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Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

Message added by Paul

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First little LP at 120hrs is a pure rain event on the 12z ICON.

However there are several interesting features running down the north sea on the 27th and also decent event for central/eastern England, Scotland and a fair part of Wales from a front on the following day. That is followed by snow showers.

Anyway not a bad ICON in terms of snow chances, nothing that looks real solid, but decent enough opportunities.

Edited by kold weather
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Here we go: T+09 of a truly epic 12Z run!😁

image.thumb.png.3622ec9a14c9bef7c1f53baa75c8dc2e.png

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3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Here we go: T+09 of a truly epic 12Z run!😁

image.thumb.png.3622ec9a14c9bef7c1f53baa75c8dc2e.png

To be fair ed

one does have to start sometime.

would be great if it was this 12z though

Edited by snowbob
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8 minutes ago, WINTRY WALES said:

I imagine those threads would have stayed as is if many listened to the mods rules in the first place

Or if people didn't complain so much?

Edited by Johnp
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1 minute ago, edo said:

52 pages in 2 days is not dead, any reduction in levels of posting is output of models rather than tbe thread split.... as there is only 7 pages in the other thread  it does not seem to scream the content is split. 

Mods do a great job, impossible to get a thread split that everyone will agree with. 

 

mods doing there 

Last thread was much better imho. 

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17 minutes ago, O'Maille80 said:

These threads have been dead since they split them. Hard to follow anything.

Have to agree with this as a few days even it was a fair bit busier but now it's like ermmmm empty ? Not to mention it's confusing knowing the post where 🤔

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10 minutes ago, O'Maille80 said:

Last thread was much better imho. 

Agreed quality over quantity! 

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7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

image.thumb.png.e48ddb4501dfd4e4dd8a70e3a70a0972.png

ukmeto setting us up for a potent Polar maritime attack?

That open low could generate some snow depending on the other conditions at that time.

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5 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

 

this thread will return to pace once the models improve no doubt.

Will that be winter in 2019/2020 🤣🤣

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This time last week for this Thursday, some of the models were offering the Beast from the East, look how far away the Easterly actually is! Some 2500km away over Russia.

image.thumb.png.15512f079690b0c1524511b0abf9d933.png

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27 minutes ago, O'Maille80 said:

These threads have been dead since they split them. Hard to follow anything.

Really bad idea but if members consistently post in wrong thread then this is the result.

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The Russian high beginning to show its hand slowing the westerlys down and disrupting the jet, with low pressure already over Europe could be our route to cold if the Canadian vortex won't bugger off

Screenshot_20190121-161001.png

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Things'll likely get more interesting, during the weekend...Question is: will it snow and how long will it last, if it does?🤔

image.thumb.png.7116f44ac9c0a6d6fdc1d351f3a4844a.png

Well, a sliding shallow wave-depression ought to add a ray of hope?:santa-emoji:

image.thumb.png.450442311a424aa098b52d2b24810a57.png

Edited by Ed Stone
Speeling!
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35 minutes ago, O'Maille80 said:

These threads have been dead since they split them. Hard to follow anything.

I agree , poor move IMO

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5 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

That open low could generate some snow depending on the other conditions at that time.

gfs-0-138.png?12
And there is the GFS version of the Open Low, coming in on a better angle with snow likely to the north and east of its centre

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