hates snow and ice lol , as for me I love it.. good UKMO btw just checked

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    6 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

    lol, unfortunately she broke her leg last feb on the school run, so she hates snow and ice lol , as for me I love it.. good UKMO btw just checked

    Oh no! My auntie slipped on ice last March and she has brittle bones so that was a nasty few breaks! You'd think I'd have more sympathy and wish for milder weather, but no.. Snow all the way for me!!

     

    UKMO does look good, even my extremely untrained eye thought "all these blue colours must be good"!?

     

    ECM up next !!

    Edited by Jackski4
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    Posted
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales
  • Location: Aberporth S W Wales

    Well we've gone back a couple of weeks again, where the 00z pee on the previous night's party!

    Ukmo ok, could do with removing the Icelandic low for more of a northerly airflow and not sure I don't see a spoiler low riding the Atlantic high preventing it ridging too far north...for now.

    Gfs , cleaner ridge but then topples the high pretty quick..

     

    Ukmo day 6

    UKMOPEU00_144_1-6.png

    Edited by KTtom
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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    UKMO is classic cold zonal...

    Looks great for Scotland / Northern Ireland...

    image.thumb.png.bff9a6d7b0e119accaaad9ffa0738345.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

    After a day in the regionals the next hunt is on some nice snow showers yesterday only gives you the appetite for something more and Nationwide. Charts again teasing us I see. Feb still has lots of promise going forward as long as the background signals remain. Still 2 months potentially.

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    A few extreme runs out of GFS ensembles which are the usual mixed bag.

    gensnh-6-1-192.png

    gensnh-20-1-276.png

    gensnh-7-1-264.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
    1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

    UKMO is classic cold zonal...

    Looks great for Scotland / Northern Ireland...

    image.thumb.png.bff9a6d7b0e119accaaad9ffa0738345.png

    That looks decent some weak hieghts building towards Greenland and PV dropping and weakening. To me that looks quite promising going forward.

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    Just now, snowangel32 said:

    That looks decent some weak hieghts building towards Greenland and PV dropping and weakening. To me that looks quite promising going forward.

    144 finely poised- above my pay grade to second guess the progression.

    Still struggling to see where these heights to the NW EC 46 has been touting for a good while are going to come from with such a wretched Canadian vortex still refusing to leave the stage..

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    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

    I'd agree with NW regarding the pesky PV lobe to North West being a pain and dominant feature.a lot of twoing and frowing without any real really wintry signal imo.very tedious now and lacking a true signal.slowly getting fed up for sure!!!

    Edited by swfc
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    Message added by Paul

    Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
    Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

    For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

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