Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    looking good - *BUT* lets move on from todays UKMO 12z!!

     

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 12.2k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

    Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

    Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    35 minutes ago, warrenb said:

    UK 120 interesting, almost no PV left in NA

    I'm afraid there is, what is more evident is the complete lack of proper beneficial Northerly blocking. 

    image.thumb.png.e62039c3b18c3bb7a3d79db86b643076.png

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Reigate Hill
  • Weather Preferences: Anything
  • Location: Reigate Hill
    1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

    Is that technically correct ?

    3DCCFA36-F4B6-4402-8B6B-7B901F8D78D7.thumb.jpeg.cbab9924f79b7753a00ea2a3f3735dc1.jpeg

    be v surprised if ec fi repeats itself 

    The ECM op from a smaller cluster, as was the GFS ops yesterday, but GFS seemingly moved on, at least in the medium term, with another chunk from the Canadian PV overwhelming any wedges in HL. Big chunks are good for further attempts at NE blocks, however, the breakage of the PV, as a whole, remains elusive, and if the downwelling is needed, it is to accelerate its demise.

    Very little warmth heading even into mid-latitudes on the GFS out to D16, so no forcing upstream. The W Pacific Hadley cell driving a wave train of HP systems west to east, five noted on the 06z run, the type of pattern that will recycle the Canadian vortex and without a strong SSW push, we are looking at getting lucky with short cold flows.

    All in all its just waiting out for a reboot to the NH profile, as the current one is rather underwhelming, relying on wedges of heights to manufacture a cold block. Looking at beyond D10 for hope now unless the background signals come to life.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl
  • Weather Preferences: mediterranean summer
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl
    18 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

    Is that technically correct ?

    3DCCFA36-F4B6-4402-8B6B-7B901F8D78D7.thumb.jpeg.cbab9924f79b7753a00ea2a3f3735dc1.jpeg

    be v surprised if ec fi repeats itself 

    after a breif warm up for the next few days it looks very likely  they will be hit with round 2 of this mega cold i can only put it down to this ssw event we had with its inpact now bein felt in north america but sadly europe missed the boat this time round thats the way it goes sometimes just pot luck maybe we will get a small dose next time round 

    Edited by igloo
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent

    I did say almost no PV. Compare to GFS and you can see that it is completely different. Anyway GFS hits lower resolution and the conveyor belt starts.

    Edited by warrenb
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

    A few posts have been hidden.Let's keep the chat about the model charts please chaps,ta.

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl
    24 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

    B*gger off - it’s between me and warren ?

    I suppose the majority of the lobe is western based but it still shows a lobe yes

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
    6 minutes ago, booferking said:

    The most used word of 2019 ladies and gentlemen goes to DOWNWELLING.?

    I disagree, potential is the winner by, potentially a long way.

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
    20 minutes ago, igloo said:

    after a breif warm up for the next few days it looks very likely  they will be hit with round 2 of this mega cold i can only put it down to this ssw event we had with its inpact now bein felt in north america but sadly europe missed the boat this time round thats the way it goes sometimes just pot luck maybe we will get a small dose next time round 

    Europe didn't miss the boat though really. The UK did. Much of Eastern Europe has experienced exceptional snow even for them. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)

    Looks familiar ? This week proves you don’t need significant northern blocking at this time of year for snow events 

    95F4BE01-2FFA-4301-BE28-28E8623A5D52.png

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    6 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    Looks familiar ? This week proves you don’t need significant northern blocking at this time of year for snow events 

    95F4BE01-2FFA-4301-BE28-28E8623A5D52.png

    I don't know about you though but I was expecting a little more than a brief flurry of snow this Winter. 

    Without proper blocking any snow events are short lived.

    If the ECM ditches it 'potential ' and favourable 'downwelling' from the 0z op. we can right off the first two weeks of February. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
    5 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    I don't know about you though but I was expecting a little more than a brief flurry of snow this Winter. 

    Without proper blocking any snow events are short lived.

    If the ECM ditches it 'potential ' and favourable 'downwelling' from the 0z op. we can right off the first two weeks of February. 

    I’m sure thiose in Devon, Cornwall and South Wales would be happy with a repeat of today! I love snow, not great Synoptics so I’ll take it wherever / however it forms. 2 snow events so far here and another this evening / tomorrow morning. It’s been a Winter wonderland in this part of the world last few days. Drove from the snow cover of Herts through thick freezing fog which coated everything up to Kings Lynn. Up on the Norfolk coast it was light snow from the fog lifting which gave a covering. 

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    As far as potential goes, this must the best year ever, and we've now even got potential downwelling - a double whammy if ever there as one!??

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain

    Winters over ain’t gunna happend this year met office backed off models all over the  place fair play accueweather got it spot on for this winter sorry guys but just given up 

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge, Kent
    3 minutes ago, iceman1991 said:

    Winters over ain’t gunna happend this year met office backed off models all over the  place fair play accueweather got it spot on for this winter sorry guys but just given up 

    OK

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    3 minutes ago, iceman1991 said:

    Winters over ain’t gunna happend this year met office backed off models all over the  place fair play accueweather got it spot on for this winter sorry guys but just given up 

    Wow. I think Sweep himself could manage better grammar and punctuation!

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Barnsley 125asl
  • Location: Barnsley 125asl
    5 minutes ago, iceman1991 said:

    Winters over ain’t gunna happend this year met office backed off models all over the  place fair play accueweather got it spot on for this winter sorry guys but just given up 

    Please provide proof to back this up!!

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bollington
  • Location: Bollington
    7 minutes ago, iceman1991 said:

    Winters over ain’t gunna happend this year met office backed off models all over the  place fair play accueweather got it spot on for this winter sorry guys but just given up 

    Meanwhile snow is falling over a large part of the country and I have -5 over the snowfields!

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Message added by Paul

    Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
    Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

    For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • Cold waves hitting Europe continue to threaten growers, is there a link to climate change?

      Much of Europe, not just the UK, has experienced unseasonably cold weather since the Easter Weekend. A plunge of cold arctic air brought by northerly winds early last week brought several nights of frost and even snow across large swathes of Europe, followed by another wave of cold arctic air spreads across much of Europe this week. The frosts causing damage to new growth in vineyards and orchardsa0spurred on by a late March heatwave, the vineyards of France werea0particularly badly affected.

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather 4

      High pressure rules, but still chilly out the sun & watch out for a few showers

      High pressure in charge for the rest of the week but the airmass will be chilly, so feeling nippy out of the sun. Not entirely dry either, with scattered showers around the next few days, especially in the west. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      You'll need your coat because it's still cold out of the sun

      More April snow for Monday morning with a widespread frost. If you have outdoor plans this week, the chill in the air remains especially once the sun goes down. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...