Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Paul

Model output discussion - 7th January onwards

Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

Message added by Paul

Recommended Posts

Well it’s a funny old game this model watching now the gfs is better than the ECM . You couldn’t make it up . GFS first chart . 

78AE0F50-1D6B-46FC-B30F-86B173405656.png

5816156B-E232-42F6-8F2C-A23BC937A840.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, ICE COLD said:

Well it’s a funny old game this model watching now the gfs is better than the ECM . You couldn’t make it up . GFS first chart . 

78AE0F50-1D6B-46FC-B30F-86B173405656.png

5816156B-E232-42F6-8F2C-A23BC937A840.png

For now, ECM leading to an easterly, just slower

BFTP

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Corrrr look at all that snow 🤣 still none the wiser tonight. @Steve Murr I see you blend doesn’t include the GFSp which is outperforming the soon to be redundant GFS? Or the GEM? 

Didnt see the GEM or the P so exclusion only based on that fact 👍🏼

JMA blend looks great esp at 144 !

but 180 is superb

000A0D4D-ADF8-48EE-A702-858D1E40C97E.thumb.png.ca6c1fc80b9bb6fe95de114a44356edc.png

Edited by Steve Murr

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

Tricky this ECM op. Looks like a downgrade by T168, but look at the isobars to the north. Could result in a better easterly later. (Didn't I say that last night?!) 

Not sure its a downgrade at T168.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, nick sussex said:

Do you call that fun! 😎 I know you’re a storm junkie . Tornados are fascinating but also terrifying at the same time . I agree though could be some wild weather with that set up .

Minus the devastation they can cause, which we can all agree is utterly tragic, take for I.e greensburg - Kansas 2007 (EF5 at night 😳 which would be terrifying), Joplin - Missouri 2011, and Moore - OK 2013/1999. I would not wish them on my worst enemy. But yes, it’s certainly on my bucket list to get out to the mid west and see some! 

Very happy to see the upgrades back from the evening runs!! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Heavy snow about to make its way down the spine of the country.

image.thumb.png.23e343d756bec0136de03d7f22598d23.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

JMA has been the most consistent of models, 10/10!:yahoo:

JE192-21.gif

JE192-7.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ECM192 is a great chart. Look at those heights building. It's only going to get colder from that point. Good charts this evening.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

JMA 204 onwards will be a Jan 87 redux later.

image.thumb.png.0846c52febd3c52254ceaafb4151cd30.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is this evening the first time both ECM and GFS have shown an Easterly for this upcoming "cold" spell?

ECH1-192.GIF?16-0gfsnh-0-192.png

Add to that JMA and confidence must be improving on an Easterly - will it finally stick?

JN192-21.GIF?16-12

 

ECM1-192 (2).gif

Edited by Mucka

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, WalsallWeather123 said:

ECM shows a decent snow risk for Friday. Yes the totals may be wrong but the risk is there.

image.png

Nothing showing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

Improvement not as good as yesterday 12z but an easterly of sorts1163873113_ECM1-1920z.thumb.gif.fdecdf2102c49f519ffc57604032a7c6.gifECM1-192.thumb.gif.16091d36840cc10a2208a00e232ee9e0.gif

Should get slidergate no 5 by T240 followed by a full blown easterly, 50/50 chance I'd say.😍

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A tasty cold High building over Scandinavia!

image.thumb.png.da7542dcca76f0795599554c0c048c5a.pngimage.thumb.png.04b2e92ed988e00a52b02a6c26a060cd.png

😍

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Mucka said:

Is this evening the first time both ECM and GFS have shown an Easterly for this period?

ECH1-192.GIF?16-0gfsnh-0-192.png

Add to that JMA and confidence must be improving on an Easterly - will it finally stick?

JN192-21.GIF?16-12

 

Probably not.

Pattern this week for me has been to wake up at 7am, grab my phone to read how you and Crewe have dissected the utter tosh morning runs at 5am, off to work, come home to upgrades and boom charts, wake up at 7am.....

Tiring but wouldn't change it for the world! (apart from actual snow that is) 😀👍

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...