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Posted
  • Location: Banbury
  • Location: Banbury
    1 minute ago, fromey said:

    But he did say at the end “ turning mild by the end of the week” surely if Tuesday isn’t settled the end of the week is up for grabs 

    Yep he said that as well and that was dependant on where the LP sat 

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    For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

    Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

    Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

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    Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
    26 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

    Indeed and we have gain on such..

    Could be an old classic..that i have personaly experienced...from time 2 time in my 43-yrs..

    Obviously not on that scale...

    But living just north of the corridor..and edging bucks...

    We do rather well...

    'On the whole'..

    Edit an pls dont look at my prof back ground pic and with my 2 eldest daughters and say WOW 43...

    ITS GOOD LIVING ?

    ???

    Mate I’m 38 and my oldest daughter is 19? 

    anyway back to the mods this certainly won’t be anywhere near the correct situation until it’s within 72 hours and even then it could all change. Yes it’s not been as good generally today but you usually get a bit of downgrading etc only for it to slowly upgrade again as it gets closer so chin up ladies and gents we could all be getting loads of the stuff next week!

    C5F3F0A5-0505-437B-AC02-A337F0969FB7.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
    1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

    Gonna be a cracker..

    2nd phase of the nor east feature..

    Then the southerly track...gaines!!!

    gfs-0-138 (1).png

    Looks to be what the METO mentioned in the 6-15dayer... crystal ball? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]
  • Location: Canmore, AB [4296ft above sea level] & North Kent [350ft above sea level]

    It’s all going south...but in a good way 

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.
    2 minutes ago, snowray said:

    18z showing west is best, NW, Wales, west country doing particularly well, look at all that snow just clipping the south coast, seen that so many times before, come on, further north please!? 

    Drives me mad this further north, further south, further north business!?

    96-574UK.gif

    102-574UK.gif

    Bank

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    1 minute ago, shaky said:

    Someones gona get absolutely pasted on this run!!

    Us shaky? have to wait for precip charts on netweather chartviewer, they're behind meteociel

    gfs-0-156.png?18

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    Posted
  • Location: Banbury
  • Location: Banbury
    2 minutes ago, snowray said:

    18z showing west is best, NW, Wales, west country doing particularly well, look at all that snow just clipping the south coast, seen that so many times before, come on, further north please!? 

    Drives me mad this further north, further south, further north business!?

    96-574UK.gif

    102-574UK.gif

    I was talking about the GFSP which hasn't started yet , which as we know can give a completely different scenario 

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

    Russian high much stronger at 156

    image.thumb.png.e5d739a65e8907cbe5cb0de6a922f489.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Beith, North Ayrshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms and very hot weather!
  • Location: Beith, North Ayrshire
    1 minute ago, shaky said:

    Someones gona get absolutely pasted on this run!!

    Someone where....

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    Posted
  • Location: Washington - Tyne and Wear
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Washington - Tyne and Wear
    Just now, Huntforsnow said:

    Someone where....

    Exactly.  Good for the south I'd say on the latest but the north...its anyones guess

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

    Heights NNW. Wonder if we can get a wedge for the next low??

    gfs-0-168.png?18

    Edited by Snowman.
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    Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

    Yep, here we go T168 pub run:

    image.thumb.jpg.7dc3f7d2ebc48a77d0ec63a8effb49f4.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.fabd82339fdfdd5d7a39eb1c5ed400fe.jpg

    Uppers not great but probably sufficient, with a pool to draw on, and only a week away.  

    Few frames later no worries re uppers!

    Edited by Mike Poole
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    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

    Apparently, the term 'boom' upsets some people in here.  I'll just use the term 'yes please'

    image.thumb.png.99fe36a67b70996402133e4c2a875c06.png image.thumb.png.9c156b34098358a35dd7a9d2837e2536.png

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    PLEASE be right GFS!!!

    Its followed ICON which gives it a bit more credence, and JMA..

    If we get UKMO EC onside on the 00z runs its suddenly looking very very good!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
    Just now, northwestsnow said:

    PLEASE be right GFS!!!

    Its followed ICON which gives it a bit more credence, and JMA..

    If we get UKMO EC onside on the 00z runs its suddenly looking very very good!!

    Don’t mean to be a grump but to play devils advocate I can’t count the amount of times the 18z pulls out a good run and then we all wake up to disasterous morning charts, wondering if it’s a data issue? It’s too much to be a coincidence 

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    The low is close to 1,000 further south now!:shok: 

    Snow south of the M4 alright, but at this rate it will miss us completely! Models all over the place.:olddoh:

    gfs-0-168.png

    gfs-1-168.png

    gfs-2-168.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
    10 minutes ago, fromey said:

    But he did say at the end “ turning mild by the end of the week” surely if Tuesday isn’t settled the end of the week is up for grabs 

    Sorry I know this isn't the place to discuss BBC forecasts - but what was he on tonight - a brief bit of spring, but snow not done with us yet... its late January for goodness sake - very much depths of winter.. he should know we can't discount snow until April at least.. it was a very annoying poor forecast all round.

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    Posted
  • Location: Horwich, Bolton
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow.. frost. Freezing fog
  • Location: Horwich, Bolton
    2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    PLEASE be right GFS!!!

    Its followed ICON which gives it a bit more credence, and JMA..

    If we get UKMO EC onside on the 00z runs its suddenly looking very very good!!

    I hope so pal. Getting sick to death now of seeing heights trying to ridge in to southern Greenland only for the Monster PV to spew out another low. 

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    Posted
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW ICE
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
    2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    PLEASE be right GFS!!!

    Its followed ICON which gives it a bit more credence, and JMA..

    If we get UKMO EC onside on the 00z runs its suddenly looking very very good!!

     

    giphy.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex, UK
  • Location: Essex, UK
    1 minute ago, damianslaw said:

    Sorry I know this isn't the place to discuss BBC forecasts - but what was he on tonight - a brief bit of spring, but snow not done with us yet... its late January for goodness sake - very much depths of winter.. he should know we can't discount snow until April at least.. it was a very annoying poor forecast all round.

    That's made me want to watch it now for my own entertainment ?

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    Message added by Paul

    Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
    Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

    For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

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